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Nate Silver: Obama's Chance of Winning Now at 91.4%

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Rightwingconspirator11/06/2012 6:32:58 pm PST

re: #747 wrenchwench

re: #711 Daniel Ballard

re: #719 Daniel Ballard

The billboards were put up only in urban, predominantly black neighborhoods in states where formerly imprisoned felons are allowed to vote. Now tell me that a person who has spent time in prison does not have a much greater apprehension about going back there. And then tell me that there aren’t a much greater proportion of black Americans who have spent time in prison than white Americans.

Or tell me that it doesn’t matter for some reason because they could vote by mail.

Near dead thread but I owe you an answer :-)
IMHO
It’s pretty simple. A polling place has no more threat for a black person than anywhere else, arguably less. It makes no sense to me that a person of any color who saw a billboard describing a law that they are not going to break keeps them away, I think that (if any) is a vanishingly small number of people. People that need to understand how to not be so easily intimidated. Seriously.

re: #834 wrenchwench

Sure it bothers me. The problem seems to have been really thoroughly addressed. I am skeptical of the real consequence of the small things. What if these things are on the same scale as fraud? Too small to have an effect. Does anyone have real solid numbers on these billboards or a cop at a polling place?

If we want to get into the tiny small margins as worthwhile because of close races, a point which I have struggled to convince many here, I want to include all of them. Quantified. Then we can look at what part of HAVA to emphasize. Until then, AFAIK, HAVA in all it’s controversy has to be implemented evenly. Each part, every state.