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Kirk Douglas: The Road Ahead

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Dangerman9/26/2016 7:46:20 am PDT

re: #262 gwangung

What’s working, too, is the working assumptions of the models pollsters use. Recall this article: Same raw data given to four pollsters give four different results.

Some of this is really bad methodology (only 10 non-white? No people under 40?); some of it is very questionable modeling (non-white voting falls back to 2004, despite demographic changes?). Like I said before, I’m beginning to think there are enough really bad polling being done that even the aggregators are being affected.

well i never answer my phone so im sure thats skewing things