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Nate Silver: Obama's Chance of Winning Now at 91.4%

82
The Mongoose11/05/2012 10:08:46 pm PST

re: #76 Locker

Nate constantly puts his rep on the line. I don’t think he’d have the numbers this high unless he was pretty damn sure.

Well, he doesn’t really “choose” to have the numbers this high. The model was built before the election and he feeds it data. Even if he thinks 92% is too high, his methodology wouldn’t allow him to change it if he’s playing it straight, which I think he is.