I have sort of the opposite interpretation of this data. It looks like Beto turned out a *LOT* of Democratic-leaning *independents* who don’t regularly vote. He won independents 50-47, per the exit poll, in a state where Republicans typically crush it among independents. https://t.co/klSMHI3xlY

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 4, 2019