A “Commentary” by Michael Barone at Rasmussen Reports (yes the polling guys).

Going Out on a Limb: Romney Beats Obama, Handily

Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents, and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.

But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery — Friday’s job report showed an unemployment uptick….

…Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223…