re: #31 Love-Child of Cassandra and Sisyphus

People are still pushing the idea that vastly many more people have been infected than have tested positive.

But the data doesn’t support that.

Test data continues to show a fairly steady positive/negative ratio. And it’s been this way for a couple of weeks now.

So if a vastly greater number of people have been infected since mid-march, then the testing should have revealed a significant bump in positives/negatives.

See the Florida data for example, bottom of page 2:
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Changes in the positive/negative ratio have not been significant, all the while Florida ramps up the daily testing capability.

If we are still only testing people who are bad enough to show up at the hospital(mostly)or are already showing symptoms then it is a skewed sample set. There are still health care workers who can only get tested after they start showing symptoms.

We won’t know the actual rate until we are looking at it in the rear view mirror and can do random statistical samples.