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Democratic Debate: Clinton vs. Sanders, the Wrap-Up

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Shiplord Kirel: From behind wingnut lines2/05/2016 10:43:22 am PST

For some reason I have a tendency to confuse right wing harpy Phyllis Schlafly with the renowned psy-quack Jeane Dixon. I guess this is because I first became aware of both in the early 60s, they were about equally prominent in the media then, and they were both somewhat scary old ladies (Schlafly was about 40 then, Dixon even more ancient).
Like Schlafly, Dixon stuck around a long time, finally shuffling off this mortal sphere in 1997 at age 93.
One of my aunts was a big fan of Dixon’s newspaper column, constantly extolling Dixon’s “uncannily accurate” predictions and duly ignoring the much greater number of inaccurate ones. This tendency, which underpins the whole psychic subculture and industry, is known as the Jeane Dixon effect.

John Allen Paulos, a mathematician at Temple University, coined the term ‘the Jeane Dixon effect’, which references a tendency to promote a few correct predictions while ignoring a larger number of incorrect predictions. Many of Dixon’s predictions proved false, such as her claims that a dispute over the offshore Chinese islands of Quemoy and Matsu would trigger the start of World War III in 1958, that American labor leader Walter Reuther would run for President of the United States in the 1964 presidential election, that the second child of Canadian Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau and his young wife Margaret would be a girl (it was a boy), and that the Russians would be the first to put men on the moon