Comment

The Bob & Chez Show: The Waco Kid

162
KGxvi8/30/2016 4:37:25 pm PDT

re: #156 Targetpractice

Ayeah, while Nate and the gang have said Hillary is not yet in a position to run down the clock, she’s remains in a very favorable position. So long as most of the “swing states” remain in her column, there’s little reason to panic. The popular vote doesn’t elect the president, the EC does, and she retains a very comfortable lead.

I don’t like filtering out information that goes against what I want to happen, that’s how the GOP ends up with skewwwed polls and Karl Rove having a stroke live on television. Plus, Silver has been pretty good for a long enough time that I tend to trust his analysis, or at the very least his aggregation of data.

As for the state of the race, as I said above, I don’t see a viable path to victory for Trump. That doesn’t mean things can’t change, but if this was a football game, Clinton is up 24 midway through the second quarter - still a bit too early to switch to prevent defense and ball control offense.