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The Return of the Attack of the 2012 Iowa Caucus

809
kirkspencer1/04/2012 6:59:08 am PST

re: #805 lawhawk

As I said last night, watch South Carolina.

If Romney walks away with it there, it’s all over but the shouting.

If Romney wins with a squeaker, he’ll pull a McCain and be the obvious winner after Super Tuesday.

If Romney loses, we’re going to see a long race with both sides going even worse than they are now. In that case I suggest watching Florida as the followon. Whichever of the two (Romney and SC’s ABR) wins Florida is the likely nominee once the dust settles. Caveat to this: if Paul can sustain greater than 10% through Florida AND there is another ABR, I think we’ll go to the convention to get this settled with Paul being the kingmaker. Low probability but I admit to hoping…