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Financial Crisis Watch

Business | Mon, Sep 15, 2008 at 2:56:20 pm PDT

Spiegel Online has an interview with former International Monetary Fund chief economist Kenneth Rogoff about the financial crisis: Interview With Ex-IMF Chief Economist: Banks Won’t Be as Profitable in Future.

Kenneth Rogoff: It’s the worst financial crisis since World War II — there’s really no hyperbole anymore. At the same time, it had to happen. The US financial system was bloated and overgrown and reckless to some extent. Now it is being reigned in.

SPIEGEL: What went wrong?

Rogoff: In 2006, the financial sector accounted for a third of corporate profits in the US, although it only represents 2 or 3 percent of total gross domestic product. Goldman Sachs alone distributed $16.5 billion in bonuses to its 26,000 employees. I’m sorry, I think it’s unbelievable. You can’t just make money out of thin air like this, and underlaying this there were enormous risks being taken.

SPIEGEL: What do you think willl happen now?

Rogoff: What we’re seeing is a shrinking industry — perhaps by 20 or 25 percent and in some segments perhaps as much as 50 percent. But these finance products based on fancy rocket science and derivatives just aren’t coming back, and that’s very painful. The industry is not going to make the same profits in the future as it did in the past. And this isn’t just about subprime and mortgage losses. Investors are starting to realize that the profit model these investment banks were running on has been trimmed.

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1 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:58:47pm

How profitable are banks now? Like in terms of Return On Investment, etc.

2 ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:59:05pm

Barney Fank and Fannie Mae

[Link: www.wsj.com...]

3 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:59:13pm
4 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:00:03pm
5 wrenchwench  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:00:51pm
You can’t just make money out of thin air like this

Well, you sort of can for a while, but then it goes back where it came from.

6 Ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:00:57pm

Jamie Gorelik and Fannie Mes

[Link: volokh.com...]

7 Son of the Black Dog  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:01:02pm

re: #1 jwb7605

How profitable are banks now? Like in terms of Return On Investment, etc.

That's the problem. You can't trust their financial statements. You can't trust their portfolio valuations. Some could be very undervalued, many are probably overvalued. Trouble is, you don't know which is which.

8 Metal Man  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:01:02pm

Well all those people who spent their entire paycheck and didn't invest are looking pretty smart now I guess.
/

9 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:01:07pm
10 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:01:12pm
11 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:02:54pm

From Huffington Post

...when Palin finished second runner-up in the Miss Alaska pageant, it is unlikely that the outcome sat well with either of them. Few experts know what drives serial killers to kill serially - but later, Palin winning the "Miss Congeniality" award, must have been icing on the cake.

A very deadly cake, one might add. With murderous frosting. Made of death.

And murder.

Hehe, you just can't make this stuff up.

12 Ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:09pm

Obama and Fannie Mae

[Link: money.cnn.com...]

13 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:14pm

re: #4 taxfreekiller

Facts count.

ps

There is no money to be made via the global warming fraud.

Al Gore is making a killing selling carbon offsets. Basically selling nothing to people who are complete morons(50% of American population).

14 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:29pm

Used money for sale.

15 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:50pm
16 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:51pm

re: #7 Son of the Black Dog

That's the problem. You can't trust their financial statements. You can't trust their portfolio valuations. Some could be very undervalued, many are probably overvalued. Trouble is, you don't know which is which.

If that's true, Sarah Palin's comment today is right on target.
I didn't understand, though, exactly what she was referring to when she said the present system is "outdated".

There are, I suspect, several other Americans as dumb as me on the subject.

17 jorline  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:03:57pm
Goldman Sachs alone distributed $16.5 billion in bonuses to its 26,000 employees. I’m sorry, I think it’s unbelievable. You can’t just make money out of thin air like this, and underlaying this there were enormous risks being taken.

I wish I could pull money out of thin air for my business...is the air thinner toward the top of the room or the floor?

18 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:04:32pm

...that's an actual article by Greg Gutfeld on Huffington Post.

19 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:04:37pm
Goldman Sachs alone distributed $16.5 billion in bonuses to its 26,000 employees.

In 2006 alone? Why?

20 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:04:52pm

re: #8 Metal Man

Well all those people who spent their entire paycheck and didn't invest are looking pretty smart now I guess.
/


Especailly since world will end on 12/12/12.(According to ancient Maya)

21 tee866  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:04:55pm

If the banks would not have giving loans to people that had no credit or means to pay them back then I'm pretty sure the banks wouldn't be in the trouble that they are in now,yes I'm sure the markets will come around they always do and no I don't like it because that's my 401k that's taking the hit but in the long run it makes the market stronger so I hope to come about.

22 Syrah  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:05:06pm

re: #11 DeliLama

From Huffington Post


Hehe, you just can't make this stuff up.

It's so over the top that I have to wonder if it is a put on.

If it is real, somebody is in serious need of a padded room and a long sleeve jacket with buckles in the back.

23 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:05:22pm
24 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:05:53pm

re: #10 buzzsawmonkey

Of course there is. Get people scared of ghosts and devils, and you can sell them all kinds of amulets.

Yeah; I don't think the St. Christopher talisman has anything to worry about.

Nor do the vendors to religious cynics of the Buddy Christ:

[Link: jayandsilentbob.com...]

25 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:05:54pm

Looks like it's gonna be President Barack Obama. What's next? Sharia law here too?

26 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:05:58pm

As a longtime investor, I can say that if derivatives blow up, it's going to make a very terrible mess.

27 eff plus  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:06:18pm

I’m skeptical of this (possibly out of context snippet of) analysis.

(As an aside, you can tell Spiegel is salivating at the thought of possible US misery. “Never ending crisis” ? wtf? Barf.)

28 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:06:30pm

re: #19 MandyManners

In 2006 alone? Why?

Better yet, why wasn't I included on their mail-a-check list?


I don't feel sorry for any of these guys. All the CEOs should be imprisoned...and the employees, well, most can retire for life.

29 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:06:38pm

re: #1 jwb7605

How profitable are banks now? Like in terms of Return On Investment, etc.

Commercial banks had a return on equity in the 2nd Quarter 2008 of 3.51%. 2nd Quarter 2007 was 12.24%.

The FDIC has good statistics.

30 Ojoe  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:07:19pm

All the real things are still there

Roofing

Siding

Doors

Windows

Pasta in the Pantry

A water heater

Kid's rooms

Kids

Car

Tires

It if the flim-flam artists who are at fault here, and the people of the public who wanted something for nothing.

31 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:07:24pm

re: #29 Dahveed

Commercial banks had a return on equity in the 2nd Quarter 2008 of 3.51%. 2nd Quarter 2007 was 12.24%.

The FDIC has good statistics.

You can squeeze a turnip for only so long before there's no blood left in it.

32 Whiterasta  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:07:32pm

I seem to remember a similar thing back in the 80's with the S&L scandal.

Is this more of the same? (Financial illiterate, here.)

33 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:07:43pm

re: #22 Syrah

It's so over the top that I have to wonder if it is a put on.

If it is real, somebody is in serious need of a padded room and a long sleeve jacket with buckles in the back.

I laughed myself silly reading it.

34 runrabbitrun  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:08:06pm

How does this compare with the dot.com bubble meltdown after the Clinton administration, in definition and/or in scope? Any econo-lizards out there to fill me in?

35 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:08:11pm

re: #23 buzzsawmonkey

That is very bad craziness.

Yeah, I'm surprised it didn't crash their server with the error

ERROR 489B11: BAD CRAZINESS

36 CyanSnowHawk  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:08:24pm

re: #11 DeliLama

From Huffington Post


Hehe, you just can't make this stuff up.

No you can't. Isn't that line lifted from the Sandra Bullock film, Miss Congeniality?

37 jorline  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:08:43pm

re: #19 MandyManners

In 2006 alone? Why?

Because they knew no one was watching or cared...it was SOP. Free money for everyone...I'm looking for the a link from 2005 or 06 about the Xmas bonuses that were paid to everyone.

38 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:08:58pm

re: #31 Salamantis

You can squeeze a turnip for only so long before there's no blood left in it.

These things happen every 10-15 years with the banks. We always get through it alright.

39 Whiterasta  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:09:29pm

re: #30 Ojoe

Excellent point! Warren Buffet won't invest in shilly-shally stuff.

40 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:09:33pm

re: #22 Syrah

It's so over the top that I have to wonder if it is a put on.

If it is real, somebody is in serious need of a padded room and a long sleeve jacket with buckles in the back.

If that's the same Gutfeld that hosts "Red Eye Express" on late night Fox and runs this web site, I guarantee you it's a put-on.

41 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:09:58pm
42 Ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:10:15pm

Mark Levin is talking about Obama, James Johnson and Gorlelik ans ACORN

43 Ojoe  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:10:22pm

re: #39 Whiterasta

Piss on the fat cats.

44 ibmkeyboard  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:10:36pm

Obama tried to block troop withdrawal from Iraq.

"He asked the Iraq leaders why we were not prepared to delay an agreement until after the US elections and the formation of a new administration in Washington," Zebari said in an interview.
Obama insisted that Congress should be involved in negotiations on the status of US troops - and that it was in the interests of both sides not to have an agreement negotiated by the Bush administration in its "state of weakness and political confusion."


The Son Of A Bitch.

45 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:10:48pm

re: #21 tee866

If the banks would not have giving loans to people that had no credit or means to pay them back then I'm pretty sure the banks wouldn't be in the trouble that they are in now,yes I'm sure the markets will come around they always do and no I don't like it because that's my 401k that's taking the hit but in the long run it makes the market stronger so I hope to come about.

If the banks who loaned people money who couldn't pay it back on the terms they signed up for how about cutting them some slack? You know, something instead of nothing. But no. They foreclosed. Greedy bastards. Trying to flip the properties to make their own profits and ended up crashing the market.
Since I've been around greedy capitalists and crooks have screwed us routinely every 10 years or so.

46 karmic_inquisitor  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:11:16pm

you know how these banks will make money in the future? By financing businesses that make money, create jobs and reduce the trade defecit.

something they should have been doing all along.

47 caliredst8r  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:11:18pm

re: #11 DeliLama

It is a joke, for some reason they allow him to post there and he pretty much just makes fun of the lib's all the time.

48 runrabbitrun  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:11:26pm

re: #38 Dahveed

These things happen every 10-15 years with the banks. We always get through it alright.

That's what the grampa rabbit told me this A.M. when I reported the overnight news. But then I heard Greenspan bemoaning the 'hundred year worst crisis' - and he's no friend to this administration or Bernake, is he?

49 J.S.  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:11:30pm

Today's buy out of Merrill-Lynch and chapter 11 state of the Lehmans has to do with commercial/business loans; whereas Freddie and Fannie were about the problems with respect to residential loans (to ordinary householders -- mortagage defaults). (the commercial/business loan problem will potentially have more serious ripple effects -- or so I've heard...they also save new regulatory measures need to be put in place.)

50 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:03pm

re: #36 CyanSnowHawk

No you can't. Isn't that line lifted from the Sandra Bullock film, Miss Congeniality?

The moose come home to roost!

51 GrepSedAwk  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:15pm

It was the usual busy day at the bank where I work. After a glance at the line of waiting customers, a harried-looking man came up to the side counter and demanded, "What do I have to do to change the address on my account?" Without missing a beat, the teller replied, "You have to move."

52 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:22pm

re: #41 buzzsawmonkey

What I find thigh-slappingly funny is the poor brute's ascribing significance to various coincidental dates. My late uncle--not a friend of superstition--used to say, "Of course there are coincidences. There are only 365 days in a year."


A broken clock is right twice a day. What goes around comes around. Every thing ends up where it should be---in a hole.

53 Ojoe  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:27pm

re: #45 kansas

Absolute bastards they are, making it harder for families trying to raise kids, and who do they think will take care of them when they are old? Health care workers who were kids once, thank you very much.

54 J.S.  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:52pm

correction for #49 -- that's "say" not "save"

55 jorline  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:12:57pm

re: #19 MandyManners

In 2006 alone? Why?

Here's part of it.

56 so.cal.swede  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:13:23pm

re: #50 Salamantis

The moose come home to roostroast!

57 Alouette  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:13:43pm

re: #18 DeliLama

...that's an actual article by Greg Gutfeld on Huffington Post.

Palin Dementia is a deadly virus, it spreads vaster than Ebola, it is global and can not be contained, like HIV it only infects a certain class, in this case liberals.

58 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:14:01pm

re: #48 runrabbitrun

Greenspan needs to keep quiet. Every time he opens his mouth the market tanks.

59 Sizzlack  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:14:51pm

I took a wallop today. A bad wallop. Oye. : (

60 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:15:06pm

Let me just say something about banks. I've pored through the FDIC database (which is open to the public, fabulous source of analysis) and have gotten a pretty good sense of where banks are at. Overall in the US, banks are solid. In Florida, banks are doing badly. The average bank in Florida is losing money right now. However, the capitalization ratios are still pretty good for the average bank in Florida and around the US. I'd say the system should survive quite well, but with some very visible explosions in places.

Definitely take the time to learn how to use the FDIC database. You can compare any group of banks (or individual bank) at any point in time to any other group at any other time. You can get extremely detailed information about all facets of the bank including non-accruing loans broken down by type and number of days late.

61 Syrah  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:15:11pm

re: #40 jwb7605

If that's the same Gutfeld that hosts "Red Eye Express" on late night Fox and runs this web site, I guarantee you it's a put-on.

Good.

Looking at the comments on the HuffPo page, i see that the over crazy attacks on Palin are not sitting well with some of the HuffPo posters.

62 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:15:32pm

There's really nothing wrong with the idea of mortgage-backed securities. The problem was of course that system failure allowed the risk assessment of the MBS products to become wildly out of whack with their actual risk.

63 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:15:58pm

re: #47 caliredst8r

It is a joke, for some reason they allow him to post there and he pretty much just makes fun of the lib's all the time.


And the problem is?

64 debutaunt  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:16:11pm

re: #43 Ojoe

Piss on the fat cats.

Go easy on the Mama Winger references.

65 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:16:36pm

Ok, so the deadly cake article is a joke. Thankfully.

66 caliredst8r  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:16:56pm

Greg Gutfield's website

67 Ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:17:10pm

Obama's conversation about the Iraqi withdrawal

[Link: thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com...]

68 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:17:11pm

It started with this f-head back here, after that they started digging out the other ones.

69 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:17:14pm

There should be a 9/11 type governmental investigation of the financial sector aka Wall Street , etc. etc. and someone else I won't mention...

70 jorline  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:17:33pm

re: #55 jorline

Here's part of it.

Another here...more info at the bottom of this linky.

71 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:17:52pm

re: #36 CyanSnowHawk

No you can't. Isn't that line lifted from the Sandra Bullock film, Miss Congeniality?

Yes, and (after PIMF a bit late on my other link), I absolutely positively guarantee you that the whole article is a big bunch of satire.

The exact same article is on his web site.

He runs a "sanitary version" of Howard Stern on The Red Eye Express.

72 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:18:16pm

I posted this article from the NY Post from March last night and I will post it again for the benefit of those that didn't see it. I think the banks deserve plenty of blame, but the government created so much difficulty in the name of fairness for all.

From the current hand-wringing, you'd think that the banks came up with the idea of looser underwriting standards on their own, with regulators just asleep on the job. In fact, it was the regulators who relaxed these standards - at the behest of community groups and "progressive" political forces.

(snip)

Sound crazy? You bet. Those "outdated" standards existed to limit defaults. But bank regulators required the loosened underwriting standards, with approval by politicians and the chattering class. A 1995 strengthening of the Community Reinvestment Act required banks to find ways to provide mortgages to their poorer communities. It also let community activists intervene at yearly bank reviews, shaking the banks down for large pots of money.

Banks that got poor reviews were punished; some saw their merger plans frustrated; others faced direct legal challenges by the Justice Department.

73 caliredst8r  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:18:33pm

re: #63 kansas

The problem is that people are taking him seriously, yeah, I know, he is on that website so that makes him suspicious. But he is pretty funny! I guess they keep him around as the token conservative, they can point at him and claim they are fair and balanced.

74 kevinmumaw  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:18:43pm

Glad I started buying Washington Mutual a couple months ago. Down 58% since.

/sarc

75 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:19:01pm

re: #63 kansas

And the problem is?

The problem is the libs don't get it first time around.

I know, I know, /and the problem is?

76 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:19:07pm
77 yochanan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:20:00pm

obama's tax plan is going to work real well
YEAH RIGHT

78 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:21:26pm

whoo!

Levin just riffed on this Fannie and Freddie, a huge number of the officers of those companies are former (D)s. Jammie Gorelick (the wall) earned 26 million in 1 year.

79 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:21:36pm

re: #72 Dahveed

I posted this article from the NY Post from March last night and I will post it again for the benefit of those that didn't see it. I think the banks deserve plenty of blame, but the government created so much difficulty in the name of fairness for all.

Exactly, the community organizers were working for looser standards in targetted areas, then it spread everywhere. Who does that remind me of?

80 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:21:41pm

re: #59 Sizzlack

I took a wallop today. A bad wallop. Oye. : (

I don't think this will help but you're not alone.

81 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:21:43pm

And I *am* glad that the government didn't bail out Lehman, even if it meant something of a bloodbath on Wall Street today. (Which could have been a lot worse IMHO.)

82 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:21:53pm

re: #73 caliredst8r

The problem is that people are taking him seriously, yeah, I know, he is on that website so that makes him suspicious. But he is pretty funny! I guess they keep him around as the token conservative, they can point at him and claim they are fair and balanced.

With Gutfeld, if he were on another (let's say Hot Air) site, he could also be construed as the "token liberal". I've seen him go both ways.

83 Alouette  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:22:13pm

Latest outburst of dementia:

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

While I have never frequented a tanning salon, and it is considered a frivolous luxury in the "lower 48" it may be a health issue if one lives in a region that gets very little sunlight for 6 months of the year.

84 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:22:30pm

re: #82 jwb7605

With Gutfeld, if he were on another (let's say Hot Air) site, he could also be construed as the "token liberal". I've seen him go both ways.

Yeah; he's an equal opportunity reamer.

85 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:23:01pm

I talked to my broker today and asked him about the employees at LEH. Folks, it sucks, most of those had huge amounts of LEH stock in their 401K's and are pretty much wiped out. While I am happy to see accountability on Wall Street, I am also saddened that so many people have to start over from scratch.

Disclosure: I owned a good bit of LEH at around $16. You win some you lose some. LEH will be a 2008 tax loss.

86 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:23:43pm

re: #80 GeeWiz

I don't think this will help but you're not alone.

You are not alone, I took a wallop today to.

87 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:24:41pm

Is it time to start sewing my jewels into my corset?

88 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:25:32pm
89 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:25:34pm
90 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:07pm

re: #19 MandyManners

Goldman Sachs alone distributed $16.5 billion in bonuses to its 26,000 employees.

In 2006 alone? Why?

The point is there were ten (twenty?) other investment banks and hedge funds doing the same thing on the billion-dollar scale and also on the same scale in 2005, and 2004, and to lesser scale, for the previous ten, fifteen years. In 2007, not so much, and this year, hardly at all.

/just in case you were seriously asking, but the point is, maybe half a trillion dollars were milked from the system over a decade, the process not being new, but the scale probably was.

91 DeliLama  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:13pm

re: #83 Alouette

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

This will backfire on liberals for one simple reason. Roughly 50% of the readers will realize that she's naked when she gets into that thing.

92 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:25pm

I only wish that there would be an investigation of Chris Dodd(D-CT) and his transgressions as Senate Banking Chairman. He reaps, we sow. As a CT resident, I despise this man!

93 Kosh's Shadow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:27pm

re: #45 kansas

If the banks who loaned people money who couldn't pay it back on the terms they signed up for how about cutting them some slack? You know, something instead of nothing. But no. They foreclosed. Greedy bastards. Trying to flip the properties to make their own profits and ended up crashing the market.
Since I've been around greedy capitalists and crooks have screwed us routinely every 10 years or so.

The problem is that the banks and mortgage companies came up with loans that relied on unicorns flying for the people to be able to pay them back in the future; things like "interest only loans", etc.

And I think that got people who would never be able to pay.

Also, I think many who fell for one of these loan shark deals didn't know how to deal with a bank to ask for some kind of change in terms. They just skipped payments until the bank foreclosed.

(I have a 25-year fixed mortgage; the house is still worth more than I paid 10 years ago, and I'm paying probably 1/2 of the typical mortgage payment in Mass. Got the house when properties in the town bottomed out after a nearby facility closed.)

Need to be going, so this is a drive-by post.

94 debutaunt  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:30pm

re: #89 taxfreekiller

Leave the corset,
use your brain.

A bejeweled tiara for Mandy.

95 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:43pm

Silver lining: Crude continues to drop in price. ($95/bbl Nymex)

96 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:47pm

re: #79 Thanos

Exactly, the community organizers were working for looser standards in targetted areas, then it spread everywhere. Who does that remind me of?

And the media will never look to "community activists" for their complicity in all of this. It is all the fault of those greedy banks.

97 avk2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:51pm

Well, we already got some o' the Ronulans claiming there'll be a bank run tomorrow.

/my mattress is little and green too

98 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:56pm

re: #91 DeliLama

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

This will backfire on liberals for one simple reason. Roughly 50% of the readers will realize that she's naked when she gets into that thing.

Lemme know when her tancam comes online...;~)

99 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:26:56pm

re: #88 buzzsawmonkey

Cash and CD's work well in times like these. I think the Stock Market hits sub 10K before a real turnaround ensues.

BTW, I think WM is the next domino to fall.

100 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:28:12pm

re: #83 Alouette

Latest outburst of dementia:

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

While I have never frequented a tanning salon, and it is considered a frivolous luxury in the "lower 48" it may be a health issue if one lives in a region that gets very little sunlight for 6 months of the year.

Oh! My the Palin's spending THEIR money on things THEY want.
The Horror!

What till the get a load of the Palin's guns and ammo spending!

101 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:28:18pm

And, although it may seem counterintuitive, the dollar rose today against the Euro and pound sterling.

102 Dianna  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:28:53pm

re: #93 Kosh's Shadow

More: you miss the amateur speculators.

For instance, when the music stopped at the end of 06, the mayor of Stockton got caught with six properties he couldn't sell, or pay for.

There's been a lot of that.

103 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:29:36pm

re: #87 MandyManners

Is it time to start sewing my jewels into my corset?

Invest in canned food and ammunition!

/

104 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:29:42pm

re: #17 jorline

I wish I could pull money out of thin air for my business...is the air thinner toward the top of the room or the floor?

It did not come out of thin air - it came out of your 401(k) and other investments - mutual funds - etc. Deal with brokers and management fees ... expect to be fleeced.

[Link: www.thepiratesofmanhattan.com...]

105 Racer X  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:29:47pm

re: #91 DeliLama

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

This will backfire on liberals for one simple reason. Roughly 50% of the readers will realize that she's naked when she gets into that thing.


You now have my attention.

106 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:28pm

re: #101 Occasional Reader

And, although it may seem counterintuitive, the dollar rose today against the Euro and pound sterling.

Great. Now export industries will be hurting, too. As will euro vacation concerns. But at least consumers will be able to buy even cheaper foreign crap. And the per-barrel oil proce should drop a bit.

107 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:31pm

re: #99 jetpilot1101

BTW, I think WM is the next domino to fall.

I was under the impression that Washington Mutual had overcome their problems. Is my impression wrong? Should I be worried? WM is my mortgage carrier.

108 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:38pm

re: #96 Dahveed

And the media will never look to "community activists" for their complicity in all of this. It is all the fault of those greedy banks.

I happen to be familiar with some of the strong arm tactics that were used against BofA and Wells Fargo to strongarm them into "Neighborhood Advantage" etc. Luckily they both pretty much got out before they got to deep, reset the standards again.

109 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:44pm

re: #8 Metal Man

Some of us can't help that - and we ain't poor, unless you count the middle-class in that 'bracket'.

/OTOH - I didn't buy my house with dirty money.

110 Syrah  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:51pm

Some good stuff here:

But I know the real reason why every single elitist media type is so scared of her. They have never met her. And by her, I don`t mean Sarah Palin – I mean "her" – an actual normal woman with a bunch of kids, an average husband, no desire to watch "the L Word," and definitely not up on her Chakras. She`s scary to these folks the way Walmart is scary to them: both are alien to someone accustomed to blogging about Project Runway and alternative medicine. They won`t go there, because they`ve never been there.

To them, hating Sarah Palin is a symptom of larger bigotry against "the rest of us." The normal. If they saw her at a cocktail party, they would run away from her with a smirk. She's the anti-Obama, the anti-New York Times, the anti-Alec Baldwin. the anti-"everything that can be ordered in the back pages of the Utne Reader."

111 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:53pm

re: #99 jetpilot1101

Cash and CD's work well in times like these. I think the Stock Market hits sub 10K before a real turnaround ensues.

BTW, I think WM is the next domino to fall.

That, in fact, will create a complete crisis of spirit if and when it happens.

112 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:30:58pm

unn...price

113 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:31:43pm

re: #106 Salamantis

Great. Now export industries will be hurting, too. As will euro vacation concerns. But at least consumers will be able to buy even cheaper foreign crap. And the per-barrel oil proce should drop a bit.

Oil dropped below $96 I believe. So we got that going for us.

114 Dianna  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:31:56pm

re: #96 Dahveed

Right now, I'm watching the Greenlining Institute gear up to insist that nonprofits give to more "diverse" organizations.

That means the ones they approve of. Not the ones the funders think are worthy.

That's part of what happened to the mortgage lenders. There's plenty of blame to go around, but you're right, the "community activists" will not receive their share of the blame.

The Masons will get more blame than they will.

115 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:32:07pm
116 earth56  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:32:33pm

Even with genuises running the financial sector I could swear that 10 times nine still equals 90.

I'm getting a degree next week to put up near my PC

117 Albigensian  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:33:35pm

To understand how stuff like this can happen, you might want to read Roger Lowenstein's book, "When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management."

The basic strategy of LTCM came down to placing huge bets on events that were very likely to happen. Because such bets can return only fractions of a penny on each dollar wagered, LTCM made highly leveraged bets- if they placed a $100 million bet, $97 million of the money might be borrowed.

The author compares this to "picking up nickels in front of a bulldozer." Apparently there were plenty of nickels, and they were not all that hard to pick up- but, the consequences of even a small stumble could be, well, unpleasant.

To put it another way, doubling your bet until you win (and then leaving the game) sounds like a safe strategy, and it usually is-- but, there's always that small chance that you'll run out of money before a run of bad luck turns in your favor. Therefore, if you keep playing games like this, you're likely to have a long string of small, steady gains come to an end with a final, massively catastrophic loss.

What amazes me about "high finance" is the essential simplicity of much of it-- once the flim-flam has been removed.

118 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:33:36pm

re: #106 Salamantis

Great. Now export industries will be hurting, too.

I am of the school that thinks a stronger dollar at this point is better for us. Yes, it's true that with a weaker dollar, US manufacturers tend to export more; but they get paid less for what they make, so to speak. And to the extent they have to rely on any imported components (which is almost always the case... at the very least, imported oil), a weak dollar actually hurts the competitiveness of a US manufacturer versus a European or Japanese counterpart.

The dollar has been undervalued; a comeback is a healthy thing.

119 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:33:52pm

re: #45 kansas


Since I've been around greedy capitalists and crooks have screwed us routinely every 10 years or so.

You said greedy capitalist as though it were a bad thing? It's the crook part that worries me.

120 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:33:59pm

re: #83 Alouette

Oh, yes, an excellent use of a frivolous vanity. Being sun deprived for long periods will result in Vitamin D deficiency.Bet tan beds are very popular in Alaska.

121 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:34:06pm

re: #107 GeeWiz

I was under the impression that Washington Mutual had overcome their problems. Is my impression wrong? Should I be worried? WM is my mortgage carrier.

If WM goes down your mtg will be snapped up on the secondary market and you will still get to pay it. not to worry.

122 Sizzlack  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:34:41pm

re: #80 GeeWiz

I don't think this will help but you're not alone.

I know I know. But it feels better to at least say it aloud. Wallop. Terrible...NYC felt very strange today to me.

123 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:34:45pm

re: #115 buzzsawmonkey

When in the Corset of human events, it becomes necessary for one person to conceal in her undergarments' bands the wherewithal which has connected her with her purchases, and to assume among the financial powers of the neighborhood, the separate and financially independent station to which the Laws of Economics and of Economics' God entitle her, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that she should declare the techniques which enable her to embark upon the concealment.

Are you trying to get into Mandy's unmentionables?
/ ;-P

124 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:35:42pm
125 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:35:43pm

re: #107 GeeWiz

Your mortgage will be fine if and when the FEDs take over the bank. My friend's mortgage from IndyMac is still legit.

As for WM, I think they are going under. Most folks think they have bypassed the problems of the sector but IMHO, you can't trust the books or what the PR's tell you. Look at LEH, up until a few months ago, they were turning a profit. So how does a 158 YO company go from boom to bust in 2 quarters...they were cooking the books. I'm not saying WM is any different but if I had to gamble, I'd bet against WM remaining solvent. OTOH, if JPM buys them out at $5, you can make a ton of money buying down here. I wouldn't bet the farm but that is a possibility.

126 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:36:14pm

re: #113 Dahveed

Oil dropped below $96 I believe. So we got that going for us.

Not very comforting when one considers the losses suffered on "the street" today. The losses I suffered today would easily cover $300.00 per barrel oil. Kinda sucks to be me I guess.

127 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:36:40pm

re: #107 GeeWiz

I was under the impression that Washington Mutual had overcome their problems. Is my impression wrong? Should I be worried? WM is my mortgage carrier.

WaMu will be taken over by the Bank of England, and will henceforth be known as Wham!UK.

/

128 keen  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:37:01pm

I don't post much, but the lizards are too smart to be led astray here. I've been on Wall Street for 20 years. Two things caused the recent problems, both changes in government regulation. First, last summer they changed the rules on shorting stocks. Previously, you could not push the price of a stock down by selling shares you didn't own. Now you can. Second, they required all banks to "mark to market" all their assets for accounting purposes. What that means is if you have a $100,000 mortgage, and you are still paying on it, in the old days the bank showed that on the books at $100,000. Now, if they think you might not pay part of it, even if you are up to date, they need to mark it down, say to $95,000. Your loan, which is a liability to you, is an asset to the bank. When they mark it down, they need to mark down their equity too, and need to raise more. So, you have guys shorting the stocks of banks, and the banks can't raise equity since the stocks are cratering, combined with the need for more money from having to mark down positions. Death spiral. If these businesses had stayed private, or the regulations weren't changed, they'd all be fine. This problem, and the demise of Bear Stearns, Lehman, and Merrill, were caused by lousy government policy. It's a classic case of unanticipated consequences: take two "good" regulatory changes, and blammo, the US financial system has left the building.

129 runrabbitrun  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:37:10pm

Despite my rant about the overimportance attached to the candidates' performances in the presidential and VP debates, if this HAD to happen, I'm glad that it happened before the debates.

At least McCain/Palin will have their chance to educate some of the indies and Dems on the role Democrats and their programs played in the bank meltdowns. And I hope Mac - or at least Palin - has the cahones to remind voters which candidates profited most from Freddie and Fannie, Countrywide, and other mortgage schemes.

130 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:38:16pm

re: #114 Dianna

Rush was talking about it today. So, that will mean that the media will completely discount it and blame the banks only.

The President, Senator Shelby and various conservative think tanks were busy telling anyone who would listen that Fannie and Freddie needed to be reformed. But, the Congress wouldn't take any action. I have seen articles from the early 90s on this so this should be no surprise to anyone in government. But the liberals will still blame everybody else.

131 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:39:15pm

re: #120 vagabond trader

Oh, yes, an excellent use of a frivolous vanity. Being sun deprived for long periods will result in Vitamin D deficiency.Bet tan beds are very popular in Alaska.


It's more than a vitamin defiency. Morale and work effiency goes up when the sun comes around more often. In NE Ohio, where I lived and worked for 12 years, it is amazing how everyone wants to be outside when the sun finally shows up after weeks and months of gray skies and snowstorms. You just stand outside looking at the sky.

132 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:39:20pm

re: #124 buzzsawmonkey

That's the opening paragraph of the Declaration of Financial Independence.

Yeah, okay what ever you say!

133 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:39:21pm

re: #128 keen

Who fundamentally was responsible for the federal rule changes?
Bernanke or Congress?
I'm asking because I don't know.

134 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:40:02pm

re: #120 vagabond trader

Oh, yes, an excellent use of a frivolous vanity. Being sun deprived for long periods will result in Vitamin D deficiency.Bet tan beds are very popular in Alaska.

Yes they are, along with tanning salons. Alaskans put themselves at great risk if they travel to the lower forty eight anytime except July and August because the other months of the year they are mostly fish belly white. So anytime you go south, you tan first. You can get a tan in July there, temps do get as high as mid nineties in Fairbanks, but you have to work at it hard because the angle of the sun is still bad for tanning.

135 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:40:13pm

The lesson: Do your own homework, and directly invest in sound corporations, instead of meta-investing in investment firms.

136 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:40:23pm

re: #128 keen

Excellent analysis. The revocation of the uptick rule was what began the downward spiral.

137 neocon hippie  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:40:29pm

Latest Rasmussen Swing State Polls:

VA McCain 48 Obama 48
CO McCain 49 Obama 47
PA McCain 47 Obama 47
OH McCain 48 Obama 45
FL McCain 49 Obama 44

138 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:01pm

re: #24 Salamantis

I know you're cynical, but the St. Christopher medal is not a talisman.

1 : an object held to act as a charm to avert evil and bring good fortune
2 : something producing apparently magical or miraculous effects

St. Christopher is now considered to be a legend in the Western church. He was revered as the Patron Saint of travelers until recent times. Wearing a St. Christopher medal or having one hanging in your vehicle does not preclude your death while driving. Matter of fact, legend has it that he departs the car at 120 MPH and leaves you to your devices.

139 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:01pm

re: #137 neocon hippie

Thanks for some good news!

140 goddessoftheclassroom  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:10pm

re: #87 MandyManners

Is it time to start sewing my jewels into my corset?

Last year at a charity ball, I was chatting with some other people at my table. The gentleman complimented me on my diamond and pearl necklace. I told him that it had been my great-great-great grandmothers, and that she had managed to smuggle it out of Prague (where she was a countess) when her family escaped from a failed coup.

His rapt attention was very satisfying.

Then I said, "Just kidding."

141 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:22pm

re: #131 VMA211Dan

I concur, but don't want to start any bs that Gov Palin is depressed as a result of seasonal affective disorder.

142 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:27pm

re: #137 neocon hippie

Latest Rasmussen Swing State Polls:

VA McCain 48 Obama 48
CO McCain 49 Obama 47
PA McCain 47 Obama 47
OH McCain 48 Obama 45
FL McCain 49 Obama 44

Who is this Obama guy? I was under the impression that McCain was running against some guy named "Messiah".

143 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:41:47pm

re: #133 jwb7605

Who fundamentally was responsible for the federal rule changes?
Bernanke or Congress?
I'm asking because I don't know.

start here: [Link: solari.com...]

144 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:42:19pm

re: #126 GeeWiz

Not very comforting when one considers the losses suffered on "the street" today. The losses I suffered today would easily cover $300.00 per barrel oil. Kinda sucks to be me I guess.

I posted this in the open thread but I think it bears repeating as well. The average bear market lasts 16 months and resulted in an average decline of 32% in the S&P 500. The last bear market lasted 31 months (03/2000 - 10/2002) and resulted in a decline of 49% in the S&P 500.

The average bull market lasts 57 months and resulted in an average increase of 150% in the S&P 500. The last bull market was 5 years (10/2002-10/2007) and there was an increase of 101%.

No way to predict the bottom, but there always is a bottom and it leads to pretty good gains.

Bear markets will happen. You just have to not panic and sell. I'm one that believes in buying the dips.

145 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:42:29pm

re: #136 jetpilot1101

Excellent analysis. The revocation of the uptick rule was what began the downward spiral.


I downdinged you accidently, then updinged you to compensate.
Hope that worked.
Wireless mouse started falling off the pad, and I just grabbed at it.

146 Ps2  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:42:32pm

mark Levin on Fannie Mae et.al

[Link: www.wabcradio.com...]

147 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:42:38pm

re: #107 GeeWiz

I was under the impression that Washington Mutual had overcome their problems. Is my impression wrong? Should I be worried? WM is my mortgage carrier.

WAMU still has enough liquidity to get them through 2010; plus their large deposit holdings (re: actual money coming in) and they are working closely with their Regulator. They may just be fine and weather through if they will just stop giving n'er-do-wells mortgage loans (yourself excluded, of course).

Never fear - you'll still be paying them for a little while. :)

Of course, I bought WM at $3.80/share thinking they couldn't go lower and with their 52-week high at $38 seemed like a good pick... oops! $2/share today and they've been reduced to "junk" status.

/Get's down on knees and prays really hard.

148 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:43:17pm

re: #138 Cap'n DOC

He was revered as the Patron Saint of travelers

And the patron saint for people afflicted with ennui is of course San Blas.

149 opnion  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:43:25pm

re: #100 jcm

Oh! My the Palin's spending THEIR money on things THEY want.
The Horror!

What till the get a load of the Palin's guns and ammo spending!


Tanning beds must be an Alaskan thing. The Democrat that she defeated for governor was on the other day.
A real goof, but a tan like George Hamilton.

150 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:43:30pm

re: #138 Cap'n DOC

I know you're cynical, but the St. Christopher medal is not a talisman.

1 : an object held to act as a charm to avert evil and bring good fortune
2 : something producing apparently magical or miraculous effects

St. Christopher is now considered to be a legend in the Western church. He was revered as the Patron Saint of travelers until recent times. Wearing a St. Christopher medal or having one hanging in your vehicle does not preclude your death while driving. Matter of fact, legend has it that he departs the car at 120 MPH and leaves you to your devices.

Smart saint, if he does that. No free pass on recklessness.

My favorite saint is Saint Francis of Assisi. He just seems like a really good guy to me.

151 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:43:32pm

The Obama is eating this economic news up. The merchant of American doom and gloom with one hand in his own pocket and the other in yours. What a ghoul.

152 wrenchwench  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:45:23pm

re: #104 Bobibutu

It did not come out of thin air - it came out of your 401(k) and other investments - mutual funds - etc. Deal with brokers and management fees ... expect to be fleeced.

[Link: www.thepiratesofmanhattan.com...]

From your link:

"This is an eye opening book. It has fascinating insight to the corrupt practices of certain financial institutions in America. Americans will be much better off when they read this book. It is an excellent source of information as to what is really going on in the financial world." - Congressman Ron Paul

Not the most reputable of recommenders...

153 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:45:45pm

re: #148 Occasional Reader

LOL. I have a full stock (Holy Cards) of Saint jokes of the kind you mention.

/Wrong audience

154 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:45:50pm

re: #141 vagabond trader
Thanks for putting a name to it, but it does exist. I'm sure Sarah is accustomed to that lifestyle, and DC has a lot more sunlight so she should "tear it up".

155 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:46:26pm

re: #150 Salamantis

My favorite saint is Saint Francis of Assisi

Bah. I'm too macho to pray to some guy who's A Sissi.

156 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:46:35pm
157 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:46:35pm

re: #147 Noam Chumpski

I haven't even been paying attention to the financial sector until today- mostly transportation (railways, open-seas shipping), energy (pipelines, oil, natural gas), mining (copper, potash, gold & palladium) and utilities. Now I'm anxious to see the longer-term effects of todays news on the companies I've been looking at.

158 neocon hippie  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:47:13pm

re: #139 Occasional Reader

You're welcome. Although McCain slipped from a seven point lead in OH, and from a two point lead in VA. Gained in the others, though, and this is the first time that Obama lost the lead in PA.

159 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:47:23pm

re: #155 Occasional Reader

Now, now, now.

Here comes Fury, 2 2 O.

160 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:48:05pm

re: #151 vagabond trader

The Obama is eating this economic news up. The merchant of American doom and gloom with one hand in his own pocket and the other in yours. What a ghoul.

Yes he is. I'm not sure that greeting economic failure with hardly retrained glee is exactly a winning message however. Keep it up Obama. You are what America is all about.
/not

161 stevieray  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:48:11pm

re: #125 jetpilot1101

There is a lot of book cooking going on. Freddie and Fannie have been playing fast and lose with accounting standards for more than a decade... and who's gonna straighten things out? Congress?!? They've been making up their own accounting rules since, what, the late sixties?!

I think all of this is built around Freddie and Fannie... and the sub-prime mortgage companies using the feds to launder their risk away. Without the feds to buy and repackage hyper-risky loans, the problem never would have started... the risks of default were too high, and the loans never would have been made without the the guaranteed sale to the feds.

Look for the media to downplay the federal government's role in all this... they want to pretend that a bigger federal role is the answer.

162 pittrader1988  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:48:19pm

Screw the IMF. Their banking advice is for beans.

163 Tigger2005  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:49:22pm

I don't like hearing bad financial news. I see myself standing on a street corner, selling apples. At least I have brothers and a sister, I know we'd pull together as a family if times got really bad.

164 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:49:36pm

re: #157 Fenway_Nation

I haven't even been paying attention to the financial sector until today- mostly transportation (railways, open-seas shipping), energy (pipelines, oil, natural gas), mining (copper, potash, gold & palladium) and utilities. Now I'm anxious to see the longer-term effects of todays news on the companies I've been looking at.

Fenway_Nation: I have a pretty awesome ball-cap with your avatar on it! Who knew? :)

165 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:49:40pm

re: #160 The Shadow Do

Yes he is. I'm not sure that greeting economic failure with hardly retrained glee is exactly a winning message however. Keep it up Obama. You are what America is all about.
/not

I hope he gaffes and says something to the effect that he is "happy that America is suffering a finacial crisis". It's a joy watching the dems self-destruct and I hope he helps them along. Come on Rev. Wright, where are you when we need you with a chicken roosting comment?

166 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:49:59pm

re: #149 opnion

Tanning beds must be an Alaskan thing. The Democrat that she defeated for governor was on the other day.
A real goof, but a tan like George Hamilton.

Up here in Seattle we don't tan...... we rust.

167 ErnieG  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:50:16pm

re: #151 vagabond trader

The Obama is eating this economic news up. The merchant of American doom and gloom with one hand in his own pocket and the other in yours. What a ghoul.

He's invested in our failure in Iraq, too.

168 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:50:22pm

re: #159 Cap'n DOC

Now, now, now.

Here comes Fury, 2 2 O.

C'mon, Cap'n; you can't dangle that in front of us, and then hold out on us like that! Post some of those Saint jokes you have! Pretty please! With whipped cream, mixed nuts, sprinkles and a cherry on top!

169 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:50:42pm

re: #88 buzzsawmonkey

I had assumed that you already had them. Another bubble burst.

Just planning.

170 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:01pm
171 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:08pm

re: #144 Dahveed

I did not sell and I'm looking for "buys" in tomorrow's market. Looking at today's bottom line can be most depressing while the opportunity of tomorrow can be so up-lifting. Emotion may rear it's ugly head but the reality of true values shall rule the day.

172 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:13pm

re: #137 neocon hippie

Latest Rasmussen Swing State Polls:

VA McCain 48 Obama 48
CO McCain 49 Obama 47
PA McCain 47 Obama 47
OH McCain 48 Obama 45
FL McCain 49 Obama 44

It’s Obama 49%, McCain 47%, in WA. However, the big change comes among unaffiliated voters who now favor McCain by a 48% to 43% margin.

173 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:15pm

re: #89 taxfreekiller

Leave the corset,
use your brain.

It's easier to travel with your jewels sewn up than in a box.

174 pittrader1988  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:19pm

re: #136 jetpilot1101

I don't think the uptick rule was the problem. This still would have happened.
I am for bringing back the uptick rule, and other structural changes to the market.

However, these guys cooked their books.

175 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:27pm

re: #164 Noam Chumpski


Small world, isn't it?

176 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:51pm

re: #165 jetpilot1101

I hope he gaffes and says something to the effect that he is "happy that America is suffering a finacial crisis".

He has come pretty close, paraphrasing "this is the worst economy since the great depression". While smiling.

177 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:51:54pm

re: #103 Occasional Reader

Invest in canned food and ammunition!

/

Got those.

178 usmc1968  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:52:31pm

If I can't see it ,test it, drive it, I don't buy it and I ain't talking about cars. You guess.

179 reloadingisnotahobby  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:52:43pm

I converted cash to gold at 572.00 an oz....
Made for a very lumpy bed!;-P

180 samhein  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:52:51pm

re: #67 Ps2

With any luck, they'll keep him over there.

181 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:02pm

re: #115 buzzsawmonkey

When in the Corset of human events, it becomes necessary for one person to conceal in her undergarments' bands the wherewithal which has connected her with her purchases, and to assume among the financial powers of the neighborhood, the separate and financially independent station to which the Laws of Economics and of Economics' God entitle her, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that she should declare the techniques which enable her to embark upon the concealment.

If you ever get disbarred, you'll have a future in speech-writing.

182 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:14pm

You young lizards have years to make it up. Try being this close to retirement but hubby had to put it off due to mortgage and not a prayer of selling the house in this area.We've always been responsible with our spending and now we have to bend over and pay to bail these assholes out. A pox on them all.

183 keen  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:31pm

re: #133 jwb7605

Both were regulatory body changes, neither Congress nor the Fed were directly responsible. The SEC changed the rules on shorting (after 70 years) and accounting oversight board changed the accounting rules. Who pushed for them behind the scenes, I don't know. I predicted disaster from the rule changes last year at my fund's investor meeting.

184 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:53pm
185 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:54pm

re: #175 Fenway_Nation

Small world, isn't it?

I thought I was supporting a ball team and it turns out it's just a "Fenway_Nation" fan club hat.

...Still cool.

186 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:53:54pm

re: #176 The Shadow Do

He has come pretty close, paraphrasing "this is the worst economy since the great depression". While smiling.

Ya 'spose the next 10-second ad might be to replay a video clip of that with the words "Why is this man smiling?" superimposed?

187 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:54:04pm

re: #181 MandyManners

If you ever get disbarred

"Ever"? I'm sure buzzsaw has already been chucked out of LOTS of bars.

188 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:54:20pm

re: #163 Tigger2005

I don't like hearing bad financial news. I see myself standing on a street corner, selling apples. At least I have brothers and a sister, I know we'd pull together as a family if times got really bad.

It will never get that bad again here in the US. Our economy is now much too diverse, one sector gets hit, others will still profit.

189 jetpilot1101  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:54:37pm

re: #174 pittrader1988

I don't think the uptick rule was the problem. This still would have happened.
I am for bringing back the uptick rule, and other structural changes to the market.

However, these guys cooked their books.

Coocking the books was the problem, the lack of an uptick rule helped the hedge funds really screw the banks and take them down hard.

190 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:03pm
191 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:03pm

re: #182 vagabond trader

You young lizards have years to make it up. Try being this close to retirement but hubby had to put it off due to mortgage and not a prayer of selling the house in this area.We've always been responsible with our spending and now we have to bend over and pay to bail these assholes out. A pox on them all.

You and I are pulling oars in the same rowboat, sadly. I'll row while you pox and vice versa.

192 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:07pm

re: #188 Thanos

It will never get that bad again here in the US. Our economy is now much too diverse, one sector gets hit, others will still profit.

Unless you're the sector that gets hit! lol

193 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:30pm

re: #185 Noam Chumpski

It's the official hat of the Fenway_Nation seccecionist party.

194 Alberta Oil Peon  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:34pm

re: #45 kansas

If the banks who loaned people money who couldn't pay it back on the terms they signed up for how about cutting them some slack? You know, something instead of nothing. But no. They foreclosed. Greedy bastards. Trying to flip the properties to make their own profits and ended up crashing the market.
Since I've been around greedy capitalists and crooks have screwed us routinely every 10 years or so.

Extending more credit to people who are already over-extended is like throwing an anchor to a drowning man. Foreclosing is rarely a big profit opportunity for a lender, because in most cases, the reason his customer has fallen behind is that the housing market has gone soft due to other economic pressures, like people losing their jobs. Keeping the poor sap on the books, when he can't pay his interest just means that when they do eventually foreclose, they will have to sell into an even worse market than they otherwise would have, which hurts all property owners.

195 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:39pm

re: #140 goddessoftheclassroom

Last year at a charity ball, I was chatting with some other people at my table. The gentleman complimented me on my diamond and pearl necklace. I told him that it had been my great-great-great grandmothers, and that she had managed to smuggle it out of Prague (where she was a countess) when her family escaped from a failed coup.

His rapt attention was very satisfying.

Then I said, "Just kidding."

ROFLMAO!

196 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:40pm

re: #178 usmc1968

If I can't see it ,test it, drive it, I don't buy it and I ain't talking about cars. You guess.

Good to see you!
Day for old friends, Mama Winger was back earlier today!

I got this here pig in poke for sale, interested? ;-P

197 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:43pm

re: #186 jwb7605

Ya 'spose the next 10-second ad might be to replay a video clip of that with the words "Why is this man smiling?" superimposed?

Beautiful

198 ErnieG  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:55:49pm

I'm bringing this over from a "dead thread":
Relative to speculation that the Obama campaign may go bankrupt,

This may be OT, but I have often wondered something when I see an ad for a bankruptcy lawyer. If his clients are all bankrupt, how does he get paid?

199 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:56:13pm

re: #154 VMA211Dan

Coincidentally I have a friend from your area who used to live near me. He suffered in winter and was greatly relieved by tanning in the winter.

200 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:56:21pm

re: #176 The Shadow Do

He has come pretty close, paraphrasing "this is the worst economy since the great depression". While smiling.

What a moron.

Uh, Barry, we're not even in a recession (at least not yet). And you think the economy is worse than what your Idiotarian Jedi Master Jimmy Carter left it?

201 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:56:48pm

re: #128 keen

But look at all the hell they were hiding under the mark to market exceptions. Maybe it was a good thing to do after all?

202 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:56:53pm

re: #192 Noam Chumpski

Unless you're the sector that gets hit! lol

Then you move to the sector that's profiting, that's easy to fix. Trust me that right now people are feverishly looking at everything to figure out what they will be buying, who the winners are etc.

203 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:56:57pm

re: #193 Fenway_Nation

It's the official hat of the Fenway_Nation seccecionist party.

You got Palin on your member list?

/secessionist party joke

204 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:57:16pm
205 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:57:40pm

re: #190 buzzsawmonkey

It happens to all of us salooner or later.

Did you explain you were a Re-Publican? Then again, they wouldn't give a dram, would they.

206 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:57:41pm

re: #191 The Shadow Do

Deal. We'll be ok, just hate to see the ole man have to drag it to work when he should be out in the woods chopping wood for winter. lol!

207 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:58:10pm

re: #174 pittrader1988

I don't think the uptick rule was the problem. This still would have happened.
I am for bringing back the uptick rule, and other structural changes to the market.

However, these guys cooked their books.

I think the accounting rules played a role in all of this as well. Much of the problem comes from the securities that were backed by mortgages that were not backed by the government. The market collapsed in these securities. The rules required recording the securities at lower of book or market value. The book value of the securities are ok. The securities are still paying and haven't defaulted. The accounting rules do not take that into account. So, the companies have to record losses for securities instead of looking to see if the security is still performing.

208 ErnieG  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:58:22pm

re: #204 buzzsawmonkey

The art of bankruptcy is to pay the lawyer so that you, and he--and not the people you owe--get the money.

Oh. Thanks.

209 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:58:33pm

re: #202 Thanos

Then you move to the sector that's profiting, that's easy to fix. Trust me that right now people are feverishly looking at everything to figure out what they will be buying, who the winners are etc.

Yeah... I was just looking for cheap chuckle. ;)

210 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:58:39pm

re: #201 itellu3times

But look at all the hell they were hiding under the mark to market exceptions. Maybe it was a good thing to do after all?

Agreed. It's a classic "accounting treadmill" scenario; they longer you wait to try to make that leap off the treadmill, the worse it's gonna hurt.

211 Russkilitlover  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:59:39pm

re: #3 buzzsawmonkey

Is this guy basically saying, "A few of us skimmed the cream and stuck you with the leftover fat-free blue milk. Eat your cornflakes and like it"--or is that just my imagination?

No, you're not imagining things; however, they could not have accumulated the cream without a lot of cows providing the milk! Since 2005, all of us in the homebuilding looked at each other and said, "This can't continue, it's too hot." But it all feeds upon itself until we have a correction. Were the banks greedy? Yes. Were the mortgage lenders greedy? Yes. Were the consumers who thought they would see 15% appreciation on their homes year over year greedy? Yes. Were the investors who wanted to "flip" their way to financial prosperity greedy? Yes! Is this operating mentality sustainable? NO!

212 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:59:46pm

re: #203 Noam Chumpski


That's the sister club in Alaska.

Actually, I was listening to the Red Sox on XM and during one of these on-air drawings (if the 3rd batter in the 3rd inning hits a homer or something) furing one of the Red Sox games, one of the participants was from Elfin Bay, Alaska.

I think that's 'suburban' Juneau.

213 keen  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:59:48pm

re: #174 pittrader1988

I disagree. Bear, Lehman, and Merrill did not cook their books.

Think about it: Lehman had $1 of equity for every $33 of assets it had. If the assets drop in value by 3%, the equity becomes worth zero.

No big conspiracy required. Just marking down securities positions 3% and Poof! 150 years down the drain.

The accounting regs killed them.

214 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:59:51pm

re: #114 Dianna

Right now, I'm watching the Greenlining Institute gear up to insist that nonprofits give to more "diverse" organizations.

That means the ones they approve of. Not the ones the funders think are worthy.

That's part of what happened to the mortgage lenders. There's plenty of blame to go around, but you're right, the "community activists" will not receive their share of the blame.

The Masons will get more blame than they will.


Don't forget the Jooooos, NWO and whomever else David Icke and the anti-semites can blame.

215 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:00:26pm

re: #206 vagabond trader

Deal. We'll be ok, just hate to see the ole man have to drag it to work when he should be out in the woods chopping wood for winter. lol!

Man oh man. This ole man will suffer, but I sure ain't choppin no wood at my age!
/'less'n the wife tells me to of course.

216 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:00:33pm

re: #196 jcm

Good to see you!
Day for old friends, Mama Winger was back earlier today!

I got this here pig in poke for sale, interested? ;-P

What's a poke and what is a pig doing in it?

217 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:01:20pm

Sleeping over with Joe Biden

At a rally in Charlotte, N.C., Joe Biden offered his sense of the race, in a story about his 10-year-old granddaughter, Finnegan, who slept over with "Bawack's girls" during the convention in Denver.

"So folks, I believe that's a metaphor, a metaphor for what the country is looking for," he said. "They're looking for a sleepover with people they like."


It's the Bawack / Biden ticket!

218 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:01:35pm

re: #215 The Shadow Do

Man oh man. This ole man will suffer, but I sure ain't choppin no wood at my age!
/'less'n the wife tells me to of course.

I have a fireplace, and a rack of wood I cut from yard trees that hurricanes brought down.

219 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:01:36pm

Anyway, all our economic problems will disappear when President Obama creates 4,000,000 new "green" jobs.

I'm hoping for "Unicorn Wrangler, First Class", myself.

220 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:01:38pm

re: #203 Noam Chumpski

You got Palin on your member list?

/secessionist party joke

I used to be a member of the AIP til I found out it was mostly Birchers. Many Alaskans join because there is so much Fed control in the State. What the Feds don't own is tribal land, so very little of the state is actually in private hands. It's pretty frustrating also when the enviros stop resource development, at those points membership goes up. Most folks don't know about the nutballs running it.

221 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:01:40pm
222 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:02:12pm

re: #219 Occasional Reader

Anyway, all our economic problems will disappear when President Obama creates 4,000,000 new "green" jobs.

I'm hoping for "Unicorn Wrangler, First Class", myself.

Name your salary.

223 Alouette  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:02:30pm

re: #173 MandyManners

It's easier to travel with your jewels sewn up than in a box.

A number of years ago I read this very weird and gross story about a family that went through the Holocaust and kept their diamonds by swallowing them, then excreting them and swallowing them again.

Oww. Apparently they survived and so did the diamonds.

224 politicalinsomniac  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:02:32pm
SPIEGEL: At the end of the day, who bears responsibility for the debacle?

Rogoff: There are so many people to blame for what happened. It would be like the title credits at the end of a movie if you were to name them all. But the people most to blame are President George W. Bush and the US Congress. The political system has willfully ignored this problem and at many points pressed the regulators to do nothing.

Give me a break. The banks/financial institutions themselves deserve the lion's share of the blame, even if Bush or Congress could have done more.

225 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:02:49pm

re: #215 The Shadow Do

Just kidding,no chopping, but he better get the lawn vac geared up for the tsunami of leaves we always have in the autumn.

226 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:03:09pm

OT question:

I like red maraschino cherries. But who the hell buys those green mint ones?

227 Llanite  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:03:17pm

"I came into Egypt a Pharoah who did not know."

I beg your pardon, is that a proverb?

No, a prophecy. The rich been doing it to the poor since the beginning of time. The only difference between the Pyramids and the Empire State Building is the Egyptians didn't allow unions. I know what these guys are all about: greed. They don't give a damn about anything....

all props to Gordon Gecko. Sometimes greed isn't good...

228 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:03:19pm

re: #217 jcm

Sleeping over with Joe Biden


It's the Bawack / Biden ticket!

Are they really trying to run on a platform of, "vote for us, we're the cool, popular kids"?

Self-parody alert.

229 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:03:24pm

re: #210 Occasional Reader

But look at all the hell they were hiding under the mark to market exceptions. Maybe it was a good thing to do after all?

Agreed. It's a classic "accounting treadmill" scenario; they longer you wait to try to make that leap off the treadmill, the worse it's gonna hurt.

Well, really, I'm asking. It may be ten years before we have enough data to really know. If ever. It's all hypothetical now. Certainly, if real estate prices had kept rising (forever?!), the mark to market would not have been an issue. If even the market liquidity had not unexpectedly vanished, the mark to market would not have been an issue - it was the market mechanism collapsing, not (just) the price decline, that was unforeseen. The question is whether it should have been foreseen. So many things are obvious in hindsight.

There still may be some humongous profits to be made, picking up these distressed assets, but apparently the clock ran out on some big players, before they could see that happen.

230 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:04:04pm

re: #216 MandyManners

What's a poke and what is a pig doing in it?

Pig in a poke, old famer markets dishonest would sell you a pig (piglet) in a poke (bag). But make you buy with checking the contents of the poke (bag). They would do this to get rid of the surplus of cats, if you insisted on checking the contents of the poke, you let the cat out of the bag.

Buying a pig in a poke, is buy something without checking it out.

231 Racer X  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:04:12pm

re: #218 Salamantis

I have a fireplace, and a rack of wood I cut from yard trees that hurricanes brought down.

Typical Right-Wing Neocon. Prospering off the misfortune of others.

/ / /

232 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:04:40pm

re: #199 vagabond trader

Coincidentally I have a friend from your area who used to live near me. He suffered in winter and was greatly relieved by tanning in the winter.


Hence, now I live in snowbird country. Ft. Myers FL. I love it here and will never leave. Half the residences are part-time. People up-north have learned what sunlight means. So Sarah having a tanning bed only makes her a better governor.

233 usmc1968  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:04:51pm

re: #196 jcm

Yea, I like pigs, especially with lipstick.

234 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:05:11pm

re: #217 jcm


Neat....so now we can tell Putin 'Get out of Georgia or you can't hang out with the cool kids anymore!'

235 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:05:11pm

re: #233 usmc1968

TMI

236 Knitwit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:05:16pm

Put me down for St. Jude. In tough situations you can pray to him to intercede (sort of like a prayer booster) and I kid you not - it works every time.

237 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:05:20pm

re: #218 Salamantis

I have a fireplace, and a rack of wood I cut from yard trees that hurricanes brought down.

You're a natural born entrepreneur! Sorry about that stinkin' hurricane though.

238 kcladderman  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:06:21pm

re: #198 ErnieG

I'm bringing this over from a "dead thread":
Relative to speculation that the Obama campaign may go bankrupt,

This may be OT, but I have often wondered something when I see an ad for a bankruptcy lawyer. If his clients are all bankrupt, how does he get paid?

Upfront

239 Racer X  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:06:23pm

re: #226 Salamantis

OT question:

I like red maraschino cherries. But who the hell buys those green mint ones?

Those are mint? I thought they were red ones gone bad.

240 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:06:31pm

re: #236 Knitwit

Put me down for St. Jude. In tough situations you can pray to him to intercede (sort of like a prayer booster) and I kid you not - it works every time.

If it "worked every time", nothing bad would happen to Catholics, ever.

241 callahan23  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:06:50pm

re: #219 Occasional Reader

Anyway, all our economic problems will disappear when President Obama creates 4,000,000 new "green" jobs.

I'm hoping for "Unicorn Wrangler, First Class", myself.

That is exactly the economic ticket the green parties in Europe are peddling since years.
And they are jumping on every ecological band-wagon that comes along their way to further that idea. Concern over reactor security, pollution, global-warming, genetically modified foods etc. etc.
Jadah, jadah, jadah.

242 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:07:10pm

re: #219 Occasional Reader

Anyway, all our economic problems will disappear when President Obama creates 4,000,000 new "green" jobs.

I'm hoping for "Unicorn Wrangler, First Class", myself.

Aim higher. Secretary of Fuzzy Bunnies soon to join the cabinet.

243 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:07:39pm

re: #221 buzzsawmonkey

Our Poet Loweryet. That is how's y'all spells it, right?

244 Fenway_Nation  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:27pm

re: #242 The Shadow Do

Will we still have to import labor for the seasonal position of Magical Lolipop Harvester?

245 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:29pm

re: #233 usmc1968

Yea, I like pigs, especially with lipstick.

You're not the only one!

246 Salamantis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:34pm

re: #230 jcm

Pig in a poke, old famer markets dishonest would sell you a pig (piglet) in a poke (bag). But make you buy with checking the contents of the poke (bag). They would do this to get rid of the surplus of cats, if you insisted on checking the contents of the poke, you let the cat out of the bag.

Buying a pig in a poke, is buy something without checking it out.

And 'looking a gift horse in the mouth' was originally about opening the mouth of a very low priced horse one was thinking about purchasing to inspect its teeth, because the condition of the teeth indicate the horse's age.

247 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:48pm
248 Alouette  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:53pm

re: #228 Occasional Reader

Are they really trying to run on a platform of, "vote for us, we're the cool, popular kids"?

Self-parody alert.

Yes, they really are.

249 Globular Cluster  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:08:57pm

I dunno. The stock market fell 20% in one day during the 80s. Today the dow only dropped 5%. This stuff will pass. Didn't sell anything today. Might bargain hunt tomorrow.

The only effect on the financial sector that this will have is the illegalization or regulation of complex derivatives, which might not be a bad idea as long as firms don't understand the ripple effects of these instruments.

250 jemima  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:09:05pm

Mark Levin's talking about Barry's efforts to undermine our position in Iraq now. (Mark's my favorite.)

251 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:09:11pm

re: #223 Alouette

A number of years ago I read this very weird and gross story about a family that went through the Holocaust and kept their diamonds by swallowing them, then excreting them and swallowing them again.

Oww. Apparently they survived and so did the diamonds.

Now, that's recycling!

252 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:09:29pm

re: #242 The Shadow Do

Aim higher. Secretary of Fuzzy Bunnies soon to join the cabinet.

I'm not looking forward to converting the chemtrail fleet to pixie dust.

253 runrabbitrun  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:09:42pm

Boy, does Shep Smith ~love~ to inform viewers that the American economy is in CRISIS. Or any other kind of CRISIS for that matter, including weather, war, or health threat.

whoops - Shep now said we were in COLLAPSE. One gets the impression that if broadcasting decorum allowed, he would prefer to stand on his desk and bellow it; red-faced and sweating, with a bullhorn and whiteflag as special effects.

254 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:09:59pm

re: #241 callahan23

Sounds like the bogus dot.com "industry" of the 90s. We'll have a good laugh when palm trees grow in Alaska and Europe has another ice age.

255 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:10:16pm

re: #230 jcm

Pig in a poke, old famer markets dishonest would sell you a pig (piglet) in a poke (bag). But make you buy with checking the contents of the poke (bag). They would do this to get rid of the surplus of cats, if you insisted on checking the contents of the poke, you let the cat out of the bag.

Buying a pig in a poke, is buy something without checking it out.

That explains two sayings! Thanks!

256 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:10:26pm

re: #230 jcm

They would do this to get rid of the surplus of cats

Cats seem to get a bad rap in these old expressions. The expression in Spanish for "to bait-and-switch" is dar gato por liebre, "to give cat for hare". The idea being, you ask the butcher to sell you some hare, and instead he gives you Filet of Mr. Bigglesworth.

257 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:10:50pm

re: #250 jemima

Mark Levin's talking about Barry's efforts to undermine our position in Iraq now. (Mark's my favorite.)

You catch his first hour rant on Fannie and Freddie?

Lizards it's a must hear rant. When he post the audio it will be here.

258 BBev  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:10:52pm

Does everyone forget the late 80's? I have been in the real estate industry sense 1981, I was 18 years old. Who here remembers Dime mortgage?

I have seen it all I was VP of the largest mortgage Company in the US, have built many hundreds of homes . apartments and many large industrial complexes. This is nothing new to me it is just how capitalism works the weak die and others come to fill the gap. Maybe now I can buy some good multi family building at a good price.

259 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:11:01pm

re: #233 usmc1968

Yea, I like pigs, especially with lipstick.

I'm gonna' refrain.

260 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:11:03pm

re: #244 Fenway_Nation

Will we still have to import labor for the seasonal position of Magical Lolipop Harvester?

Of course not. There will be no borders. Imagine. If you can.

261 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:11:22pm

I suspect an up-day for the "street" on Tuesday since investors will seize upon low-valued stocks that suffered the bloodbath on Monday that had nothing to do with the events over the weekend concerning Lehman. The shark has been killed and the scavengers shall be well fed. Let the games begin!

263 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:11:59pm

Japan weathered a crisis just like this quite nicely. Real estate doesn't always have to go up in value, but if you do own a home in the US it's still on some of the more valuable land in the entire world.

264 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:12:03pm

re: #253 runrabbitrun

Boy, does Shep Smith ~love~ to inform viewers that the American economy is in CRISIS. Or any other kind of CRISIS for that matter, including weather, war, or health threat.

whoops - Shep now said we were in COLLAPSE. One gets the impression that if broadcasting decorum allowed, he would prefer to stand on his desk and bellow it; red-faced and sweating, with a bullhorn and whiteflag as special effects.


Seriously been doing some hatin' on Shep and Chris Wallace lately. I think they have finally shown their true colors lately, or enhancing their liberal credentials to get on the "networks".

265 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:12:14pm

re: #253 runrabbitrun

Boy, does Shep Smith ~love~ to inform viewers that the American economy is in CRISIS. Or any other kind of CRISIS for that matter, including weather, war, or health threat.

whoops - Shep now said we were in COLLAPSE. One gets the impression that if broadcasting decorum allowed, he would prefer to stand on his desk and bellow it; red-faced and sweating, with a bullhorn and whiteflag as special effects.

Shep is the reason I switch over to Headline News and watch Glenn Beck.
The problem is that Beck (right now) isn't any different.

266 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:12:59pm

re: #245 jcm

You're not the only one!

I saw another "Women for McCain" sticker today. I tooted my horn and held up my lipstick. She held up hers, too.

267 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:13:32pm

re: #263 Thanos

Japan weathered a crisis just like this quite nicely.

I don't know if I'd call it "quite nicely", but it certainly wasn't "the monster is attacking the city!" catastrophically, either.

268 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:13:55pm

re: #263 Thanos

Japan weathered a crisis just like this quite nicely.

Not all that nicely, their economy went stagnant for over ten years.

269 jcm  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:14:00pm

re: #266 MandyManners

I saw another "Women for McCain" sticker today. I tooted my horn and held up my lipstick. She held up hers, too.

ROFL!

Poor Obambi, really stepped in the lipstick!

270 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:14:09pm

re: #252 jcm

I'm not looking forward to converting the chemtrail fleet to pixie dust.

Watch it! BHO will snort it.

271 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:14:15pm

re: #267 Occasional Reader

My point is that they aren't doing badly today.

272 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:14:16pm

re: #258 BBev

Nice of you to catergorize ALL of us little folk as mere dupes to be exploited for your personal gain.

273 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:14:58pm

re: #261 GeeWiz

Not so fast.

Well, we'll know in 21 hours.

274 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:15:20pm

re: #265 jwb7605

Shep is the reason I switch over to Headline News and watch Glenn Beck.
The problem is that Beck (right now) isn't any different.


I actually started watching Lou Dobbs on CNN instead of Shep at 7:00PM EST. He has really been going after the MSM for their liberal bias.

275 MandyManners  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:15:28pm

Gotta' go sling some hash. bbl

276 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:15:57pm

re: #253 runrabbitrun

Boy, does Shep Smith ~love~ to inform viewers that the American economy is in CRISIS. Or any other kind of CRISIS for that matter, including weather, war, or health threat.

whoops - Shep now said we were in COLLAPSE. One gets the impression that if broadcasting decorum allowed, he would prefer to stand on his desk and bellow it; red-faced and sweating, with a bullhorn and whiteflag as special effects.

Shep the drama queen. Zero credibility since his crying antics with Katrina. I noticed he didn't do the on site this go around.

277 callahan23  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:16:01pm

re: #254 vagabond trader

Sounds like the bogus dot.com "industry" of the 90s. We'll have a good laugh when palm trees grow in Alaska and Europe has another ice age.

Sure will.
/// it is not funny when you have to live with such crap on a daily basis.

278 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:16:14pm

re: #271 Thanos

My point is that they aren't doing badly today.

I agree. They had a long period of stagnation, but their economy didn't shrink, they just had the blahs, so to speak (they may have prayed to San Blas?). I don't think we'll have even that, our underlying economy is more dynamic.

279 Thanos  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:16:14pm

re: #268 itellu3times

Not all that nicely, their economy went stagnant for over ten years.

Oh really? Was that the ten years when their market share for autos sold to the US went down? Some sectors were definitely hurt, but they were still a powerhouse, and still are.

280 BBev  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:16:17pm

re: #272 vagabond trader

Nice of you to catergorize ALL of us little folk as mere dupes to be exploited for your personal gain.

Thank you. but what I am saying to all is to take advantage of the market

281 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:16:41pm

re: #277 callahan23

Where are you?

282 hooligan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:17:18pm

re: #144 Dahveed

I agree. A rich man---the CEO I used to work for 20 or so years ago---told me the same thing after Black Friday. He told me that the bear markets present buying opportunities---not speculation, opportunities.

Makes you feel better after you open your monthly investment account statement and throw up in your shoes.

283 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:17:19pm

re: #266 MandyManners

I saw another "Women for McCain" sticker today. I tooted my horn and held up my lipstick. She held up hers, too.

I AM REVLONICUS!

284 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:17:38pm
285 karmic_inquisitor  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:18:18pm

Looks like Obama is the 2nd biggest money whore for Lehman Brothers in the last 10 years. Again - he has only been in congress for 4.

[Link: www.opensecrets.org...]

286 VMA211Dan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:18:39pm

re: #266 MandyManners

I saw another "Women for McCain" sticker today. I tooted my horn and held up my lipstick. She held up hers, too.


Finally, women are being called upon to decide the direction of this country. Will you pick the right side? You are more than half this country and for the first time you will decide it. No doubt. Please choose wisely.

287 ContraJihadi  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:19:07pm

re: #266 MandyManners

I saw another "Women for McCain" sticker today. I tooted my horn and held up my lipstick. She held up hers, too.

Cute, a little like the purple finger of the lady in Iraq a few years ago. A real revolution!

288 Amy  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:19:32pm

Meanwhile, the Dow lost 500 points today.

Yikes!

289 Cap'n DOC  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:19:38pm

re: #259 MandyManners

The NIC oughta tell ya sumpin'.

/no offense. I've lived with 'em. Not the pigs.

290 usmc1968  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:19:46pm

re: #259 MandyManners

Think I said it wrong! I meant the "o" is an asshole.

291 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:19:52pm

re: #278 Occasional Reader

I agree. They had a long period of stagnation, but their economy didn't shrink, they just had the blahs, so to speak (they may have prayed to San Blas?). I don't think we'll have even that, our underlying economy is more dynamic.

I was going to say the same thing. The Japanese economy is not the same as the American economy in that it is not nearly as dynamic. The Japanese don't believe in laying idle workers off because of the dishonor. Americans are more likely to rework resources so they are utilized effectively. Workers get laid off, but they end up finding new jobs. Factories close, but they reopen or become other businesses.

292 callahan23  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:20:53pm

re: #279 Thanos

Oh really? Was that the ten years when their market share for autos sold to the US went down? Some sectors were definitely hurt, but they were still a powerhouse, and still are.

The problems a Japan Inc. faced after their financial crisis are way bigger than those a very flexible US economy will be having.
To explain:
Japan Inc. = rigid economic structures

293 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:21:17pm

re: #284 buzzsawmonkey

Now people with money--at least, relatively speaking--are moving into those neighborhoods

I look at friends who are buying in similar neighborhoods in DC... the ones where, "these three blocks are now wonderfully vibrant, but, uh, you don't want to go past that street over there..." and think; your "turnaround" neighborhood could turn BACK around in a flash. All it would take would be a recession affecting the city, or anthing prompting an increase in crime and subsequent disinvestment from this area.

I might consider buying property in such an area as an investment, if I were so inclined. But to live? Nuh-uh.

294 Amy  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:21:19pm

re: #284 buzzsawmonkey

Both Harlem and Bedford-Stuyvesant were built as upscale neighborhoods. So was the Grand Concourse in the Bronx. When the neighborhood residents changed, the value of the buildings there changed too. Mansions became rooming houses or cheap apartments, and the value of the buildings plummeted.

Now people with money--at least, relatively speaking--are moving into those neighborhoods, and the residents who are holdovers from the days when they were slums are complaining that they are being gentrified out as the neighborhoods ratchet their way out of what was a fifty- or in some cases hundred-year slump.

Harlem and Bed-Stuy are definitely gentrifying, but not the Grand Concourse - yet. I live in Riverdale, and I know the Bronx well.

295 runrabbitrun  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:21:28pm

re: #264 VMA211Dan

re: #265 jwb7605

yep, I've also got the feeling that the Bushies haven't been paying Chris serious obeisance recently, and showing up with their tongues hanging out like lapdogs at FNS when Wallace snaps his fingers , the way Chris has been kissing up to Dems and dissing Repub's for the past few months.

296 flyingcloud  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:21:35pm

I think shrinking the financial section 50% is a positive development.
Financial section like government is non productive sector. The productive economy simply can not afford to support these bloated entities.

We will be all better off with a leaner and more efficient financial sector.
There should be a limit on CEO compensations. If a company can pay billions a year to the CEO, its products and services are obviously overpriced.

297 SummerSong  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:23:15pm

re: #280 BBev

Volatility is my friend. My best single day in the market, so far, was the day Enron collapsed. I day traded Calpine.

298 twincitiesgirl  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:23:27pm
The US financial system was bloated and overgrown and reckless to some extent.

That's the understatement of the century. It makes me so mad I could spit. Why aren't the jails full of these shyster mortgage lenders, bankers and their ilk? Recently a guy from D**ct tv told me he got his mortgage loan with absolutely no verification of income--a $300,000 loan with little to nothing down. How the *&$#* does that happen?

Oh wait, from the same article:

The political system has willfully ignored this problem and at many points pressed the regulators to do nothing.

I'd like the names of the *people* doing the pressing and what they got in return.

299 vagabond trader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:26:11pm

re: #296 flyingcloud

Shrinking government could only be a good thing. Let's start by pink slipping congress.

300 reine.de.tout  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:26:18pm

re: #240 Occasional Reader

If it "worked every time", nothing bad would happen to Catholics, ever.

Now, come on. We pray for strength in times of crisis, not for something particular to happen, and yes, I have found prayer usually does work to give me that strength.

301 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:27:04pm

re: #212 Fenway_Nation

That's the sister club in Alaska.

Actually, I was listening to the Red Sox on XM and during one of these on-air drawings (if the 3rd batter in the 3rd inning hits a homer or something) furing one of the Red Sox games, one of the participants was from Elfin Bay, Alaska.

I think that's 'suburban' Juneau.

Haha... surburban Juneau...

302 Syrah  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:27:20pm

McCain takes lead on Intrade.

It is very easy to offer an opinion to a pollster, but it is something else entirely to be willing to put money on it.

303 looking closely  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:27:24pm

re: #117 Albigensian

To understand how stuff like this can happen, you might want to read Roger Lowenstein's book, "When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management."

The author compares this to "picking up nickels in front of a bulldozer." Apparently there were plenty of nickels, and they were not all that hard to pick up- but, the consequences of even a small stumble could be, well, unpleasant.
. . .
What amazes me about "high finance" is the essential simplicity of much of it-- once the flim-flam has been removed.


The hard part is finding the nickels.

304 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:27:45pm

re: #298 twincitiesgirl

I'd like the names of the *people* doing the pressing and what they got in return.

Why would a person get a loan for $300,000 and not think about how he was going to pay it back? Another part of the problem is there are people that take out loans and are too stupid to know that they have to pay it back. And part of paying it back includes interest. And that they have to pay taxes on their property.

305 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:27:59pm

re: #300 reine.de.tout

Now, come on. We pray for strength in times of crisis, not for something particular to happen, and yes, I have found prayer usually does work to give me that strength.

The specific claim being made was that St. Jude "intercedes", every time.

I have no problem with the idea of people praying for strength; I have thin patience for claims of the miraculous.

306 looking closely  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:29:02pm

re: #147 Noam Chumpski


Of course, I bought WM at $3.80/share thinking they couldn't go lower and with their 52-week high at $38 seemed like a good pick... oops! $2/share today and they've been reduced to "junk" status.


I've already written off my WAMU (options) investment as a total loss.
But my WAMU mortgage on the other hand. . .I've afraid that isn't going to disappear any time soon!

307 reine.de.tout  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:29:27pm

re: #305 Occasional Reader

The specific claim being made was that St. Jude "intercedes", every time.

I have no problem with the idea of people praying for strength; I have thin patience for claims of the miraculous.

Well, I have no patience for that either. What's gonna happen is in God's hands, not mine; all I ask is the strength to do the right thing.

308 The Shadow Do  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:29:31pm

re: #296 flyingcloud

I think shrinking the financial section 50% is a positive development.
Financial section like government is non productive sector. The productive economy simply can not afford to support these bloated entities.

We will be all better off with a leaner and more efficient financial sector.
There should be a limit on CEO compensations. If a company can pay billions a year to the CEO, its products and services are obviously overpriced.

No, no limits. Just tie the compensation 100% to growth. Not savings, growth. Can't grow the business? Here is $60K, and thanks for your efforts.
/yes, I am in sales

309 Globular Cluster  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:31:24pm

re: #298 twincitiesgirl

I'd like the names of the *people* doing the pressing and what they got in return.

The main problem was Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac. Banks were able to offload all underwriting for their mortgages to the government, so they could lend without risk. This is less a problem with the lenders as it is with the government. Fannie/Freddie should have had strict safeguards which capped their yearly lending and oversight to restrict that lending to credit-deprived individuals, not offer credit to everyone on planet earth. Alternatively, the Democrat cesspool of Fannie/Freddie should never have existed in the first place, since it amounts to wealth redistribution, and is connected with the likes of Obama.

This is what largely encouraged speculation, since it is only natural for a bank to lend without risk.

The other side of the equation were the complex derivatives that should have been regulated. Nobody thought to do this before the bottom fell out, so basically everyone in power is to blame.

310 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:31:56pm
311 twincitiesgirl  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:32:02pm

re: #304 Dahveed

He has no trouble paying it back--but how many people do? I think those that lend the money should be held to higher standards than the crook on the street trying to sell you stolen jewelry or whatever.

312 jemima  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:32:03pm

#257 JCM

yup, I caught Mark's first hour and he was marvelous both in his passion and his ability to explain what's so wrong about this. That Jamie Gorelik is a real piece of work, undermining the country with one hand while ripping us off for millions with the other.

313 GeeWiz  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:33:35pm

re: #273 itellu3times

Not so fast.

Well, we'll know in 21 hours.

If the market ignores indices that are not related to real estate, well we are all in trouble. Methinks that if the market responds to real economic projections and data those with cooler temperaments would prevail, we shall do OK! The Market is sound. There is an aspect of the market that has a cancer. The system will contain the cancer if one chooses to trust in the ability of the investors to ignore scurrilous innuendo. The MSM works very hard to undermine that support.

314 tokyobk  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:33:57pm

re: #291 Dahveed

I was going to say the same thing. The Japanese economy is not the same as the American economy in that it is not nearly as dynamic. The Japanese don't believe in laying idle workers off because of the dishonor. Americans are more likely to rework resources so they are utilized effectively. Workers get laid off, but they end up finding new jobs. Factories close, but they reopen or become other businesses.


Lifetime employment, however, is phasing out, as are salaries determined by seniority.

I actually see quite a few very obviously "restructured" salary men sitting in the park, often in suits since they haven't told their family that they have no office to go to. Also, 1/2 the cab drivers in Tokyo have no idea how to drive or how to get even to major landmarks. In my unscientific survey, the vast majority of them are former office workers. Ditto guys waving batons in front of construction sites.

315 twincitiesgirl  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:36:03pm

re: #309 Globular Cluster

Thanks for taking the time to explain that. Aren't there those in Congress--- specific committees with more oversight and culpability than others?

316 itellu3times  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:37:10pm

re: #279 Thanos

Oh really? Was that the ten years when their market share for autos sold to the US went down? Some sectors were definitely hurt, but they were still a powerhouse, and still are.

It was the decade 1990-2003 that the Nikkei average sank by 70%, IIRC, and is still way way down.

317 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:38:30pm

re: #294 Amy

I live in Riverdale

Is this you?

318 debutaunt  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:38:45pm

re: #283 Occasional Reader

I AM REVLONICUS!

I AM REVLONICUS!

319 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:39:27pm

re: #314 tokyobk

Lifetime employment, however, is phasing out, as are salaries determined by seniority.

I actually see quite a few very obviously "restructured" salary men sitting in the park, often in suits since they haven't told their family that they have no office to go to. Also, 1/2 the cab drivers in Tokyo have no idea how to drive or how to get even to major landmarks. In my unscientific survey, the vast majority of them are former office workers. Ditto guys waving batons in front of construction sites.

It's good to hear that the economy is changing there. Perhaps the stagnant economy is forcing economists/business leaders that the way of the past is not working today.

320 Basho  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:43:48pm

This is the worst financial crisis since the depression. Things haven't been this bad since the depression. Depression depression depression. Depression

....

Depression.

/Obama

321 tokyobk  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:44:22pm

re: #319 Dahveed

It's good to hear that the economy is changing there. Perhaps the stagnant economy is forcing economists/business leaders that the way of the past is not working today.

Ther eis definitely the sense that Japan is part of the world and needs to compete.

Another concern is Tokyo slipping under Hong Kong, Singapore and the Mainland as the Asian hub for world business.

One of the remaining foreign banks is now planning to move its senior staff to HK as are many of the smaller firms; hedge funds and private equity.

Part of it has to do with the language barrier, the use of English in HK and Singapore. But the Japanese government also just has the same issue Japan has had for a thousand years sionce Koreans taught them to plant rice and make pottery; extreme ambivilence about their place in the world as a separate and unique monolith or part of the world.

322 semper gumbi  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:44:30pm

re: #18 DeliLama

...that's an actual article by Greg Gutfeld on Huffington Post.

Actually, Greg Gutfield is the resident satirist over there and is known for skewering leftist positions - and thus takes a lot of negative flack form the huffpos.

323 footballrules  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:44:43pm

re: #319 Dahveed

Cubs/Red Sox in October! It would be great!

324 buzzdroid  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:46:12pm

its rough over here in the uk as well.

5,000 employed by Lehman Brothers in London - all of them had to clear their desks today.

325 opnion  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:46:28pm

re: #304 Dahveed

Why would a person get a loan for $300,000 and not think about how he was going to pay it back? Another part of the problem is there are people that take out loans and are too stupid to know that they have to pay it back. And part of paying it back includes interest. And that they have to pay taxes on their property.

A big part of the problem is that a lot of subprime loans went to people who had no realistic chance to service their mortgage.
Many spoke little English & are actually illegal.
It was predatory lending, because they knew that there would be a bail out.

326 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:47:24pm

re: #274 VMA211Dan

I actually started watching Lou Dobbs on CNN instead of Shep at 7:00PM EST. He has really been going after the MSM for their liberal bias.

What's up with CNN lately? I quit watching it when it earned the reputation of "Clinton News Network". I've seen quite a few CNN contributors lately, though, and they all seem somewhat reasonable.

327 tokyobk  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:48:43pm

re: #324 buzzdroid

its rough over here in the uk as well.

5,000 employed by Lehman Brothers in London - all of them had to clear their desks today.

Ditto Tokyo. Too bad. They had nice offices over in Roppongi.

328 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:50:55pm

re: #321 tokyobk

sionce Koreans taught them to plant rice and make pottery

Do the Japanese admit that?!

(I'd think they'd sooner commit seppuku!)

329 Basho  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:56:24pm

Apparently the companies that failed are the biggest American ones in their respective sector. I say, great! Let the little companies take a slice of the pie. We'll be better off that way in the end. Things can't grow forever, change is inevitable. Shakeups in the economy are healthy in the long run.

Go to a moonbat protest rally, and it's clear there is waaay too much disposable income in the country.

My best wishes goes out to all those who are suffering actual economic hardships because of this. McCain, thankfully, wants to change the country's safety-net to be more effective in the modern economy.

330 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:56:55pm

re: #152 wrenchwench

Not the most reputable of recommenders...

True - however even a cripple on the side of the road can still point towards the hospital.

331 sparrowlake  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:58:15pm

re: #26 DeliLama

As a longtime investor, I can say that if derivatives blow up, it's going to make a very terrible mess.

In the numbers rackets if credit is too easy the market soon gets flooded with too many markers. Eventually the gamblers default and the markers get called in - and if a gambler can't pay then there is a "correction". But guess what you get if the bookies were to package, promote and sell the worthless markers to "investors" instead of either collecting on them or writing them off. VOILA: marker-backed derivative securities. And eventually - a lot of gamblers with broken kneecaps, a lot of extremely unhappy "investors" and a bunch of extremely unhealthy bookies - a real mess.

332 Dahveed  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:58:19pm

re: #323 footballrules

Cubs/Red Sox in October! It would be great!

As long as the Cubs win, it would be perfect.

333 BBev  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:02:17pm

re: #332 Dahveed

As long as the Cubs win, it would be perfect.

AhHHHHHHHHHHHHH I don't think so.......................... the Red Sox will win.

334 realwest  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:02:58pm

Hey y'all - sorry for the drive-by OT Post, but if anyone (especially Lady Lizards) has had to have a bone density scan, could y'all e-mail me (nic is in blue) and let me know what's involved?
Thanks and we now return you to your regularly scheduled thread!

335 Egfrow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:02:58pm
I’m sorry, I think it’s unbelievable. You can’t just make money out of thin air like this,

Any nation who believes it can make money off of information without producing anything is a doomed nation. These Euro centric economists have been plugging away at America's Psyche for several decades about how we were moving from an "Industrial Economy" to a Service Economy, then we are supposed to move from a Service based economy to an Information based economy. This is the lore of the Pied Piper. Money for nothing. We have been suckered into believing that just knowing things can make an ecomomy move. The countless hours of hard work and creativity to produce goods and services has taken a back seat. To the destruction of our own economy I'm afraid. No Science, Capitalism is a dirty word by all sides. We are drowning in a pool of our own self righteousness while the hard work of the past has been squandered into pipe dreams of fast riches in real estate and get rich quick schemes.

China is kicking our ass because they do what's called "Hard Work". We have lost that drive.

336 BBev  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:05:30pm

re: #334 realwest

Hey y'all - sorry for the drive-by OT Post, but if anyone (especially Lady Lizards) has had to have a bone density scan, could y'all e-mail me (nic is in blue) and let me know what's involved?
Thanks and we now return you to your regularly scheduled thread!

Sorry can't help here, let me know whats involved because the wife needs one.

337 neocon hippie  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:05:40pm

re: #326 jwb7605

I saw CNN's one-hour Palin bio and it was pretty fair-minded. We'll see the Slow Joe episode this evening.

338 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:06:38pm
339 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:08:55pm

re: #330 Bobibutu

True - however even a cripple on the side of the road can still point towards the hospital.

Perhaps fmr Sen Fitzgerald (R) Il. is more acceptable... ;-)

FRIDAY, JANUARY 30, 2004
Mutual fund managers skim fees
Title: FUND FEE FUROR
Source: The New York Post
Date: January 28, 2004

From the article:
"The mutual fund industry is indeed the world's largest skimming operation - a $7 trillion trough from which fund managers, brokers and other insiders are steadily siphoning off an excessive slice of the nation's household, college and retirement savings," Fitzgerald said in his opening statement at a Senate hearing yesterday.
Investment bankers, fund managers and a variety of other wall street professionals skim literally trillions of dollars off the money flowing through the markets. An article titled Ten most overpaid jobs in the U.S. puts it this way:
Everyone on Wall Street makes far too much for the backbreaking work of moving money around, but mutual fund managers are emerging as among the most reprehensible.

This isn't kicking 'em when they're down, given the growing fund-industry scandal. They've been long overpaid. Stock-fund managers can easily earn $500,000 to $1 million a year including bonuses -- even though only 3 in 10 beat the market in the last 10 years.

Now we discover an untold number enriched themselves and favored clients with illegally timed trades of fund shares. That's a worse betrayal of trust than the corporate scandals of recent years, since they're supposed to be on the little person's side.

Put aside what fund managers earn and consider their bosses. Putnam's ex-CEO Lawrence J. Lasser's income rivals the bloated pay package that sparked New York Stock Exchange President Dick Grasso's ouster. Lasser's take: An estimated total of $163 million over the last five years.
A massive concentration of wealth surrounds Wall Street.

......

The bottom line was and still is that Funds had become so profitable - For The Fund Managers - that there are now more funds than individual stocks. That's like saying there are more baseball teams than individual players!

340 Egfrow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:09:23pm

re: #338 buzzsawmonkey

It's actually a Pothead Economy. Sitting in a corner under the influence of weed, babbling to yourself and believing that you are actually doing something, is not that different from believing that exchanging "information" is a genuine substitute for producing things.

The state will take care of them. Section 8 and Medicare will pay for the medicinal weed.

341 Bobibutu  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:11:09pm

re: #339 Bobibutu

[Link: concentrationofwealth.blogspot.com...]

sorry - link.

342 Occasional Reader  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:13:02pm

re: #335 Egfrow

Actually, there have been interesting studies done about how much of the value in our economy is made up of intangibles like "knowledge". It dwarfs the comparative value of raw materials or even finished goods. That's not a bad thing. The human brain is our greatest resource, really.

343 Infidelle  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:13:40pm

When is the rest of the world gonna find out that BHO was the second or third largest recipient of cash from Fannie and Freddie? He made the list with Kerry and Dodd as the most bribed Congressman from the two failing entities.

344 looking closely  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:16:28pm

re: #335 Egfrow

China is kicking our ass because they do what's called "Hard Work". We have lost that drive.


China is not "kicking our ass" by any metric that makes sense.

Sure, China has better economic growth, but that's a lot easier when most of your population is living in squalor.

345 Globular Cluster  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:17:41pm

re: #315 twincitiesgirl

Thanks for taking the time to explain that. Aren't there those in Congress--- specific committees with more oversight and culpability than others?

There is the house Ways and Means committee, with Charles Rangel as it's most prominent Democrat. (You do the math).

346 ColdPizza  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:21:41pm

I'm OK. I have one really big "Gold Bar" a "sharp pocket knife to cut the bar into tiny pieces" and a really good "shot gun". I'm all set for the future.

347 Egfrow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:21:45pm

re: #342 Occasional Reader

Actually, there have been interesting studies done about how much of the value in our economy is made up of intangibles like "knowledge". It dwarfs the comparative value of raw materials or even finished goods. That's not a bad thing. The human brain is our greatest resource, really.

There is only limited capacity to live when one produces nothing but ideas for sale. Someone still has to put the effort, and cost of material to make the idea 'concrete'. Selling ideas for others to perform them. This is assuming that others are willing to pay for the intellecutal property which seems not to be the case much anymore. China is stealing ideas at the speed the Patent Clerks. Money is leaving the realm of the idea makers because there is no incentive to produce locally. Ideas are useless without being put to action and it's not being done here.

348 Egfrow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:27:58pm

re: #344 looking closely

China is not "kicking our ass" by any metric that makes sense.

Sure, China has better economic growth, but that's a lot easier when most of your population is living in squalor.

When another country has almost total production capacity over the major commodities consumed by others then we must then trust that they hold the same ethics we do in business and trade. This is the blind spot that will kick our asses because the Chinese, simply do not share our western ethics at all. They are opposed to them most of the time.

We are slowly loosing the capacity to produce the very goods we depend on to a large and scary level. That knowledge and wealth is lost and is transfered to the actual producer. We have less need for mathematicians, production line engineers, or supply side economics. That is being handled by our overseas partners. What happend when they decide not to be so friendly anymore. It would take a generation to recover the skills and knowledge being lost, and especially the work ethic to be a producer.

349 Tamron  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:31:22pm

re: #83 Alouette

Latest outburst of dementia:

Sarah Palin's tanning bed.

While I have never frequented a tanning salon, and it is considered a frivolous luxury in the "lower 48" it may be a health issue if one lives in a region that gets very little sunlight for 6 months of the year.

Yup. and quoting the article, "Turk, the funny guy behind PalinFacts.com, writes that Palin's tanning bed likely cost about as much as a half dozen haircuts for onetime Democratic candidate John Edwards."

Chances are that Bill Clinton's special aromatic cigars cost a lot more than Sarah's tanning bed, and I don't recall anyone griping about the taxpayers paying for them...

350 jwb7605  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:31:31pm

OT: this link from Drudge.
(I posted this in the next thread also)

If that happened on 24 September, I think Sarah Palin might be an even bigger asset to McCain than she is now.

Just being practical, call me sexist if you want.
That has some HUGE implications on "who is best qualified", etc.

351 stevieray  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:32:21pm

I wonder how much of these financial problems are generational -- specifically, boomer generation selfishness writ large.

As a whole, many of the boomers are not comfortable with rules... rules are a bummer, only squares believe in them.

When the boomers turned from making whoopie to making money, back in the eighties as yuppies, they brought that attitude with them. The rules that constrained others before them no longer mattered... they were different! More evolved! The restrictions of the past had to be transgressed, and the ensuing freedom would bring a new prosperity to the nation, indeed, the world! For a while, anyway...

Well, eventually, they went too far afield, to places that could not be sustained, and here we are now, deep in debt, swimming in worthless paper.

Just like the original boomer movement, the hippies, went from the optimistic [if naive] days of sex, pot, and rock-n-roll, to the debauchery of the hollow-eyed decade of the seventies, the boomers keep pushing further and further until their world collapses.

A possible lesson: Don't let those who don't believe in rules rewrite the rules.

353 Egfrow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:36:09pm

I wonder who will be the highest bidders for these Patents. NASA auctioning off 25 of their top Patents. It won't be China they just usually steal them instead.

354 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:37:31pm

Overall -

Some investment Vehicles had the substance of the "sockpuppet" of "Pets.Com" - 'Cause Dogs Can't Drive.' Unfortunately, they "played poker" for more than a few years.

-S-

355 FrogMarch  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:37:55pm

Lehman Bros: About Time! [Iain Murray]

John Berlau, of the Center for Entrepreneurship here at CEI, has the following to say about the Lehmann Bros collapse:

My reaction to Lehman Brothers’ declaring of Chapter 11 bankruptcy and the refusal of Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and others to take extraordinary Bear Stearns-like measures for the government to prop the firm up can be summed up in three words: It’s about time!

Business failure is not only a permissible outcome of capitalism, it’s a necessary one. As the great economist Joseph Schumpeter has written, the process of “creative destruction” is essential for the market to function. For innovation to flourish and the standard of living of the populace to improve, the market must be free to reward success and punish failure.

There's more, all good stuff as you'd expect from John. My take on this is that we are seeing the long-needed collapse of the hybrid model of "capitalism for profits, socialism for losses" that has helped get us into this mess. The problem is, of course, that we are likely to end up with socialism for profits instead of capitalism for losses. Free-marketeers need to rally to prevent that happening. Sharpish.

[Link: corner.nationalreview.com...]

356 boogberg  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:39:01pm

keen (or any Lizard),

If you're still around, I have a question.

I have a small amount ($5K) invested through Merrill Lynch (simple IRA).

Any reason for me to be concerned?

357 jpkoch  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:39:59pm

re: #331 sparrowlake

In the numbers rackets if credit is too easy the market soon gets flooded with too many markers. Eventually the gamblers default and the markers get called in - and if a gambler can't pay then there is a "correction". But guess what you get if the bookies were to package, promote and sell the worthless markers to "investors" instead of either collecting on them or writing them off. VOILA: marker-backed derivative securities. And eventually - a lot of gamblers with broken kneecaps, a lot of extremely unhappy "investors" and a bunch of extremely unhealthy bookies - a real mess.

The unfortunate thing is that many of these financial "gimmicks" allowed risk to be spread across international waters. Small businessmen and potential home buyers with less than stellar credit were able to obtain credit, where in the past they could not. The real villian in all of this is the Fed. The ridiculously low interest rates Greenspan allowed flood the market with cheap money. Risk taking became a whole lot easier, and the floodgates were open to the quick buck men who could game the system.
Greenspan comes out this mess with his reputation intact.

358 Josephine  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:40:12pm

re: #334 realwest

Hey y'all - sorry for the drive-by OT Post, but if anyone (especially Lady Lizards) has had to have a bone density scan, could y'all e-mail me (nic is in blue) and let me know what's involved?
Thanks and we now return you to your regularly scheduled thread!

Real, it's easy. You lie on your back on a table for a few minutes (five max, IIRC). No drugs, no dyes, no needles, no pain. Not much noise (if any). The machine scans part of your spine and your hipbone. The technician will put a little cushion under your knee(s). I've had at least three. Easy-peasy.

359 sparrowlake  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:40:14pm

re: #351 stevieray

I wonder how much of these financial problems are generational -- specifically, boomer generation selfishness writ large.

As a whole, many of the boomers are not comfortable with rules... rules are a bummer, only squares believe in them.

When the boomers turned from making whoopie to making money, back in the eighties as yuppies, they brought that attitude with them. The rules that constrained others before them no longer mattered... they were different! More evolved! The restrictions of the past had to be transgressed, and the ensuing freedom would bring a new prosperity to the nation, indeed, the world! For a while, anyway...
Well, eventually, they went too far afield, to places that could not be sustained, and here we are now, deep in debt, swimming in worthless paper.
Just like the original boomer movement, the hippies, went from the optimistic [if naive] days of sex, pot, and rock-n-roll, to the debauchery of the hollow-eyed decade of the seventies, the boomers keep pushing further and further until their world collapses.
A possible lesson: Don't let those who don't believe in rules rewrite the rules.

Don't trust anyone between 50 and 65?

360 Shr_Nfr  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:45:15pm

These guys never learn. The log of a price change does not live in L2. Please read Mandlebrot's paper in Cootner "The random character of stock market prices" MIT Press 1964, [Link: www.amazon.com...] also available as a pdf at [Link: 64.233.169.104...] He examined the nature of the price movement of the cotton futures market and determined that it lived in dimension 1.7 or so. This means that all second moments diverge and that correlations are an illusion. I have worked in the investment industry prior to my retirement in a professional capacity in an institutional investment firm. Let me assure you that all their models rely on second moments existing. Sadly they don't. Under periods of stress the dimension collapses down to about 1. Can you get a bid for that? Where "that" is a bond, a stock, or a mutual fund. I lived through the crash of 87 in the field. This is what is known as a GET ME OUT! market. Emotions take over. Its a market where you sell what you can, not what you want. The quants built the castles on Galveston Island. Ike just came through. If past is prologue this will continue for a while. Excess liquidity was pumped into the system by "Easy Alan" starting in 1996. Real Fed interest rates were negative for several years after 9/11. They were paying you to borrow money. So people did. The amount of capital that will be required to be removed from the system is a little less than the excess M3 that Alan stuck in there. I expect the destruction of about 300 bn in capital before this is over. That does not include excess capital injected into their own systems by foreign governments. That too will have to be flushed out.

361 twincitiesgirl  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:46:43pm

re: #345 Globular Cluster

There is the house Ways and Means committee, with Charles Rangel as it's most prominent Democrat. (You do the math).

frick---no wonder we're doomed.

362 Shr_Nfr  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:54:05pm

re: #349 Tamron

If you live far enough north, getting exposure to sunlight in winter is essential. Be it a light box or a tanning bed or other source. I should hope that she does not spend too much time in the tanning bed, it is not all that healthy for you as far as skin cancer goes. None the less, you will find pictures of schoolchildren in Finland, Russia, etc. with their goggles on, to lower the risk of cataracts, getting their shot of UV every day. Seasonal Affective Disorder is a well known medical condition in those places that have long nights in winter. Your pineal gland has been called your "third eye" it makes certain hormones in response to sunlight with UV content. If you do not get the sunlight it can cause serious side effects from vitamin D deficiency, which is now known to involve more than just rickets, to some degree of depression, hence the acronym SAD. Not a frivolous investment in the least.

363 Shr_Nfr  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:56:33pm

re: #360 Shr_Nfr

As a note, although Mandlebrot is known for his chaos and fractal stuff, he was trained and worked as an economist at the time he wrote that paper.

364 stevieray  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:02:43pm

re: #359 sparrowlake

Don't trust anyone between 50 and 65?

Absolutely!

OK, not really... but the same pattern is there. If a little bit of something feels good and doesn't kill you, a lot of something must be great!

It seems that on the whole, its a generation that repeats the same pattern of behavior over and over again. Not everybody, of course, but enough of them to make a noticeable difference.

365 JHW  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:04:58pm

Maybe of interest to some, so I'll tell about a crash in a commodity market I went through as a timber worker in the late '70s. China had recently been opened to trade (Nixon), Japan was booming and Korea was on the way to first-world status. The housing market in Japan was booming, so much money sloshing around I saw reports of cherries hand chosen and retailing in Japan for $35 apiece. Here came the Asian timber buyers to the West Coast with wide open checkbooks.

They started bidding against each other, and against US mills for raw logs. The Chinese preferred, and still do, logs a foot and under in diameter , small enough to man handle instead of using heavy equipment. They'll put a couple dozen young women on each log (36-40 feet long or 10-12 meters) and physically load and unload it at their mills. Japanese buyers go for aesthetics, quality and grade. They loved the old-growth for paneling in their homes and furnishings. Koreans... in between.

It got really crazy, Asian buyers tromping all through the woods and encouraging US contractors to bid on timber sales. The State of Washington has a very large state forest on the Olympic peninsula that had, and still has, huge stands of Western Red Cedar, a very beautiful and durable wood. diameter wise it can be bigger than the average redwood, but much shorter. They tend to lean at crazy angles, with many huge windfalls around them, and the wood is very brittle. In short, very difficult to fall and log without breakage, it takes extremely skilled crews to handle and very, very expensive capital equipment not much suited for much else.

At the height of this bubble, state and Federal timber sales were going for over $500/ thousand board feet (MBF) on the stump (stumpage). A log 40 feet long 2 feet in diameter contains 1000 board feet. I've cut many trees that had 10,000 BF in the first log, 20,000 or more in the whole tree. Higher grades even higher priced, could be $50,000 for one tree. Needless to say, you'd better not break one, the word gets around and you're unemployable. Very rough ground also, so this wasn't easy.Ships were lined up like caravans outside all the Northwest ports waiting to get in and make their lading.

Anyway,the Japanese housing market burst, lots of small US contractors found themselves stuck with these way over-priced sales and no buyers.The state and federal governments ended up buying a lot of these contracts back and keeping the timber. Some of those already cut logs took years to liquidate. I hated seeing old growth being treated this way, but our state government couldn't resist the gold rush. Now, mills don't want big, old timber, they are automated and prefer small uniform logs that can be put through computerized at a very high volume. The harvest equipment is much lighter and cheaper than the old growth machinery, and crews don't need the skills necessary for the big stuff either. Fine with me, I'd rather save the rest of the big Cedar especially, there's no other forests like them in the world, not even redwoods. You'd have to look long and hard to find someone capable of cutting them without destroying them they are very difficult to handle. The timber future is in high volume, small size,young trees, forest products that can be produced using automation. I"d just as soon save the rest of the big timber,and I say this as a logger.The small young stuff will fulfill all our needs.

366 rawmuse  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:06:30pm

I just came back from my gym. The only thing they ever broadcast is CNN, which was totally hanging this fiasco around the neck of the GOP. While I don't buy it, many will. None of this is good.

I've got to get a new gym.

367 twincitiesgirl  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:07:08pm
368 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:12:04pm

re: #365 JHW

"JHW" -

When you are without pretensions - WOOD is WOOD. That is all.

-S-

369 JHW  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:13:34pm

re: #368 Dr. Shalit

? , The Japanese saw it differently and still do. I didn't quite get what you mean.

370 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:16:20pm

re: #367 twincitiesgirl

Speaking of Rangel, I just saw this:

Rangel to Hire Forensic Accountant to Investigate His Finances

"St. Pauli Girl" -

The Forensic Accountant SHOULD be working for the Dep't. of Justice. Then again, Rep. Rangel will get a "pass" - do NOT wonder why. Just prefer not to state the reasons in a public forum. Same goes fro Rep. "Cold Cash" Jefferson of Louisiana.

-S-

371 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:18:08pm

re: #369 JHW

? , The Japanese saw it differently and still do. I didn't quite get what you mean.

JHW -

Without an Oriental Aesthetic - Combined with lots of money - One board is as good as another. That is what I meant.

-S-

372 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:22:34pm

Just surfed by Rachel Maddow who was interviewing Keith Olbermann. Backgound graphic was called "McCainonomics". At least it wasn't Palinonomics. Probably tomorrow.

373 JHW  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:24:34pm

re: #371 Dr. Shalit

Thanks, I kind of thought, that's what you were saying, and I totally agree. I think the aesthetic part of this bears some responsibility for the bubble that arose, the contrast between the Chinese and Japanese buyers couldn't be higher. The Chinese are going for utility and the Japanese were very, very "picky" I would call it, looking for the tiniest visual defect, much as they still do in other commodity markets, utility almost seems secondary to aesthetics to them from what I saw.

374 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:25:20pm

re: #2 ps2

Barney Fank and Fannie Mae

[Link: www.wsj.com...]

Maybe they should call in Fred Flintstone

375 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:28:00pm

re: #372 kansas

Just surfed by Rachel Maddow who was interviewing Keith Olbermann. Backgound graphic was called "McCainonomics". At least it wasn't Palinonomics. Probably tomorrow.

KS -

Rachel Maddow was described to me - through personal E-Mail - by an unimpeachable source - as being their "Resident Communist." Her son the columnist/author would probably agree. You figure it out.

-S-

376 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:28:50pm

re: #327 tokyobk

Ditto Tokyo. Too bad. They had nice offices over in Roppongi.

Don't worry, the Saudis will buy up the property.

Maybe it'll be the new headquarters for Sharia law.

377 doriangrey  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:29:08pm

When the average home in California hit $750,000.00 anyone who couldn't see this coming couldn't because they were blinded by greed.

378 So?  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:30:06pm

I should have listened to Art Bell 10 years ago when gold was $25 an ounce.

379 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:31:03pm

re: #194 Alberta Oil Peon

Extending more credit to people who are already over-extended is like throwing an anchor to a drowning man. Foreclosing is rarely a big profit opportunity for a lender, because in most cases, the reason his customer has fallen behind is that the housing market has gone soft due to other economic pressures, like people losing their jobs. Keeping the poor sap on the books, when he can't pay his interest just means that when they do eventually foreclose, they will have to sell into an even worse market than they otherwise would have, which hurts all property owners.

I live in an area affected by foreclosure. In fact I bought one of em and am currently living in it after I fixed it up. Only 4 years old and it was trashed. So I get what you are saying. But on the other hand there are two more on my block that have been sitting vacant for 2 years. So instead of something the bank gets nothing. I would think something is better.

380 kansas  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:32:17pm

re: #375 Dr. Shalit

So who would watch for more than a minute?

381 looking closely  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:01:11pm

re: #378 So?

I should have listened to Art Bell 10 years ago when gold was $25 an ounce.


When was gold $25/oz?

IIRC, it hasn't dipped below $200/oz since the '70s.

382 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:01:27pm

re: #373 JHW

Thanks, I kind of thought, that's what you were saying, and I totally agree. I think the aesthetic part of this bears some responsibility for the bubble that arose, the contrast between the Chinese and Japanese buyers couldn't be higher. The Chinese are going for utility and the Japanese were very, very "picky" I would call it, looking for the tiniest visual defect, much as they still do in other commodity markets, utility almost seems secondary to aesthetics to them from what I saw.

"JHW" -

For what it is worth, the Japanese I was most impressed with, within Japanese ethos, was a guy by the name of Jinzaburo Horiuchi - a name that you CAN NOT make up. To make a long story short - he was head of QC for Mitsubishi Motors - Mizushima Assembly Plant - very practical guy. Found out we were both "Foto - Freaks" and MINOLTA owners. Reminded him that Mitsubishi had stakes in Pentax and Nikon. Answer, same quality - lower price. Went to my car, got my XD-11 with Sears 28-80mm Zoom Lens, and showed it to him. Response was - Camera Very Good - called XD-1 in Japan.
Lens - NOT SO GOOD - MADE IN KOREA - NOT AS GOOD AS JAPANESE. Pray Tell - Do I have the ethos or not?

-S-

383 Dr. Shalit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:04:05pm

re: #380 kansas

So who would watch for more than a minute?

NOT MEE! the Poor Woman is VERRY Hard on the Eyes.

-S-

384 Knitwit  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:18:35pm

re: #240 Occasional Reader

Not everybody thnks to pray to St. Jude in a crisis!

385 joan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:34:55pm

re: #11 DeliLama

From Huffington Post


Hehe, you just can't make this stuff up.

I wonder. I think this author is a right wing mole. Go us.

Seriously, this is over the top and--I read a different essay on his blog, and it is a very strange thing about how Jesus could have learned a thing or two from Obama. Yeah, this is satirical exaggeration. I could get to like it...

386 joan  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:40:02pm

re: #18 DeliLama

...that's an actual article by Greg Gutfeld on Huffington Post.

Honestly, it was barely readable. It was satire, I am convinced--but even at that it was nearly nuts,

387 Pawn of the Oppressor  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:54:45pm

re: #217 jcm

Sleeping over with Joe Biden


It's the Bawack / Biden ticket!

Not very far from my theory, which is that every so often the nation needs to get drunk and sleep with a Democrat.

The nation wakes up with VD to find their apartment has been burgled, but hey, it was fun while it lasted... Or was it?

And the only cure for Veneral Democratitis is that creepy Republican doctor down the street... ugh

388 William  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:56:05pm

Sounds like Kenneth Rogoff has an anti-capitalist bent.

The problem isn't that Wall Street firms made a lot of money, the problem is HOW many of them made money in the last few years.

In a nutshell, many investment banks turned high-risk mortgages ("subprime" and "Alt A") into securities and then mixed these toxic securities into larger funds mixed with low risk ("prime") mortgages.

The ratings companies then rated these toxic sewage funds as quality, low risk investments, which was definitely not the case.

In the past year, the "mainstream" media has incorrectly labeled this problem as the "subprime crisis" -- the problem, unfortunately, extends well beyond subprime loans.

The following presentation is both humorous and is filled with curses, but it explains the problem perfectly:

[Link: docs.google.com...]

Now, aside from how we got here, the current problem is that the magnitude of the numbers are simply staggering, and is how Lehman went from mass praise 6 months ago, to wiped out in a week.

When the dust settles in 3-4 years, many more banks which are a household name will be nothing but a memory, and home prices will return to normal (about 30-40% below today's prices, in most areas).

See Robert Shiller's graph of house prices for the last 100 years, which illustrates the magnitude of the problem:

[Link: graphics.nytimes.com...]

Salaries have not increased 100% in the last few years, but home prices have, thanks to toxic financing made available to consumers, and made possible by rolling junk mortgages into pools and selling them off to investors. Those days are over.

389 stevieray  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 8:43:50pm

re: #388 William

Thanks for the links. Those are good tools to understand what's going on.

Do you have one that explains the Freddie and Fannie crap too?

390 William  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:19:29pm

re: #389 stevieray

Thanks for the links. Those are good tools to understand what's going on.

Do you have one that explains the Freddie and Fannie crap too?

Glad you found them useful.

As to your question: Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros, Merrill Lynch, Countrywide Financial, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Washington Mutual (WaMu), etc, etc, all suffer the exact same problem outlined in #388.

391 William  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:26:19pm

I'll add that with the Federal Govt taking over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac last week, the US govt now owns 50% of the mortgages in the United States.

Scary times.

392 EIDE_Interface  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:34:22pm

There seems to be a insatiable appetite for making obscene levels of profits that drives some really bad behavior in business. 10% return isn't good enough anymore. If you're not getting 50%-100%, then you're considered a failure.

393 sdhawgman  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:34:33pm

Time to take your money out of the bank! From a 20 year carreer mortgage banker! Washington Mutual will collapse next!

394 EIDE_Interface  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:35:59pm

re: #393 sdhawgman

Time to take your money out of the bank! From a 20 year carreer mortgage banker! Washington Mutual will collapse next!

Oh fuck.

395 EIDE_Interface  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:37:11pm

re: #393 sdhawgman

Time to take your money out of the bank! From a 20 year carreer mortgage banker! Washington Mutual will collapse next!

But but won't FDIC insurance save me? Say it will....

396 EIDE_Interface  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 9:50:57pm
397 annakita  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 10:08:54pm

Hi ~

I'm late to this topic & haven't read all the comments. So, thank you, for your patience in meeting ignorance.

What puzzles me is the attention given to AIG. My understanding is that AIG is a major insurance company. How do they fit in to the current crisis? Has it something to do with their handling of the money they don't expect to be paid out?

If someone more knowledgeable than I (that's probably most of you!) can reply in 25 words or less, or more, I'd really appreciate it.

398 Areopagitica  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 10:24:55pm

We're not out of this mess by a long shot. Rumors are flying that WaMu and National City could be following Merrill, Lehman and AIG in the coming weeks.

I really think that this is going to be followed by a wave of defaults on privately issued student loans. The job market, which looks like the Hindenburg right now is going to be further saturated with a huge number of financial people, some of which are still paying off their education if they haven't already spent their bonuses on Ferraris. Many that are currently in school at overpriced expensive private colleges or grad and law schools are going to discover that the crappy job market that was awaiting them when they graduated just got worse. If more banks fail, service companies, such as law firms, maybe even consulting firms, could tank as well. Students are going to have a very difficulty time paying off these federally guaranteed loans if there are even fewer than the few jobs out there in the past.

I see the potential for a massive economic meltdown brewing folks.

399 fat.elvis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 11:18:59pm

re: #119 The Shadow Do

You said greedy capitalist as though it were a bad thing? It's the crook part that worries me.

Heh, this sums it up for me.

Have to roll my eyes hard at "crook" too. I believe in capitalism hardcore until we have some sort of post-capitalist economy where nano-robots do 90% of all labor and 80% of all rudimentary thinking. Yeah, it'll be awhile.

This is a much needed meltdown. There are bright people in financial services and I went to college with a lot of them but compensation is out of sight for ability. Believe, me I am much happier doing my creative industry capitalist job for an average salary but seriously.... something's gotta give.

Still don't believe some kind of global meltdown will happen. I believe it could get ugly... but the most ugly of breakdowns only happen when you're living under Stalin or Pol Pot. Even all four of my grandparents got out of the Depression without starving or I wouldn't be alive. And it's not going to be that bad, come on. I'll even have enough electricity I think to power my Roomba to clean my floor for me!

400 fat.elvis  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 11:23:58pm

So much of the pining for "breakdown" seems like populist jealousy rubbish to me. And like I said, I think the financial industry in general is bloated but I'm not for the mob mentality of "get them rich bastards!" I'm a car guy and thoroughly enjoy seeing a Ferrari F430 every other day around here.

Look there are problems, but John McCain's populist crap, there needs to be more regulation! feels empty-headed and unproductive to me. Is not the biggest culprit in all this government-meddled Fannie/Fred?

401 Aussie Infidel  Tue, Sep 16, 2008 1:21:30am

Good riddance to the 'voodoo economics' of the more extreme 'financial instruments industry' that never were more than a sophisticated game of 'pass the parcel in an Irish Pub' . The blatant 'speculative bubble economy' inherent in these 'schemes' had to end badly just as they always do eventually.

Don't forget that the 'industry' being quoted here is the 'financial industry'. Sure it will lap over into the general economy but mostly it will be the financial industry that will feel the sharpest cuts. So settle your mortgage (they don't call a mortgage a 'death grip' for nothing do they?) and learn to live within your means. If you are a Wall Street trader then get used to a rather restrained lifestyle for a while.

WE've been here many times before. How come we never seem to learn?


Oooooohhhh Yeah! I forgot ...... Human Greed..... See you on the next wave!

402 Bill Dalasio  Tue, Sep 16, 2008 4:32:24am

It's very, very, easy to blame Wall Street for the mess we're currently in. And, when all of the facts are in, I've no doubt that there will be more than a few folks in the NYC financial community that will deserve a significant amount of blame. But, let's not forget something: for every Jimmy Cayne (incompetent) or George Soros (evil), there's thousands of guys (and ladies) who bust their butts off every day for good (not spectacular) money trying to do a difficult and important job. They didn't create the mess we're in.
Hell, even the Jimmy Caynes or George Soroses of the world didn't create it. Wall Street doesn't do things other than reflect the facts given it. After 9/11, the Fed cut rates dramatically. Now, that was a good thing. Unfortunately, they left them there for a long time. Too long. Two very bad things happened as a result. First, the price of real estate began to skyrocket as lots of people realized that that dream home they always wanted was now within reach. The second is that investors started to chase yield, moving up the risk-return tradeoff curve for investments that could give them the kind of returns they had gotten used to. At the same time, the markets had begun to develop new financial instruments that, despite all of the bad press they have received, are very effective at reallocating risk in ways that meet investors goals. Say what you want, but this by itself is also a good thing.
So, what went wrong? Well, housing prices had historically not been correlated nationally. When things were terrible in Florida, Oregon was going great guns. And vice versa. However, the housing bubble launched by artificially low interest rates created a situation that the research just didn't address - very high correlation in housing prices. And a lot of these new financial instruments were very sensitive to correlation. When the banks took the paper from these new instruments financing all of this new demand for housing to the rating agencies - the gatekeepers of the financial markets - they looked like magic. Under the corellation assumptions that everyone had ever known or been used to, they were showing high returns and low risk. Sure, everyone knew that they didn't have correlation down pat, but they couldn't that wrong, could they?
Now, once the magic started, everyone wanted to get in on the action. From the guy who realized that he could now become a millionaire flipping houses to the mortgage banker who could grow his business tremendously by taking on the model of the retailer rather than financier to the Wall St. banks that just found a brand new revenue stream to the investors who could now show that they had AAA paper while making returns consistent with a BBB portfolio to the government officials who could now trumpet record home ownership. Everyone insisted that the answer to all of our problems was more. Build the market further, bigger and faster. All based on the assumption that while they didn't have correlation down pat, but they couldn't that wrong, could they?
Well, they were.

403 callahan23  Tue, Sep 16, 2008 8:41:31am

re: #281 vagabond trader

Where are you?

Sorry, to answer that late.
I am in Germany, city called Saarbrücken.

404 akak  Wed, Sep 17, 2008 6:03:32pm

Is PriceWaterhouse Coopers gonna take it on the chin for AIG, the same way Anderson & Co got knocked out 5(?) years ago?

Just did a quick google on the so-called independent audit, and this stuff was in question years ago.

The Berkshire Hathaway $500 mill insurance come loan looks funny too, inflating profits.


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