re: #11 blueraven

I think we make a mistake cherry picking the polls.

Yes, this may not be a great poll. But generally, most of the polls in FL are leaning to Romney.

Better to take the trend seriously.
Obama doesn’t need FL but he must keep Ohio and the midwest, Nevada

There are some fundamental problems with the CNN/ORC poll delineated in the previous thread. They look to have grossly under sampled younger voters and minorities. This is exacerbated by the fact that they only publish two age groups, over 50 / under 50 and only barely managed to get enough under 50’s and non-whites to publish. They were right at their max allowable MOE for both those groups.