re: #31 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

I’m convinced it’s more the third situation, but I think that the splintering is gonna ultimately favor Romney, as the rest of the pack will split the Tea Party badly. You’re probably right that it will go to the convention, which will only increase the GOP’s problems, as it will mean spending the entire summer engaged in political trench warfare.

You forget that splintering doesn’t matter as much because this time the delegates of each state are split proportionally instead of winner take all. Romney can’t win with just a plurality.