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Overnight Open Thread

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Buck12/06/2010 3:59:10 pm PST

re: #220 garhighway

That scenario is certainly theoretically possible. But the Iranians have to ask them selves “Who in the world do we trust with a nuclear weapon?” I’d be really surprised if that question yields a long list. They would also have to ask themselves whether, if a nuke were detonated inside Israel, there was any force on Earth that could stop the Israelis from putting a couple into Tehran. Because my read of the Israelis is that it would be a sure thing.

So if you are Iran, and you aren’t suicidal as a nation (which I don’t think they are, their posturing aside) you have to ask yourself whether letting a proxy (if you can find one you trust enough) detonate one inside Israel is a good idea, seeing as it creates a high risk that your nation as you know it would cease to exist shortly thereafter.

I disagree with almost every assumption you make.

I will say this. I would have thought that if NK were to, with no provocation, sink a South Korean ship there would have been a military response at least equal in nature. I would have thought that if North Korea were to, with no provocation, shell South Korea there would have been a military response at least equal in nature.

It would seem not. In both those cases, there wasn’t even the strongly worded letter.