re: #12 Killgore Trout

Mitt could have a chance in the general election even with the fractured support. Obama’s approval ratings are pretty bad and his base seems more interested in Marxist rallies and drum circles than getting him reelected. A 3rd party Tea Partier would easily swing things in Obama’s favor.

See, I view Obama’s main problem in a bit of a different light. First of all, a bad economy isn’t helpful for any incumbent president. But even more than that, I think the whole situation has robbed him of one of his biggest strengths last time: Hope. Now, hope isn’t what got him elected per se, but it certainly added to the strength and size of his base of support. When a big part of getting elected is how you’ll make things better, it’s not good when they largely haven’t (In the minds of most people) and you’re trying to get re-elected.