re: #30 kirkspencer

I’m speculating here, but I think all these straws may wind up breaking the camel’s back.

By most predictive measures, Republicans look to come close to if not succeed in taking the house. Yet you keep getting these dings from Angle and Paul and Bachmann and Tancredo and, well, the list goes on. I think there’s a good possibility a lot of non-zealot voters are going to pause and wonder if someone didn’t bring a crazy STD to the party.

If my speculation is right, it’ll be kinda subtle in the polls. A bit less enthusiasm, a small shift in numbers from R to D, that sort of thing. In the end, you see only about 30 seats change hands in the House.

That’s a reasonable guess. Then again, predicting the future is notoriously difficult, especially if you have to do it ahead of time.

The only one who seems to know anything is that German octoracle.