OK, a brief explanation as to why I’m not concerned about who will win the presidential election. The simple is that the polling averages have never, barring the use of nonrandom selection of polls averaged, put Romney ahead.

Look, any poll can be off. That’s the basic point of the margin of error. (Simplifying, statisticians.) But as you use more and more polls, the cluster that develops is more and more reflective of the population being sampled.

If you’ve zeroed a firearm you’ve seen this same principle in action. Aim at the target point and fire several (three is sufficient, more just prove the point) bullets. The center of the grouping of bullet holes is the ‘real’ place where the barrel points when the sights are aimed at the center.

Even with Mitt’s bump, the center mass never climbed enough. And Biden’s debate stopped (and to some extent reversed) the bump.

Barring something catastrophic, the presidential election isn’t really in doubt. For that matter we are very close to being almost as certain that the Dems will keep the Senate.

Me, I’m still watching the house. The Republicans should keep control despite losing seats, but it’s still possible for that to change. Not likely, but more possible than Romney becoming president of the US.