Fascinating. So the strategy doc was indeed “odd one out” all along. And Gleick apparently presented it as having come from the email batch, which is odd, to say the least. At the very least, he did not identify it as NOT coming from the email batch, which has the same effect. Something just rubs me the wrong way here.

In any case, this new information only adds to the evidence that the memo is probably fake - now it has no formal connection to the leak at all, it supposedly comes from a truly anonymous source (if Gleick tells the truth now), and while the tech arguments became irrelevant, the unexpected language and the grave mistakes arguments stay in full force. If the document is a fake, the only question is who is the author - a not-very-bright HI insider fed up with their shenanigans? Or maybe Gleick is not telling the full story?

I would still leave 10% probability that this is a real memo written by a particularly unhinged member of HI team, a member who is ignorant of some basic facts, like that Koch did not fund HI’s anti-AGW agitprop and that they did not give 200,000$ in 2011 but only 25,000$ (to the healthcare project), and who writes in the “evil conspirator” style. But not more than 10%.