re: #121 KGxvi

Biden’s been pretty consistently leading in Arizona since March. Biden seems to be gaining in Iowa, but it’s probably still leaning Trump. I don’t think Nevada was ever really in play. Ohio is probably a toss up at this point. And there’s only been one poll out of Pennsylvania since the end of May that showed Trump with a lead.

This might come as a shock, but it once again looks like they really don’t know what the fuck they’re doing but obviously know that they are losing.

According to fivethirtyeight.com, Pennsylvania has about a 30% likelihood of being the tipping point state, so that is exactly where the campaigns should be advertising. Florida is at about 15% for second, so Bloomberg’s $100 million commitment there is a big fucking deal, as Biden would say.