re: #19 NO SMOCKING GUN!

The question is just how much death and destruction the typical Republican voter will tolerate. I’m afraid with these skyrocketing covid numbers we are going to find out.

I’m resigned to the fact that he’s going to get at least 40% (probably +/-2) because that seems to be the floor for a major party nominee in the modern era, particularly in a two person race. The question is how close he comes to that and if he really ends up under it.

Reagan in 84 and Nixon in 72 were high water marks (58.8% and 60%, respectively) but those were incumbents seeking re-election. A challenger hasn’t got that high since FDR.

But with no “credible” third party candidates/nominees, Biden might just get there. Hell, even if it is 55-43, I’d be happy.