re: #158 dangerman
Morning consult also has PA for biden by…enough
ARIZONA: Biden 48%, Trump 46%
FLORIDA: Biden 52%, Trump 45%
GEORGIA: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
MICHIGAN: Biden 52%, Trump 45%
NORTH CAROLINA: Biden 49%, Trump 48%
OHIO: Trump 49%, Biden 47%
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 52%, Trump 43%
TEXAS: Biden 48%, Trump 48%
WISCONSIN: Biden 54%, Trump 41%
That’s a wild set of numbers. I tend to agree with the OH line, we could get lucky in a surge but it’s not really swingy anymore.
I also have always thought Morning Consult was R-leaning, at least a tick or two. Not hand-on-scales like Ras or whasstheirname, just balanced that way.