Advanced math computes McCain ahead in early electoral college
Election day isn’t until November 4, 2008, and yet already politicians are using math to determine that McCain is ahead by 28 electoral votes.
One forecast model shows Democrat Senator Barrack Obama weighing in at 255.2 (47%), while Republican Senator John McCain pulls in a hefty 282.8 (53%) or about 27 more votes.
A recent Gallup poll shows the popular trend reversed - Obama receiving 48% of the vote with McCain receiving 44%. If those votes could translate directly into the electoral college, it would be Obama 210 and McCain 192 (the remaining votes would go to 3rd party candidates).
So, do we believe the model or the poll?