10:34 — Rep. Rothman sounds more realistic. “I’d like to believe there’s still some hope, but all the evidence appears to be to the contrary,” he tells RCP — MIKE MEMOLI

10:33 — With 40% reporting, Owens (D) is leading Hoffman 50%-45%. A lot depends on what precincts are in and what precincts are not. If the remaining precincts are in the Syracuse area, and the Northeast is in, then its OK for Hoffman. Otherwise, its bad news for the conservative. In other news, the gay marriage question is still neck-in-neck in Maine, with the “legislature got it right” answer on top.