re: #166 NO SMOCKING GUN!

Interesting thread and article. What it boils down to is that Parscale’s reelection campaign for Trump from the beginning was to use social media to activate politically apathetic non-college educated whites through interests that connected them to similar voters such as hunting, NASCAR, etc. So Trump’s primary hope for reelection is that the polls are wrong because they are missing people who don’t fit the likely voter profiles in their models since they weren’t registered and didn’t vote in the past. And there has been a recent GOP registration edge in battleground states. Pinning your hopes on nonvoters is a risky strategy, but when Trump is your candidate, its the only one you’ve got; because all the voters have already made their minds up.

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Rachel’s points are salient.

17. And unlike others, I expect it to work- I expect we will see an increase in turnout among Trump voters, always have expected that esp since I saw their prototype work in the 2018 midterms which, BTW, saved them a couple of senate and gov races. But it only really matters in

— Rachel “The Doc” Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌 (@RachelBitecofer) October 15, 2020

19. stand a great chance of winning that race- even if Indies don’t break their way. So they hound the hell out of R voters and make sure they actually vote. Ds should do the same. This doesn’t mean you don’t spend any money on the middle of the voter file, of course you do- but

— Rachel “The Doc” Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌 (@RachelBitecofer) October 15, 2020