re: #36 goddamnedfrank

It’s not turning around. 538’s model is just insanely reactive and desperately wants to revert to a horserace whenever possible.

Sam Wang, keeping his eye on the election is quite different than Nate Silver:

election.princeton.edu

The turning of one or two state polls does not an election make. I am not interested in poll unskewing, I’ll leave that to Karl Rove. Professor Wang doesn’t unskew polls either.

Then there is Prof. Wang’s daily histogram:

election.princeton.edu

Which shows no path for Mr. Trump. None, not one.