re: #90 Nyet

The silliness of Dean Chambers’ ajdustments was that they weren’t based on any sane data whatsoever.

The adjustments are not wrong by themselves. They can be wrong or write in each individual case. If you wanna argue with the adjustments, address the evidence for or against undertaking them.

There is no magic in “raw numbers”.

I agree with that. And I’ll note that Nate hasn’t been saying Clinton is going to lose, just talking raw percentages. I think there are other factors that favor Clinton but I think some have been way too hostile on Silver and are resorting to shooting the messager.