Nevada Polls Show Romney Way Out in Front

Blowout

PoliticsFebruary 2012 • Views: 24,037

Looks like Nevada Republicans are starting to get used to the idea of holding their noses and taking their Mitt Romney medicine: Romney Poised to Roll, Poll Shows.

A new poll shows Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney headed for a blowout victory Saturday in Nevada’s GOP caucuses.

Romney wins support from 45 percent of Nevada Republicans who said they plan to participate in the caucuses, the survey commissioned by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow said.

Those who self-identify as “Tea Party” pod people are hanging tough with Newt, against the odds, fighting the good fight like our founding fathers would have, tricorne hats and all.

Newt Gingrich is Romney’s closest threat with 25 percent backing, thanks in large part to Republicans who say they “strongly support” the tea party movement.

Jump to bottom

48 comments

Mostly sane, most of the time. Thu, Feb 2, 2012 2:54:10pm

I'm sitting here biting back a mean comment involving Sin City and the Newt Gingrich being a flip flopper on the issue of Sin.

That's okay, it wasn't really jelling anyway.

And I have to go and give blood now, or at least try to.

You all have a good afternoon.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 2:54:29pm

Just wait until the clown car heads to the Deep South again. It will look like the Battle of Chancellorsville...gloriously victories for Newt that will nonetheless not win him the war

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 2:58:20pm

Demographics gonna demographic.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 2:59:57pm

re: #3 erik_t

Demographics gonna demographic.

These be republigraphics

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:02:51pm

re: #4 ralphieboy

These be republigraphics

Mormagraphics, if we want to be specific.

Schadenfreude 'r' Us Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:03:47pm

Off-topic carryover from last thread: the Komen story has made the News Hour (we'll see whether any of the "mainstream" news outlets touch it).

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:05:55pm

re: #5 erik_t

Mormagraphics, if we want to be specific.

that's utah. no question on who is gonna win big there.

mormons are not into *serial* polygamy

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:07:51pm

re: #7 ralphieboy

Something like 25% of Nevada is Mormon, and statistically they vote en bloc more than is typical for most groups.

Trying to tread carefully... I think all I've done is state facts.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:09:11pm

re: #8 erik_t

Something like 25% of Nevada is Mormon, and statistically they vote en bloc more than is typical for most groups.

Trying to tread carefully... I think all I've done is state facts.

you're right, they do tend to spill over into neighboring territories, they are big in Arizona, too.

Douchecanoe and Ryan Too Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:13:41pm

Sorry to go OT so early, but I just paged this a minute ago as the headline hit the local news in a big way: Minnesota lines up to battle right-to-work legislation

jamesfirecat Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:17:33pm

re: #10 thedopefishlives

Sorry to go OT so early, but I just paged this a minute ago as the headline hit the local news in a big way: Minnesota lines up to battle right-to-work legislation

Oh GOP never stop reaching for that bronze ring of a day when everyone will hate unions as much as you do....

engineer cat Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:17:51pm

Nevada Polls Show Romney Way Out in

Clown-in-Chief

EastSider Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:20:02pm

Can I ask for help from the lizard faithful?

How is Romney even going to pretend to separate himself from Obama in the general election? The big republican planks in any platform:

Foreign Policy: Obama wins in a landslide.

Healthcare: Romney actually enacted many components of "Obamacare"

Economy: Even if he has ideas for how to fix the economy (which I haven't heard, other than Obama's policies being "bad"), Romney is now perceived as the incarnation of the 1%, and I think he gets killed for it.

Social Conservatism: Romney has flipped more times on abortion and gay marriage than I can count. The half the country that is liberal will go Obama, the other half will hate Romney's lack of consistency. Which leads me to:

Character: This is hugely important for Repubs (see: Bush, George W). They want a good ole boy, a guy they can have a beer with, a guy who will stand up to the terrorists. Romney is a soft, bloviating flip flopper who doesn't seem to be able to throw or take a punch.

What I'm saying is: I don't think he can get Republicans out to vote, nor do I think he can get moderates. I would really like someone to tell me what platform this guy is going to run on in the summer/fall, and how he has a prayer of winning.

Feline Fearless Leader Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:21:16pm

re: #13 EastSider

He's white. But he won't directly say that.

Lord Baron Viscount Duke Earl Count Planckton Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:21:42pm

re: #13 EastSider

He would certainly need a charismatic VP.

Douchecanoe and Ryan Too Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:22:09pm

re: #11 jamesfirecat

Oh GOP never stop reaching for that bronze ring of a day when everyone will hate unions as much as you do...

Indiana was understandable, as the power of the unions was broken when the steel mills went under back in the early 2000's. Here in Minnesota, all we've got are union workers and farmers. The GOP is going to need all the luck it can gather if they're going to get this abomination shoehorned through. They don't call it the DFL for nothing.

Sionainn Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:23:01pm

re: #8 erik_t

Something like 25% of Nevada is Mormon, and statistically they vote en bloc more than is typical for most groups.

Trying to tread carefully... I think all I've done is state facts.

There are lots of Mormons in Nevada and they do tend to vote.

Gingrich's campaign has really screwed up. He really should have hit the rural areas, but there is infighting in his campaign. Your text to link...

jamesfirecat Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:24:13pm

re: #13 EastSider

Can I ask for help from the lizard faithful?

How is Romney even going to pretend to separate himself from Obama in the general election? The big republican planks in any platform:

Foreign Policy: Obama wins in a landslide.

Healthcare: Romney actually enacted many components of "Obamacare"

Economy: Even if he has ideas for how to fix the economy (which I haven't heard, other than Obama's policies being "bad"), Romney is now perceived as the incarnation of the 1%, and I think he gets killed for it.

Social Conservatism: Romney has flipped more times on abortion and gay marriage than I can count. The half the country that is liberal will go Obama, the other half will hate Romney's lack of consistency. Which leads me to:

Character: This is hugely important for Repubs (see: Bush, George W). They want a good ole boy, a guy they can have a beer with, a guy who will stand up to the terrorists. Romney is a soft, bloviating flip flopper who doesn't seem to be able to throw or take a punch.

What I'm saying is: I don't think he can get Republicans out to vote, nor do I think he can get moderates. I would really like someone to tell me what platform this guy is going to run on in the summer/fall, and how he has a prayer of winning.

Lieing.

Lots and lots of lieing.

There is no way in reality that Romney can argue he would be a better president than Obama so he will try to make reality go away.

I think is previously released adds against Obama spell this particular strategy out fairly clearly.

wrenchwench Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:24:28pm

re: #13 EastSider

I would really like someone to tell me what platform this guy is going to run on in the summer/fall, and how he has a prayer of winning.

He will tell lies. He will call Obama a socialist. I don't think he and Limbaugh like each other, but if you listen to Limbaugh, you will hear Romney's platform.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:24:39pm

re: #17 Sionainn

There are lots of Mormons in Nevada and they do tend to vote.

Gingrich's campaign has really screwed up. He really should have hit the rural areas, but there is infighting in his campaign. Your text to link...

This is a man who is machiavellian beyond normal human comprehension. I am not surprised to see him getting bit in the butt by it.

wrenchwench Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:24:57pm

re: #18 jamesfirecat

Lieing.

Lots and lots of lieing.

There is no way in reality that Romney can argue he would be a better president than Obama so he will try to make reality go away.

I think is previously released adds against Obama spell this particular strategy out fairly clearly.

Git outta mah haid.

Sionainn Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:25:48pm

re: #8 erik_t

Something like 25% of Nevada is Mormon, and statistically they vote en bloc more than is typical for most groups.

Trying to tread carefully... I think all I've done is state facts.

According to this,it's 7.1%. That sounds about right. It used to be much higher as a percentage, but then the population exploded in the past 15-20 years.

Lord Baron Viscount Duke Earl Count Planckton Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:26:54pm

I read somewhere here earlier (I think) that the primary battle is already taking a toll on Romney's absolute numbers. Anyone have that link?

EastSider Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:30:10pm

re: #23 Sergey Romanov

I read somewhere here earlier (I think) that the primary battle is already taking a toll on Romney's absolute numbers. Anyone have that link?

I believe it link or not. Gingrich's PAC is spending millions on anti-Romney ads. Its basically saved spending for Democrats in Florida and now Nevada.

And the longer he has to tack right to win primaries the harder its going to be to appear moderate enough to win the election.

WINDUPBIRD DISEASE [S.K.U.M.M.] Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:30:49pm

THIS TIME IT'S PERSONAL

don't give up Newt! Scorched earth!

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:31:32pm

re: #25 WindUpBird

THIS TIME IT'S PERSONAL

don't give up Newt! Scorched earth!

it has never not been personal for newt

Sionainn Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:31:32pm

re: #22 Sionainn

According to this,it's 7.1%. That sounds about right. It used to be much higher as a percentage, but then the population exploded in the past 15-20 years.

Also, if you look at that link, it shows the Nevada counties with high populations of LDS. Gingrich is making a mistake by ignoring those counties. I think Hillary Clinton made the same mistake and Obama got more delegates because of it.

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:32:27pm

re: #22 Sionainn

According to this,it's 7.1%. That sounds about right. It used to be much higher as a percentage, but then the population exploded in the past 15-20 years.

Oops. 25% of Republican primary voters, or something like that. I don't remember the exact phrasing, but I saw it on the internet so it must be true.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:35:33pm

re: #28 erik_t

Oops. 25% of Republican primary voters, or something like that. I don't remember the exact phrasing, but I saw it on the internet so it must be true.

that would make more sense.

Lord Baron Viscount Duke Earl Count Planckton Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:36:47pm

I love how Newsmax's polls are always preceded by

Vote in This Urgent Poll

If you don't, America will be imperiled!

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:37:55pm

re: #30 Sergey Romanov

I love how Newsmax's polls are always preceded by

If you don't, America will be imperiled!

Will they at least let me vote leftist to face the peril?

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:38:50pm

re: #30 Sergey Romanov

I love how Newsmax's polls are always preceded by

If you don't, America will be imperiled!

I read Newsmax for the same reason I used to read Pravda: to find out what the Party Line is on any particular issue and what the accepted talking points are

Lord Baron Viscount Duke Earl Count Planckton Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:46:04pm

URGENTLY BUY OUR URGENT SURVIVAL SEEDS SO YOU CAN SURVIVE URGENTLY!

Gus Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:47:55pm

re: #33 Sergey Romanov

"What's that?"

"Oh. Some huge pack of survival seeds my great-great-great-great-grandfather bought during the 2nd Dark Ages."

Feline Fearless Leader Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:49:46pm

re: #34 Gus 802

"What's that?"

"Oh. Some huge pack of survival seeds my great-great-great-great-grandfather bought during the 2nd Dark Ages."

//

But it's all sweet corn!
;)

Lord Baron Viscount Duke Earl Count Planckton Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:51:23pm

re: #34 Gus 802

"What's that?"

"Oh. Some huge pack of survival seeds my great-great-great-great-grandfather bought during the 2nd Dark Ages."

//

"Unfortunately, radiation killed them so they're pretty useless. They're not even good for your tentacles now."

So they chirped while the clatter of their hooves echoed throughout the concrete tunnel.

erik_t Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:53:46pm

re: #33 Sergey Romanov

URGENTLY BUY OUR URGENT SURVIVAL SEEDS SO YOU CAN SURVIVE URGENTLY!

IF YOU EAT MORE THAN THREE SEEDS PER WEEK, YOU SHOULD BE USING ONE LOCAL MOM'S 'WEIRD TRICK' FOR SURVIVAL

zora Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:57:44pm

re: #23 Sergey Romanov

I read somewhere here earlier (I think) that the primary battle is already taking a toll on Romney's absolute numbers. Anyone have that link?

[Link: www.realclearpolitics.com...]

Mostly sane, most of the time. Thu, Feb 2, 2012 3:59:03pm

That's a 1990 number, so it may have changed. I saw 11% on wiki, which would translated into the twenties for Republicans

Also, Mormons didn't spill into the surrounding states, nor was it a hostile takeover. There weren't any other Europeans living there yet, and Brigham Young knew enough about agriculture to realize that they couldn't all live in the Salt Lake Valley, so he sent people north and south on purpose.

Las Vegas was originally an LDS settlement, a piece of irony that is not lost on anyone.

Sol Berdinowitz Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:07:52pm

re: #39 EmmmieG

Yes, they settled Mesa, Arizona in the 1800's as well and several other small farming communities in AZ. And bought up a lot of the liquor licenses, which they lease out to gentiles...

Sionainn Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:08:23pm

re: #39 EmmmieG

That's a 1990 number, so it may have changed. I saw 11% on wiki, which would translated into the twenties for Republicans

Also, Mormons didn't spill into the surrounding states, nor was it a hostile takeover. There weren't any other Europeans living there yet, and Brigham Young knew enough about agriculture to realize that they couldn't all live in the Salt Lake Valley, so he sent people north and south on purpose.

Las Vegas was originally an LDS settlement, a piece of irony that is not lost on anyone.

Yes, in 1855. One of the cool things to check out in Las Vegas is the Old Mormon Fort.

krypto Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:16:09pm

Happy Ground Hog Day, Everyone!

If Newt went outside today and saw his shadow, it means there will be 210 more GOP debates.

jaunte Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:22:42pm

Wall Street bets big on Romney

No other candidate came close to the $12 million Romney's campaign raised directly in 2011 from individuals who work at financial firms and banks, which also includes cash from insurance and real estate companies, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

engineer cat Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:23:11pm

re: #22 Sionainn

According to this,it's 7.1%. That sounds about right. It used to be much higher as a percentage, but then the population exploded in the past 15-20 years.

if you take a look at people in vegas in the AM, "exploded" would probably be a good description

engineer cat Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:24:04pm

re: #13 EastSider

Can I ask for help from the lizard faithful?

How is Romney even going to pretend to separate himself from Obama in the general election? The big republican planks in any platform:

Foreign Policy: Obama wins in a landslide.

Healthcare: Romney actually enacted many components of "Obamacare"

Economy: Even if he has ideas for how to fix the economy (which I haven't heard, other than Obama's policies being "bad"), Romney is now perceived as the incarnation of the 1%, and I think he gets killed for it.

Social Conservatism: Romney has flipped more times on abortion and gay marriage than I can count. The half the country that is liberal will go Obama, the other half will hate Romney's lack of consistency. Which leads me to:

Character: This is hugely important for Repubs (see: Bush, George W). They want a good ole boy, a guy they can have a beer with, a guy who will stand up to the terrorists. Romney is a soft, bloviating flip flopper who doesn't seem to be able to throw or take a punch.

What I'm saying is: I don't think he can get Republicans out to vote, nor do I think he can get moderates. I would really like someone to tell me what platform this guy is going to run on in the summer/fall, and how he has a prayer of winning.

you have to keep in mind that in the minds of millions of morons, romney's greatest asset is that he's a white guy

Petero1818 Thu, Feb 2, 2012 4:58:49pm

re: #13 EastSider

I will bite. I don't think Romney has a chance but there is a spin he can put on some of it, and it may end closer than you think (Note: I do not support the following arguments - just saying what I think his spin is):

Foreign Policy: Obama has apologized rather than stood up for America around the world. He is not a good enough friend to Israel.

Healthcare: This is a states rights issue and he objects to the Federal govt. going there. What may be good for MA is not necessarily right for Alabama.

Economy: We are still in a deep recession, and Obama made it worse than it could have been. Government meddling prevented the market from allowing a full correction and has therefore stalled our ability to emerge from recession.

Taxing the rich, is not the solution to job growth.

Social Conservatism: In a general election he can tone this down a bit, but all he has to do is be to the right of the President and be anti choice.

Character: Romney has strong family values record. His character will not be an issue. Loving husband and father. No inkling of infidelity or skeletons in this regard. Yes a flip flopper but he can spin it as maturing ideologically.

Slumbering Behemoth Stinks Thu, Feb 2, 2012 5:18:47pm

Newt Gingrich is Romney’s closest threat with 25 percent backing, thanks in large part to Republicans who say they “strongly support” the tea party movement.

Ron Paul has got to be chewing nails by now.

Heh, yup.

wiffersnapper Fri, Feb 3, 2012 7:15:24am

I guess the "46 states" posters were meant to keep score: 46 for Mitt, 1 for Santorum, and 3 (being generous) for Newt.

Spy Mode Auto

This article has been archived.
Comments are closed.

Jump to top

Nevada Polls Show Romney Way Out in Front

► LGF Headlines

► Top 10 Comments

► Bottom Comments

► Recent Comments

► Tools/Info

► Tag Cloud