Your bit of doomer porn for the day:

Just attending a 3-day workshop on the danger of abrupt ocean circulation changes. Discussions are quite worrying. E.g. in 35 to 45 % of high quality models, convection in the open North Atlantic collapses in the 2030s due to #globalheating. -> Major climate disruption. Not good.

— Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf (@rahmstorf.bsky.social) 2024-06-04T13:01:19.800Z

..

It’s become trendy to talk of the AMOC stopping.

While that may happen, even in the linked report the probability that it won’t is more than the probability that it will (in the timeframe given.)

Still, I suppose even a low probability of a major event is worth the attention.