re: #317 Gus 802

Too unusual. Hillary would get close to zero support from the DNC if she ran. Obama already has a massive war chest exceeding the GOP. That being said she could be the next VP however. And it’s also true that it won’t be anything like it was in 2008 regardless of that war chest. Overall it’s going to be lot tougher of race especially if Romney wins the GOP nomination. A Palin or Bachmann would make it easier for him.

The other big factor in the equation is Hillary’s statements. Taking her at her word, she is leaving the SoS position next year but will not run for president against Obama. She will not run (she says) in 2016, either. She hasn’t been building a war chest, hasn’t been meeting potential backers.

There are no leftie candidates with declarations, money, and/or backing to be viable third party candidates at this time. And just as for Republicans, the time to declare or be forgotten is running out.

Perry and Palin have till the end of this month at best. Palin’s best opportunity, as R or as TP, comes next week. That interferes with Perry’s chances, meaning if he’s going to declare it needs to be the last week of this month.

Oh, and as one more watch; Bachmann turns in her fundraising numbers tomorrow. Next week we’ll see if money matches buzz for her, and know if it’s going to be a Bachmann/Romney battle, or just a lot of noise while Romney closes the deal.