Comment

Jon Stewart: Parks and Demonstration

424
lostlakehiker10/06/2011 2:53:37 pm PDT

re: #418 Obdicut

I’m fairly sure, for example, you’re off by a factor of at least a thousand in terms of the probability of my vote swaying an election in California.

Is there a place you’re getting this from that I could go look at?

Wikipedia, binomial distribution. Or compute C[10000,5000]/2^(10000). Which I just did.

Or Central Limit Theorem.