re: #277 Archangelus

Elections were coming the moment the coalition govt fell apart. This is just the icing on the cake.

Likud and Yisrael Beitenu are likely to continue their alliance, which means that they’ve got about 30 seats between them. Lapid’s Yesh Atid has 19 seats - the same as Likud proper, which means that Lapid’s going to need to do more than just get 19 seats or match Likud’s seat take. He’s going to have to form alliances of his own to get more seats behind him ahead of the election or else Likud will be back in the driver’s seat to form a new government.

That said, if the election is anything like the last one, then the deck chairs will be rearranged, and the same parties will be fighting with the same number of seats, meaning more of the same. Likud formed a coalition govt with Yesh Atid the last time. Likud could fill that void with other parties, particularly the religious ones that it didn’t include previously. There was a reason it left those parties out before.

Lapid is more likely to bring Labor into the government, but it will need to address the religious parties as well in some fashion, particularly after the military exemptions were modified for religious Jews.