re: #209 suchislife

Do you guys here like nate silver? I always check him first when something happens that potentially changes the numbers in an election.

[Link: www.fivethirtyeight.com…]

Don’t know whether I like him, but this is a good point from your link:

It’s not quite so clear how Hoffman stands to benefit from this. Although a majority of Scozzafava’s supporters are Republican (about 62 percent, by my reckoning), it is safe to assume that they are mostly rather moderate Republicans, because almost all the conservative Republicans had already gone over to Hoffman. To wit, two-thirds of Scozzafava’s supporters say they like Barack Obama