re: #44 Jack Burton

I have a really bad relationship with probability, dice rolls, and RNGesus. So I get it.

The Atlantic had an interesting interview with a mathematician explaining what probabilities mean “A Math Whiz on How to Stop Stressing About Election Forecasts
An interview with the mathematician Jordan Ellenberg about politics, election forecasting, and how to think about the future like a pro:”

Ellenberg: According to some philosophers of mathematics, probability is a measure of your feelings. It’s a measure of your degree of belief in some proposition. That’s all it is.

[…]

Thompson: So probabilities are almost like guides for our feelings about the future?

Ellenberg: I would put it even more strongly: Feelings are for the same thing that math is for. They’re both for guiding your decisions and helping you select actions and helping you understand things. Relevant to your decision making is how strongly you feel about the outcome. So, yes, probabilities are about feelings.