re: #162 b.d. (Competence 2020!)

If there is a 20% chance of rain, still have an umbrella handy.

It needs to be more than that, we need a once in a generation rout.

True.

However, if my ability to count the bubbles on their interactive chart is ok, then there’s a 25 out of a hundred chance that Biden reaches 400 in the Electoral College and a 38 in 100 chance for > 375. Fivethirtyeight says 29 in 100 chance for a Biden landslide, which they define as double-digit popular vote win.

Prepare for rain, but bring your sunglasses too.