re: #188 NetworkKed
NH is polling at about Biden +10. It’s going to get called really fast.
I don’t really like the way the 538 choose-a-state thing is configured. Making any choice contrary to the polls yanks the entire map harder than a hypothetical really should. I understand where that math is coming from, but it reduces the polling and model input far more than I think a lot of users quite understand.
Nate’s model factors in that people really aren’t independent even if they are in different states. Regional issues will affect more than one state.