re: #285 Killgore Trout

If history is a guide, then another military leader will eventually assume power.

That’s how Nasser did it. That’s how Sadat did it, and that’s how Mubarak did it. Don’t think for a moment that some enterprising young leader in the Egyptian military isn’t thinking of doing the same.

I give the democratic movement a 50/50 chance; and the military is tipping the scales against a functioning democratic government with multiple peaceful transitions.

One election isn’t proof of democracy. It’s the peaceful transition from one government to another.

I do think that the military will curb whatever intentions the MB has in trying to overturn the Camp David Accords since the military knows what’s at stake - and how the peace deal benefits Egypt far more than Israel. And if the MB can’t get the economy going, then the focus will be on whatever the other political groups can come up with. Or, as I noted above, the military will decide that they’re in a better position to govern from the top down - and maybe give a veneer of political participation with the parliament (benign junta).