re: #357 Talking Point Detective

My point is that predictions about the level of impact by a certain end point are highly contingent upon the rates of change, and that there is fairly wide CI w/r/t sensitivity over a 200-year time span.

Sure.

If you’re going to make a prediction about level of global temperature change, you have to associate it with a specific rate of change and discuss where that rate is in the range of probabilities, and even there when you’re talking about the relationship between temperatures and impact there is a great deal of uncertainty.

Well, yes. So why the detour into adaptability, which would depend on a highly accurate prediction?

I’m not really sure what you’re saying here - it seems to me that the logic of what you wrote is completely consistent with the comment you were responding to, yet you’re telling me that I’m wrong.

When you say:

Predicting regional impact, while extremely difficult at a very specific llevel, is what is most certain.

You are wrong. Predicting regional impact is no more certain than predicting global impact.