re: #188 aagcobb

Nate Silver gives Romney a 21% chance of winning Wisconsin. But if Romney gives up on the Badger State, it means he has no room for error: he must win Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, and Va. Florida and NC are givens; he can’t win under virtually any plausible scenario without them.

I think your math is off a little. He NEEDS Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and NC. That would put him at 266 then any one of colorado, Iowa, NH, Nevada, or wisconsin will put him over 270. I don’t think Michigan or Penn. ever really were in play, maybe just trying to spread Obama’s defense so to speak.