It is satisfying to see Trump’s polling in the Morning Consult poll dropping across the nation.

Wyoming was the state which was most “Trumpy” at the start of his term, at +40. Now it’s +21. That isn’t exactly a promising state for the Democrats, but that is quite an erosion for a virtual one-party state.

The most “Trumpy” state currently is Alabama, at +26 (down from +36).

Pinks and reds are where he is in the minus column against Gen Eric Democrat. Blues are where he’s above water. Texas went from +21 to +6 (not quite a swing state, but certainly a concern for the GOP).

Every place which has become a virtual toss-up (like my state) is a place the GOP will either have to spend money to hold, or sacrifice to hold Texas.

If it was just two states (Nebraska with five electoral votes versus Texas with thirty-six) the math would be simple: Sacrifice Nebraska to hold Texas. But the huge pile of states which are looking bad (Iowa six electoral votes from +9 to -11) means hanging on to Texas is going to be damn costly for the GOP.

Of course, polling this far out is mostly inside baseball for political junkies. The overall trend is clear though, the combination of the normal loss of confidence in an incumbent coupled with the stunning incompetence of the same incumbent.

His incredible coat tails also have to have the GOP at least a little worried about the Senate. (Nearly everyone he endorses gorks on election day.)

The slide bar shows how he has sunk in polling gradually since he was inaugurated.
morningconsult.com