The Attack of the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Stalk the raucous caucus, lest it balk us
Politics • Views: 27,777

The Des Moines Register has live results from the Iowa Caucuses here, if you just can’t wait to find out which GOP candidate is far enough to the right to take this coveted first election prize: 2012 Iowa Republican Caucus Results.

Apparently, the number of caucusoids who say they’re “undecided” this year is very substantial; the GOP base is really playing hard to get.

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398 comments
1 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:04:17pm

Need to set the mood with the right music

2 jamesfirecat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:04:21pm

So finally the time has come, soon the modern GOP base will have to make the important choice between the unqaulified and the dishonest!

3 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:07:14pm

Who is this shadowy "Other"? *cue spooky music*

4 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:07:52pm

Let's see how my prediction holds up:
Santorum - 24%
Paul - 23%
Romney - 20%
Gingrich - 15%
Perry - 10%
Bachmann - 6%
Huntsman - 2%

I'm still convinced that Romney cannot win the nomination, but what do I know? :)

5 EdDantes  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:08:42pm

I'm as giddy as a school girl! I'm so excited my sap is rising! What was the question again?

6 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:08:51pm

re: #4 bloodstar

Let's see how my prediction holds up:
Santorum - 24%
Paul - 23%
Romney - 20%
Gingrich - 15%
Perry - 10%
Bachmann - 6%
Huntsman - 2%

I'm still convinced that Romney cannot win the nomination, but what do I know? :)

If Santorum or Paul wins the nomination, then I don't think I have nearly enough popcorn for the general election.

7 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:09:45pm

re: #6 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

If Santorum or Paul wins the nomination, then I don't think I have nearly enough popcorn for the general election.

I still think it's going to be brokered.

8 Olsonist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:10:23pm

re: #4 bloodstar

You forgot Buddy Roemer. How could you forget Buddy Roemer?

9 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:10:45pm

re: #1 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

Need to set the mood with the right music

[Video]

The thing about Yaketty Sax is that it strongly implies people running around without pants. Now everyone is forced to imagine Newt Gingrich's pasty buttocks undulating to and fro as the Iowa primary voters playfully run away from him.

Note: the EXACT same imagery applies if you play "Chariots of Fire", except then he's running in slow motion.

10 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:11:12pm

I think Ron Paul just might win this one. He's on an unstoppable, juggernaut-like roll. His reality distortion field is set on stun. Facts can't withstand it. He's even got the support of Iowa progressives.

11 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:13:24pm

re: #4 bloodstar

Let's see how my prediction holds up:
Santorum - 24%
Paul - 23%
Romney - 20%
Gingrich - 15%
Perry - 10%
Bachmann - 6%
Huntsman - 2%

I'm still convinced that Romney cannot win the nomination, but what do I know? :)

She might be crazy, but Bachmann is nowhere near as much of a just-plain asshole that Rick Perry is. I would actually feel kinda bad for her if Perry beats her.

12 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:13:43pm

re: #9 negativ

The thing about Yaketty Sax is that it strongly implies people running around without pants. Now everyone is forced to imagine Newt Gingrich's pasty buttocks undulating to and fro as the Iowa primary voters playfully run away from him.

Note: the EXACT same imagery applies if you play "Chariots of Fire", except then he's running in slow motion.

...

Is there an instruction manual somewhere on how to stab out your mind's eye?

13 EdDantes  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:14:54pm

re: #10 Charles

There is something seriously wrong with a candidate who appeals to the extremes of both parties.

14 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:15:05pm

re: #12 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

...

Is there an instruction manual somewhere on how to stab out your mind's eye?

Check and see if there's eHow instructions for "icepick lobotomy."

15 engineer cat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:16:11pm

when do we get to the love interest part of the movie where the moderate guy and the conservative gal fall head over heels in love despite their fundamental differences over health insurance policy?

16 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:17:20pm

I'm wondering who will see their results as a sign to drop out of the race. Do the candidates have enough self awareness to see they have no chance to continue?

17 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:17:41pm

re: #3 negativ

Who is this shadowy "Other"? *cue spooky music*

It must be that Eric guy I keep hearing about.

18 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:18:27pm

Evening folks.

19 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:18:46pm

re: #17 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

It must be that Eric guy I keep hearing about.

Gene Eric Republican?

20 Digital Display  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:19:16pm

re: #10 Charles

I think Ron Paul just might win this one. He's on an unstoppable, juggernaut-like roll. His reality distortion field is set on stun. Facts can't withstand it. He's even got the support of Iowa progressives.

I'm so pissed off at the GOP..I'm glad I left..
They are so serious about America they will probably pick the craziest fucker in modern politics.. Ron Paul.. Shows you the lack of seriousness on their part..

21 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:19:22pm

Well, that's an interesting entrance poll.
24% for Paul and Romney, 18 for Santorum and 13 for Gingrich. (11 for Perry, 7 for Bachmann, 1 for Huntsman).

The question is, since this is a poll of the early arrivals... will the later groups support Santorum?

Paul has the ... enthusiastic supporters, Romney has been working to bus people there early, so... their results may be skewed a little high.

22 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:19:37pm

entrance polls showing crazy uncle in the lead

23 Sionainn  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:19:40pm

re: #6 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

If Santorum or Paul wins the nomination, then I don't think I have nearly enough popcorn for the general election.

That's okay. I'll bake cookies for all!

24 wrenchwench  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:19:51pm

re: #7 bloodstar

I still think it's going to be brokered.

FTFMe

25 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:20:10pm

58% of Republicans under 30 are for the Crazy Uncle.

26 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:20:18pm

I agree with Charles on this one, I think Paul is gonna pull this one out... If not people have been really exaggerating his "ground game" for quite some time.

27 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:20:43pm

re: #19 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Gene Eric Republican?

Yeah, that guy.


(YOU RUINED IT FOR ME!)

28 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:20:56pm

there are republicans under the age of 30?

29 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:21:23pm

re: #27 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

Yeah, that guy.

(YOU RUINED IT FOR ME!)

Consider it payback for the "salad" bits earlier today.

30 jamesfirecat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:21:38pm

re: #22 SpaceJesus

entrance polls showing crazy uncle in the lead

If you're gonna go crazy you might as well do it in style.

Laup Nor, accept no substitutes!

31 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:21:45pm

re: #28 SpaceJesus

there are republicans under the age of 30?

There are libertarians who registered Republican under 30

32 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:22:04pm

re: #28 SpaceJesus

there are republicans under the age of 30?

Some people gradually work their heads up their asses as they age, others are simply born that way.

33 engineer cat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:22:06pm

re: #19 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Gene Eric Republican?

result of iowa caucus:

other 38%
undecided 24%
don't know 22%
none of the above 19%
fish 16%

34 Indepublicrat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:22:16pm

So tonight is the first of three or four layers of caucuses and conventions that will decide who gets to send 28 Iowa delegates to the national conference where over a thousand delegates are needed to secure the nomination. Why can't I get excited about this?

35 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:22:25pm

re: #29 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Consider it payback for the "salad" bits earlier today.

Commence to ruing.

36 engineer cat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:23:10pm

re: #32 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Some people gradually work their heads up their asses as they age, others are simply born that way.

can you have it thrust upon you?

37 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:24:40pm

re: #34 Indepublicrat

Maybe if you were waving a giant finger in stadium? Cheerleaders would help. David Gregory's hair just isn't doing it for me.

38 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:25:01pm

re: #15 engineer dog

when do we get to the love interest part of the movie where the moderate guy and the conservative gal fall head over heels in love despite their fundamental differences over health insurance policy?

It's probably more like Requiem for a Dream, where the main characters start out miserable, and end up even more miserable by the time it's over.

39 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:25:03pm

re: #36 engineer dog

can you have it thrust upon you?

Indeed, though the GOP frowns upon it, as some portion of the Bible only they're privy to says God hates such people.

/

40 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:25:14pm

re: #11 negativ

She might be crazy, but Bachmann is nowhere near as much of a just-plain asshole that Rick Perry is. I would actually feel kinda bad for her if Perry beats her.

I wouldn't. How many girls will die of cervical cancer because of her "gardasil causes metal retardation" lie? She can't lose by a big enough margin.

41 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:26:54pm

re: #16 mracb

I'm wondering who will see their results as a sign to drop out of the race. Do the candidates have enough self awareness to see they have no chance to continue?

Bachmann's campaign will be effectively over after today, though she may not officially drop out immediately.

42 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:27:39pm

re: #41 aagcobb

Bachmann's campaign will be effectively over after today, though she may not officially drop out immediately.

Nah, I figure the campaign will lurch on in a zombie-like state for at least a couple more weeks.

43 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:27:41pm

re: #40 aagcobb

I wouldn't. How many girls will die of cervical cancer because of her "gardasil causes metal retardation" lie? She can't lose by a big enough margin.

I assure you that even if she lives to be 100, Michelle Bachmann will be responsible for a lot less death than Rick Perry.

44 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:27:51pm

re: #41 aagcobb

Bachmann's campaign will be effectively over after today, though she may not officially drop out immediately.

So you're discounting her whole "We'll see a miracle tonight" deal?
/

45 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:28:36pm

re: #44 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

So you're discounting her whole "We'll see a miracle tonight" deal?
/

The miracle would be if she got a clue.

46 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:28:50pm

re: #44 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

So you're discounting her whole "We'll see a miracle tonight" deal?
/

A miracle tonight? What, that she won't finish dead last?

47 EdDantes  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:29:14pm

re: #25 Charles

58% of Republicans under 30 are for the Crazy Uncle.

A good reason for raising the voting age.

48 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:29:29pm

I hope the bible thumpers all stay in and divide the vote so Paul can do his crazy thing

49 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:29:29pm

re: #43 negativ

I assure you that even if she lives to be 100, Michelle Bachmann will be responsible for a lot less death than Rick Perry.

I have no pity for Perry, either. It amuses me that he spent so much money to so little effect.

50 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:30:14pm

re: #46 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

A miracle tonight? What, that she won't finish dead last?

Hey now, Huntsman (who I actually respect) seems to have that spot wrapped up.

51 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:30:16pm

Maddow: If Ron Paul were to run as a Libertarian...
O'Donnell: We would never speak of his existence.

lol

52 Obdicut  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:30:33pm

The page just went down for me.

53 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:31:01pm

re: #51 Major Tom

Maddow: If Ron Paul were to run as a Libertarian...
O'Donnell: We would never speak of his existence.

lol

Yeah, he already tried that and got his ass handed to him. Only way he might consider a second go is if he wins tonight.

54 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:31:05pm

Mitt Romney
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Rick Santorum
Michele Bachmann
Rick Perry

In that order. No percentages.

55 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:31:14pm

re: #52 Obdicut

The page just went down for me.

That's what $CONGRESSMAN said.

56 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:31:28pm

re: #50 Atlas Fails

Hey now, Huntsman (who I actually respect) seems to have that spot wrapped up.

She'll finish last among candidates who actually campaigned in Iowa. Massive fail for the local girl.

57 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:32:18pm

re: #52 Obdicut

The page just went down for me.

Did you buy her dinner first at least?

58 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:32:24pm

I'm pulling for Romney, if only to get drunk on the delicious tears of Freepers.

59 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:32:32pm

Oops. Forgot about Rick Perry. Added him for last place.

60 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:32:50pm

1% in, Paul is destroying everybody

61 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:33:17pm

re: #60 SpaceJesus

1% in, Paul is destroying everybody

Ron Paul wins!

//

62 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:33:30pm

re: #59 Gus 802

Oops. Forgot about Rick Perry. Added him for last place.

No worries, I don't think anybody besides us poli-junkies even remember he's running.

63 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:33:56pm

re: #62 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

No worries, I don't think anybody besides us poli-junkies even remember he's running.

Poor Rick.

//

64 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:34:07pm

The Des Moines Register's caucus results site has been crushed.

65 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:34:08pm

re: #58 Atlas Fails

I'm pulling for Romney, if only to get drunk on the delicious tears of Freepers.

They would be pretty bummed by Paul as well. I want him to win Iowa, because I want the GOP to reap what it has sown; I want Paul to get a prime time slot at the convention to preach his bad craziness.

66 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:34:19pm

re: #60 SpaceJesus

1% in, Paul is destroying everybody

So begins The Revolution!

67 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:35:10pm

re: #64 Charles

The Des Moines Register's caucus results site has been crushed.

TPM has a page up, but its not updating yet.

[Link: core.talkingpointsmemo.com...]

68 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:35:26pm

If Paul does win we'll never hear the end of it from the Paulbots.

69 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:36:09pm

re: #66 Atlas Fails

So begins The Revolution Revulsion!

FTFY

70 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:36:41pm

CNN has results coming in on the front page and Fox has this page.

71 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:36:44pm

According to the NY Times, nearly 30% of caucus goers are independents. That bodes well for Paul.

72 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:37:03pm

re: #68 Gus 802

I Paul does win we'll never hear the end of it from the Paulbots.

I gave up a couple weeks back, when he first started nudging towards the top, trying to explain to the Paulbots how absolutely pointless winning in Iowa is to the process. 3 out of 8 winners have gone on to the presidency, which isn't even 50/50 odds.

73 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:37:22pm

re: #68 Gus 802

If Paul does win we'll never hear the end of it from the Paulbots.

Sure we will. When are the NH primaries again?

74 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:37:52pm

re: #73 Atlas Fails

Sure we will. When are the NH primaries again?

Don't know.

75 Romantic Heretic  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:38:32pm

re: #49 aagcobb

I have no pity for Perry, either. It amuses me that he spent so much money to so little effect.

Being the cynical bastard I am, I wonder how much of that was taxpayer money?

76 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:38:38pm

re: #72 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

I gave up a couple weeks back, when he first started nudging towards the top, trying to explain to the Paulbots how absolutely pointless winning in Iowa is to the process. 3 out of 8 winners have gone on to the presidency, which isn't even 50/50 odds.

Yep. And we saw what happened with Huckabee. Everyone made a huge deal about his 2008 Iowa win.

77 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:38:51pm

re: #74 Gus 802

Don't know.

Next week, and Paul could well finish second there. He is a godsend for Romney.

78 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:39:59pm

[Link: elections.nytimes.com...]
NYT
Has a good map

79 elizajane  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:40:10pm

Results at the Iowa Caucuses site: with one precinct reporting, it's Paul winning with 50%, and a tie for second between (wait for this) Perry and Santorum!
It may not be as jolly a night for Willard as he and the whole Republican punditocracy were anticipating.

80 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:40:28pm

re: #76 Gus 802

Yep. And we saw what happened with Huckabee. Everyone made a huge deal about his 2008 Iowa win.

At the same time, a second-place finish and subsequent breakdown killed Dean's chances in '04. That would be absolutely bloody marvelous, Paul placing second and having a breakdown on live TV.

81 ozbloke  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:41:00pm

Apparantly we are interested here in Stralia

Live map:
[Link: www.abc.net.au...]

82 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:41:15pm

re: #79 elizajane

Results at the Iowa Caucuses site: with one precinct reporting, it's Paul winning with 50%, and a tie for second between (wait for this) Perry and Santorum!

What % of precincts reporting?

83 albusteve  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:41:55pm

I think I'm the only one here that has zero interest in Iowa, the GOP in general, and the election next fall...the zealous posts are sort of interesting tho

84 Sionainn  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:41:59pm

re: #82 Atlas Fails

What % of precincts reporting?

1 precinct.

85 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:42:10pm

re: #80 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

At the same time, a second-place finish and subsequent breakdown killed Dean's chances in '04. That would be absolutely bloody marvelous, Paul placing second and having a breakdown on live TV.

Paul knows he won't be the nominee, so we won't see a Dean moment from him.

86 elizajane  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:42:37pm

re: #82 Atlas Fails

What % of precincts reporting?

One out of 1,774, but hey, when has that ever stopped a pundit from pontificating?

87 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:42:50pm

re: #85 aagcobb

Paul knows he won't be the nominee, so we won't see a Dean moment from him.

Nah. We'll see it from his fans though. They'll go nuts.

88 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:43:21pm

Best get away from Paul's crazy thunder, Santorum

89 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:43:22pm

re: #81 ozbloke

Apparantly we are interested here in Stralia

Live map:
[Link: www.abc.net.au...]

The map is also available directly from Google at [Link: google.com...]

90 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:43:36pm

Oh oh, Santorum takes the lead!

91 The Mountain That Blogs  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:43:40pm

[Link: twitter.com...]

Ok, I laughed.

92 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:43:41pm

For the Paulbots. A Ron Paul win tonight will mean that he won the presidential election. Almost. ;)

93 Digital Display  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:03pm

The Hoopsters talking points for the candidates tonight.. ( You can thank me later )

1. Bachmann: Tell us your freaking resume one more time..We'll probably say it with you word for word...I forget..How many foster kids did you raise? A federal Tax Lawyer? What a surprise..Blah blah blah
2. Paul..It's 1932 all over again..And I'm the one to bring you back in time as we bury America's head in the sand..If it feels right do it kids..( anybody need a hit of China White?)
3. Mitt: And you didn't think the GOP could field a Rich white businessman?
So far..He is your only hope..Vote for Mitt...( Cue the song Run to you by Bryan Adams )
4. Newt: As the smartest man in America why aren't you loving me? You do know I'm the smartest politician in America..Right? Vote for me..
5. Rick S. : I Tebow'd Iowa! Let us pray..( opens one eye )
those Robbo calls from Jesus was really Him last night...I have walked among you for months
6. Huntsman: I'm not really here.. I'm in the studio doing a Nelly song with my daughters...See you soon

94 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:16pm

re: #87 Gus 802

Nah. We'll see it from his fans though. They'll go nuts.

Ayep. Either way, I get a good laugh tomorrow. Either he wins and I get to watch the wingnuts dissolve into hysterics trying to explain away his win, or he loses and I get to bathe in the tears of Paulians as they try to explain it away with various convoluted conspiracy theories.

95 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:22pm

Huntsman! I completely forgot about him.

96 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:31pm

re: #81 ozbloke

Apparantly we are interested here in Stralia

Live map:
[Link: www.abc.net.au...]

Can't you grow your own crazies?

97 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:32pm

Santorum Bubbling up. Uhhhgg

98 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:44:40pm

re: #87 Gus 802

Nah. We'll see it from his fans though. They'll go nuts.

I expect the margin to be very narrow between Romney, Paul and Santorum, and any of the three could win. It may just depend on what percentage of the caucus goers are evangelicals or independents and democrats.

99 ozbloke  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:45:02pm

re: #89 Charleston Chew

The map is also available directly from Google at [Link: google.com...]

/ Thanks, but it doesn't include all the intelligent twitter comments

100 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:45:44pm

re: #94 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Ayep. Either way, I get a good laugh tomorrow. Either he wins and I get to watch the wingnuts dissolve into hysterics trying to explain away his win, or he loses and I get to bathe in the tears of Paulians as they try to explain it away with various convoluted conspiracy theories.

Yep. The GOP will freak if Paul wins. Ron Paul. Mr. Anti-Israel or whatever you wanna call him. Mr. Hamas ain't so bad!

101 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:46:03pm

God I wish I could vote in Iowa but never have to live there

102 ozbloke  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:46:38pm

re: #96 Decatur Deb

Can't you grow your own crazies?

Yes we can!

Oops, I think I've heard that before somewhere.

103 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:46:48pm

re: #100 Gus 802

Yep. The GOP will freak if Paul wins. Ron Paul. Mr. Anti-Israel or whatever you wanna call him. Mr. Hamas ain't so bad!

"How did he win?! Nobody I know voted for him!!!"

104 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:46:54pm

re: #92 Gus 802

For the Paulbots. A Ron Paul win tonight will mean that he won the presidential election. Almost. ;)

They'll write an epic poem about it: first stanza, about how he won the Iowa straw poll; stanzas 2 through 50, about the array of conspirators keeping him and his loyal followers out of the White House.

105 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:47:37pm

re: #104 The Ghost of a Flea

They'll write an epic poem about it: first stanza, about how he won the Iowa straw poll; stanzas 2 through 50, about the array of conspirators keeping him and his loyal followers out of the White House.

The Silliad

106 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:47:39pm

re: #103 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

"How did he win?! Nobody I know voted for him!!!"

But. But. He's not really a Republican!

107 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:47:41pm

re: #101 SpaceJesus

God I wish I could vote in Iowa but never have to live there

Move to New Hampshire. Their primaries are more important anyway.

108 Page 3 in the Binder of Women  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:47:53pm

re: #83 albusteve

I think I'm the only one here that has zero interest in Iowa, the GOP in general, and the election next fall...the zealous posts are sort of interesting tho

Meteor shower tonight!! You prob, will see it great!

109 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:48:00pm

Kaboom!

OK. Him winning would be a hoot.

110 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:48:16pm

Winning tonight that is.

111 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:48:40pm

re: #104 The Ghost of a Flea

They'll write an epic poem about it: first stanza, about how he won the Iowa straw poll; stanzas 2 through 50, about the array of conspirators keeping him and his loyal followers out of the White House.

Nah, stanzas 2 through 25 are about the conspirators, while 26-50 are about how his presidency would see America become a veritable paradise by the light of his hand and the glory of the Constitution as the Founders "intended it."

112 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:48:56pm

"Five people. Five people have voted for Jon Huntsman."
-Wolf Blitzer.

113 elizajane  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:48:59pm

This site has Santorum leading, Paul a close second, Sir Romney of the Many Millions trying hard to catch up:
[Link: www.iowagop.org...]

114 albusteve  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:13pm

re: #108 Stanley Sea

Meteor shower tonight!! You prob, will see it great!

I posted about it earlier...nobody cares with the Great Iowa Vote today...LOL, what a farce

115 Interesting Times  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:32pm

re: #109 Gus 802

Kaboom!

OK. Him winning would be a hoot.

If I were an Iowa progressive, I would vote for Paul just to fuck with Karl Rove's head :P

116 Romantic Heretic  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:38pm

From the NYT page.

Ron Paul is the only candidate you can trust to put an end to the uncontrollable spending.

I think this is more correct.

Ron Paul is the only candidate you can trust to put an end to the uncontrollable spending.

Somehow, Paul is going to run a government that has no income and no spending.

He believes in Santa Claus too.

117 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:47pm

re: #112 SpaceJesus

"Five people. Five people have voted for Jon Huntsman."
-Wolf Blitzer.

If we sent a Blackhawk, we could get them all out.

118 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:55pm

re: #99 ozbloke

/ Thanks, but it doesn't include all the intelligent twitter comments

Twitter may be the worst thing to ever happen to political horserace wonks. It's their version of the crack epidemic.

Reminds me of when I was a kid I'd stay up late trying to guess what was in my Christmas presents on Christmas Eve and my mom would tell me that if I just went to bed it would be tomorrow and I could just open them.

119 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:49:59pm

re: #96 Decatur Deb

Can't you grow your own crazies?

They're too busy running from the Australian butterflies and ponies that all have deadly neurotoxic venom.

120 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:50:09pm

re: #112 SpaceJesus

"Five people. Five people have voted for Jon Huntsman."
-Wolf Blitzer.

Ladies and gentlemen...the Republican Party!

121 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:50:19pm

re: #112 SpaceJesus

"Five people. Five people have voted for Jon Huntsman."
-Wolf Blitzer.

Jon's not even going to rate "Also-Ran" status at this rate. The man thought he'd get his feet wet this time around, set up his bid for '16. Instead, he's pretty much torpedoed his own chances. *sigh*

122 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:50:49pm

re: #113 elizajane

The demographics in Iowa supposedly are such that as one goes from East to West the electorate becomes more religious/conservative. I wonder if that will be reflected in those results?

123 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:50:55pm

re: #112 SpaceJesus

"Five people. Five people have voted for Jon Huntsman."
-Wolf Blitzer.

He might even finish behind Cain!

124 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:51:10pm

re: #121 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Jon's not even going to rate "Also-Ran" status at this rate. The man thought he'd get his feet wet this time around, set up his bid for '16. Instead, he's pretty much torpedoed his own chances. *sigh*

He has bet everything on NH, and he's going to finish behind luap nor there.

125 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:51:21pm

Ron Paul's official Twitter account is a dick:

@jonhuntsman we found your one Iowa voter, he's in Linn precinct 5 you might want to call him and say thanks.

126 Jimmi the Grey  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:51:44pm

re: #114 albusteve

I posted about it earlier...nobody cares with the Great Iowa Vote today...LOL, what a farce

Hay! I don't care about it because there will be way too much cloud cover here in my part of Oregon to view it. Iowa got nothin to do wit it!

127 albusteve  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:52:04pm

re: #125 Charles

Ron Paul's official Twitter account is a dick:

like high school, only worse

128 Dancing along the light of day  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:52:30pm

re: #28 SpaceJesus

there are republicans under the age of 30?

Yes, the ones with jobs...

129 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:52:31pm

re: #121 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Jon's not even going to rate "Also-Ran" status at this rate. The man thought he'd get his feet wet this time around, set up his bid for '16. Instead, he's pretty much torpedoed his own chances. *sigh*

Worse yet, when the GOP inevitably nominates Romney and he runs an uninspired campaign that fails to win him the White House, the base will probably insist that their real problem was running a RINO, and nominate a wackjob ala Santorum in '16.

130 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:53:28pm

re: #125 Charles

Ron Paul's official Twitter account is a dick:

Sure that's not Ron Burgundy's Twitter account? Because they sure know how to "stay classy".

131 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:54:16pm

re: #128 Floral Giraffe

staffing the ron paul campaign?

132 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:54:43pm

Boom!

daveweigel daveweigel
So much for the newsletters. Paul wins 40% of moderates, 48% of indies. slate.me/AtGyKm #iacaucus

@Gus_802 Gus
@daveweigel That's because the Republican base agrees with the newsletters.

133 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:55:11pm

re: #129 Atlas Fails

Worse yet, when the GOP inevitably nominates Romney and he runs an uninspired campaign that fails to win him the White House, the base will probably insist that their real problem was running a RINO, and nominate a wackjob ala Santorum in '16.

Indeed. A Romney nomination would inspire the same sort of backlash that Kerry's did in '04, with cries of "Moderates don't win elections, 'true' conservatives do!"

134 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:55:39pm

re: #125 Charles

Ron Paul's official Twitter account is a dick:

...says the guy who's never going to appear on the Republican presidential ticket. Yuck it up for now Luap Nor, but you'll be no less a loser when it's all said and done.

135 ozbloke  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:55:54pm

re: #118 Charleston Chew

Twitter may be the worst thing to ever happen to political horserace wonks. It's their version of the crack epidemic.

Reminds me of when I was a kid I'd stay up late trying to guess what was in my Christmas presents on Christmas Eve and my mom would tell me that if I just went to bed it would be tomorrow and I could just open them.

You were lucky, we couldn't afford presents, well except we did get to play with the boxes my Mum and Dads presents came in.

136 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:55:57pm

Paul in the lead

137 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:56:05pm

A tip you may not know -- if you've linked your LGF account to Twitter (in Account Settings), you can tweet an LGF comment by selecting the text, then typing CTRL-Y. Our Twitter posting form pops up with the selected text in it, ready to tweet.

138 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:56:09pm

re: #133 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Indeed. A Romney nomination would inspire the same sort of backlash that Kerry's did in '04, with cries of "Moderates don't win elections, 'true' conservatives do!"

As opposed to "Oh my god, he's boring. He's so zzzzzz..."

139 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:56:21pm

Santorum 25, Paul 24, Romney 23, Newt 14, Perry 10, Bachmann 7

140 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:56:22pm

re: #129 Atlas Fails

Worse yet, when the GOP inevitably nominates Romney and he runs an uninspired campaign that fails to win him the White House, the base will probably insist that their real problem was running a RINO, and nominate a wackjob ala Santorum in '16.

MONGO THINK MOAR DERP BETTER!

141 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:56:27pm

Independent by the way doesn't always mean moderate. Sorry but I don't know where people got that idea from.

142 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:57:25pm

re: #141 Gus 802

Independent by the way doesn't always mean moderate. Sorry but I don't know where people got that idea from.

Yep. It's often quite the opposite. You tend to see a lot of people to the left and the right of the two parties that are independents.

143 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:57:31pm

re: #139 mracb

Santorum 25, Paul 24, Romney 23, Newt 14, Perry 10, Bachmann 7

Is that a report, or your prediction?

144 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:57:59pm

re: #143 Decatur Deb

From the IA GOP site.

145 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:58:02pm

re: #143 Decatur Deb

report, and now

146 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:58:54pm

CNN gets the percentages a little different than fox

147 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:05pm

re: #145 mracb

report, and now

What % reporting? The NY Times has 6% at the moment.

148 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:26pm

re: #133 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Indeed. A Romney nomination would inspire the same sort of backlash that Kerry's did in '04, with cries of "Moderates don't win elections, 'true' conservatives do!"

Well, I was a little young to know anything about politics in '04, but hindsight being what it is, I'd have probably supported Wes Clark, who was pretty moderate. Then again, the far left still hasn't gotten over Dean. I liked some of his positions and his enthusiasm, but anyone who thinks he'd have had a better showing against Bush than Kerry did is fooling themselves.

149 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:36pm

Paul still up

[Link: iowacaucus.com...]

150 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:52pm

yes 6% on Fox also

151 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:59pm

re: #147 aagcobb

What % reporting? The NY Times has 6% at the moment.

6%=time enough for popcorn.

152 Page 3 in the Binder of Women  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 5:59:59pm

re: #137 Charles

A tip you may not know -- if you've linked your LGF account to Twitter (in Account Settings), you can tweet an LGF comment by selecting the text, then typing CTRL-Y. Our Twitter posting form pops up with the selected text in it, ready to tweet.

And the posts you like! Make em famous.

153 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:00:27pm

re: #138 Simply Sarah

As opposed to "Oh my god, he's boring. He's so zzz..."

Yeah, it'll be thrilled to watch Mitt Romney square off against...Mitt Romney, with the Obama campaign watching on the sideline.

154 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:00:41pm

Ron Paul just deleted that tweet, by the way.

155 Off Colfax  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:00:42pm

Seeing as how Huntsman didn't even try to woo the caucus and has absolutely zero organization, I'd say that 5 votes is pretty damn good.

156 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:00:48pm

re: #152 Stanley Sea

And the posts you like! Make em famous.

Do they allow boob puns on twitter?

157 HappyWarrior  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:00:56pm

re: #148 Atlas Fails

Well, I was a little young to know anything about politics in '04, but hindsight being what it is, I'd have probably supported Wes Clark, who was pretty moderate. Then again, the far left still hasn't gotten over Dean. I liked some of his positions and his enthusiasm, but anyone who thinks he'd have had a better showing against Bush than Kerry did is fooling themselves.

I wasn't big on Dean. Thought he was a one trick pony. He had some good ideas like getting the party involved in all states that was good but as a presidential candidate and even president I wouldn't have been impressed. Would have preferred him over Bush but that's another story.

158 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:01:53pm

re: #129 Atlas Fails

That was Limbaugh's explanation for 2008. It goes like this:

America is majority conservative, and voters overwhelmingly want a conservative president.

Obama is in no way conservative.

But McCain isn't conservative enough.

Therefore, America elected Obama.

Image: Cd0AJ.gif

159 Alexzander  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:02:22pm

re: #154 Charles

Ron Paul just deleted that tweet, by the way.

His campaign did anyway. I'd be surprised if Ron Paul can even use a computer.

160 Page 3 in the Binder of Women  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:02:40pm

re: #156 Decatur Deb

Do they allow boob puns on twitter?

You will find out with your many new followers.

161 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:02:42pm

Since tonight's caucus does not control the actual delegates from Iowa it is little more than a fancy opinion poll, but nevertheless if Romney does end up third that will be a definite sign that the "base" isn't so enthralled with the pre-selected (by the establishment) candidate.

162 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:02:45pm

re: #148 Atlas Fails

Well, I was a little young to know anything about politics in '04, but hindsight being what it is, I'd have probably supported Wes Clark, who was pretty moderate. Then again, the far left still hasn't gotten over Dean. I liked some of his positions and his enthusiasm, but anyone who thinks he'd have had a better showing against Bush than Kerry did is fooling themselves.

Hate to disagree, but to this day, I still think Wes Clark an arrogant ass who is totally unable to admit when he's wrong. The man not only came close to start WWIII, but then went outside the chain of command in an effort to save his sorry ass.

163 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:03:23pm

Romney could be in serious trouble in Iowa... The areas he did best in 2008 aren't really coming through for him in 2012. He's winning the counties, but only just... and Ron Paul appears to be winning about 1/3rd of them. And his weaker areas, the middle of Iowa, look like a wasteland for Romney.

164 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:03:30pm

Gary Johnson just announced that he's endorsing Ron Paul instead of running as a Losertarian.

165 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:03:59pm

re: #158 negativ

That was Limbaugh's explanation for 2008. It goes like this:

America is majority conservative, and voters overwhelmingly want a conservative president.

Obama is in no way conservative.

But McCain isn't conservative enough.

Therefore, America elected Obama.

Image: Cd0AJ.gif

Makes perfect sense, except for the part where that doesn't make sense.

166 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:04:12pm

re: #164 Charles

Gary Johnson just announced that he's endorsing Ron Paul instead of running as a Losertarian.

Heh, which makes a Paul third-party run all the more possible.

167 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:04:14pm

re: #164 Charles

Gary Johnson just announced that he's endorsing Ron Paul instead of running as a Losertarian.

Yuck. I hate that guy. He and Buddy Roemer.

168 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:04:17pm

Fox has Paul back in the lead, followed by Santorum, then Romney.

169 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:05:17pm

re: #164 Charles

Gary Johnson just announced that he's endorsing Ron Paul instead of running as a Losertarian.

That was fast. So much for only doing that if Paul won the nomination.

170 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:05:17pm

re: #164 Charles

Maybe he is banking on a VP spot should Paul win the nomination

171 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:05:18pm

re: #161 freetoken

Since tonight's caucus does not control the actual delegates from Iowa it is little more than a fancy opinion poll, but nevertheless if Romney does end up third that will be a definite sign that the "base" isn't so enthralled with the pre-selected (by the establishment) candidate.

It's more of a way to determine who should drop out than who will win the nomination. Bachmann's toast after tonight.

172 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:05:39pm

re: #168 mracb

The Iowa gop site has them as:
Paul 24%
Romney 24%
Santorum 23%

173 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:06:04pm

re: #162 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Hate to disagree, but to this day, I still think Wes Clark an arrogant ass who is totally unable to admit when he's wrong. The man not only came close to start WWIII, but then went outside the chain of command in an effort to save his sorry ass.

He had his faults, but that's a little harsh. Besides, what was Bush going to do, paint him as a warmonger? Ah well, spilled milk now anyway. Candidates I back in primaries (*cough* Hillary *cough*) seem to have pretty bad luck regardless.

174 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:06:06pm

Paul - Johnson 2012

hahahaha

175 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:06:15pm

re: #171 Charles

It's more of a way to determine who should drop out than who will win the nomination. Bachmann's toast after tonight.

I hope Jesus breaks it to her gently.

176 sagehen  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:07:21pm

Is it too early to go off-topic? I'm half-heartedly following the caucus online, and I've just turned my TV to "Celebrity Wife Swap". I hope it's as big a train wreck as it sounds like (tonight's swappers -- Gary Busey and Ted Haggard. How could it not be hilariouis?)

177 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:07:24pm

re: #171 Charles

No doubt its best use is to tell certain candidates to go packing.

So, shall we assume that after tonight the religious right will coalesce behind Santorum, once Perry and Bachmann join Cain in the dumpster?

178 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:07:42pm

re: #173 Atlas Fails

He had his faults, but that's a little harsh. Besides, what was Bush going to do, paint him as a warmonger? Ah well, spilled milk now anyway. Candidates I back in primaries (*cough* Hillary *cough*) seem to have pretty bad luck regardless.

I'm divided on Hillary, as I think she might have been a better president, more likely to give up the "bipartisan" bit earlier and moving on to hardball. But, at the same time, she's such a polarizing figure that it's likely the GOP would have had an easier time playing her up as the bad guy.

179 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:08:00pm

re: #171 Charles

It's more of a way to determine who should drop out than who will win the nomination. Bachmann's toast after tonight.

For sure, unless she's just intent on hanging on for the sake of hanging on.

If she and, say, Perry, drop out of the race, it will be interesting what happens with Santorum and South Carolina. Would there be a unified evangelical base behind him and would that be enough to put him over the top in the south?

180 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:08:33pm

Rachel Maddow just reported that the Gary Johnson report was a hoax.

Undoubtedly planted by a Paulian. That's how they roll.

181 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:09:17pm

re: #175 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

I hope Jesus breaks it to her gently.

"Oh, that's right. Sorry, Michele. Christmas is my busy season. Totally forgot about you. My bad."

182 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:09:50pm

re: #175 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

I hope Jesus breaks it to her gently.

"Now honey, I'm not saying you can't be president, I'm just saying it's not gonna happen this year."

183 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:10:29pm

TPM

Ron Paul
24.0%

Mitt Romney
23.2%

Rick Santorum
23.0%

184 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:10:38pm

So Ron Paul (Republican-Hamas) has a slight lead.

185 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:10:45pm
186 SanFranciscoZionist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:10:57pm

Paul and Romney are neck and neck. Santorum's fallen slightly back.

Meanwhile, Free For All is comin' round the bend...

187 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:11:04pm

re: #178 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

I'm divided on Hillary, as I think she might have been a better president, more likely to give up the "bipartisan" bit earlier and moving on to hardball. But, at the same time, she's such a polarizing figure that it's likely the GOP would have had an easier time playing her up as the bad guy.

I was never an Obama-hater by any means, Hillary was just my personal preference. The crocodile tears in NH were kind of a turnoff, and Bill's conspiracy-mongering about Obama's birth certificate reeked of desperation and low class, but I felt like I knew what I was getting with her.

188 MittDoesNotCompute  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:11:04pm

re: #137 Charles

A tip you may not know -- if you've linked your LGF account to Twitter (in Account Settings), you can tweet an LGF comment by selecting the text, then typing CTRL-Y. Our Twitter posting form pops up with the selected text in it, ready to tweet.

Damn, that is too freaking cool. You really do spoil us...

189 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:11:32pm

re: #182 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

"Now honey, I'm not saying you can't be president, I'm just saying it's not gonna happen this year."

Jesus sounds mildly sexist, but I guess he is kinda old. Things were different back in his day.

190 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:11:43pm

There are counties in which Romney doesn't even make it (so far) to fourth place.

That's some pretty weak support for the supposed nominee.

191 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:07pm
Ron Paul 24%

I've tuned out this whole Republican Caucus thing lately but if this is even close to accurate it is pretty huge. 3 years ago Ron Paul couldn't draw more than 2-3% in a real world poll. Thanks to Glenn Beck, Tea Party and Fox News.

192 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:20pm

What happens if there is a 3-way tie in this thing? Tractor pull?

193 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:27pm

re: #163 bloodstar

Romney could be in serious trouble in Iowa... The areas he did best in 2008 aren't really coming through for him in 2012. He's winning the counties, but only just... and Ron Paul appears to be winning about 1/3rd of them. And his weaker areas, the middle of Iowa, look like a wasteland for Romney.

He won't finish worse than third in a very tight race. He'll only be in trouble if Paul beats him in NH.

194 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:32pm

Romney unexpectedly doing well.

195 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:34pm

@pareene

Mike Huckabee says these candidates are having trouble connecting to common truck drivers because none of them play the bass

196 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:12:56pm

re: #186 SanFranciscoZionist

Paul and Romney are neck and neck. Santorum's fallen slightly back.

Meanwhile, Free For All is comin' round the bend...

I bet my money on the bob tailed bay

Somebody bet on the gray!

197 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:13:16pm

re: #193 aagcobb

He won't finish worse than third in a very tight race. He'll only be in trouble if Paul beats him in NH.

Well, he might be in trouble in NH ends up actually being close, too. Right now expectations are through the roof there.

198 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:13:21pm

re: #192 SpaceJesus

What happens if there is a 3-way tie in this thing? Tractor pull?

Thunderdome. I hope.

199 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:13:28pm

Who says it's like a horse race...

200 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:13:56pm

re: #191 Killgore Trout

I've tuned out this whole Republican Caucus thing lately but if this is even close to accurate it is pretty huge. 3 years ago Ron Paul couldn't draw more than 2-3% in a real world poll. Thanks to Glenn Beck, Tea Party and Fox News.

Yep, it really is the year of Ron Paul, the crackpot juggernaut of far right libertarianism. His moment in the sun.

201 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:14:20pm

re: #191 Killgore Trout

The mainstreaming of fringe ideas and fringe personalities is a bit scary.

202 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:14:23pm

re: #198 Charleston Chew

Thunderdome. I hope.

Can't we get beyond Thunderdome?

203 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:14:34pm

re: #200 Charles

Yep, it really is the year of Ron Paul, the crackpot juggernaut of far right libertarianism. His moment in the sun.

Hopefully, he'll shrivel up into a prune and disappear afterward.

204 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:14:47pm

@sarahposner
Funny that Huntsman got 0 here since the nice lady who spoke for him made sure to say his wife is Episcopalian and his kids go to Cath schl.

205 Eclectic Infidel  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:14:56pm

you know, i still don't really understand how caucuses work or why they're even important.

206 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:15:19pm

re: #200 Charles

Yep, it really is the year of Ron Paul, the crackpot juggernaut of far right libertarianism. His moment in the sun.

It's really pretty epic. Even if he ends up over 10% it's still a huge advance.

207 EdDantes  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:15:31pm

They're neck and neck, neck and and it's a photo finish or an oil painting!

208 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:15:44pm

Things are pretty tense at Hamas and Hezbollah headquarters tonight as they're hoping for an upset victory for Ron Paul.

209 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:15:50pm

re: #201 freetoken

The mainstreaming of fringe ideas and fringe personalities is a bit scary.

It has worked remarkably well.

210 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:23pm

Iranian Republican Guard has sent it's message of support for Ron Paul as they too await to hear the good news from Iowa.

211 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:26pm

re: #194 Major Tom

Romney unexpectedly doing well.

You realize that Romney got 25% of the vote in 2008?
He may not match his 2008 performance.

212 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:27pm

re: #208 Gus 802

Things are pretty tense at Hamas and Hezbollah headquarters tonight as they're hoping for an upset victory for Ron Paul.

Aqua Buddha Ackbar!

213 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:30pm

re: #202 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Can't we get beyond Thunderdome?

All Blaster, no Master, does not bode well for Bartertown.

214 SanFranciscoZionist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:35pm

re: #189 Charleston Chew

Jesus sounds mildly sexist, but I guess he is kinda old. Things were different back in his day.

He's also, well, her Lord and Savior, which I think entitles him to talk as though he were her grandpa.

Maybe he does the grandpa routine to prevent impressionable young women from throwing themselves at him.

215 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:35pm

re: #209 Killgore Trout

It has worked remarkably well

... to make Rupert Murdoch, Glenn Beck, and gold hucksters lots and lots of money.

216 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:16:52pm

re: #212 Killgore Trout

Aqua Buddha Ackbar!

Blowback!

911 was an inside job!

217 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:17:45pm

re: #215 freetoken

... to make Rupert Murdoch, Glenn Beck, and gold hucksters lots and lots of money.

Let's not ignore the future earnings from Obama's second term.
Win!

218 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:17:56pm

re: #212 Killgore Trout

Aqua Buddha Ackbar!

I prefer Aqua Velva

219 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:18:27pm

re: #207 EdDantes

They're neck and neck, neck and and it's a photo finish or an oil painting!

... and Beetlebaum

220 Page 3 in the Binder of Women  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:18:38pm

Any one brave enough to take in the Palin/Trump/Cain analysis on Fox?

221 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:19:15pm

With 16% of precincts reporting in, I can now project that Buddy Roemer will not win the Iowa Caucus. I repeat, Simply Sarah is projecting that Buddy Roemer will not win the Iowa Caucus.

222 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:19:52pm

re: #220 Stanley Sea

Any one brave enough to take in the Palin/Trump/Cain analysis on Fox?

The turducken of punditry.

223 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:20:10pm

re: #220 Stanley Sea

Any one brave enough to take in the Palin/Trump/Cain analysis on Fox?

I'm allergic to bullshit. Just 10 seconds of exposure to that could put me into anaphylactic shock.

224 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:20:59pm

re: #220 Stanley Sea

Any one brave enough to take in the Palin/Trump/Cain analysis on Fox?

"This Nearly Was Mine".

225 Off Colfax  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:21:23pm

re: #220 Stanley Sea

Any one brave enough to take in the Palin/Trump/Cain analysis on Fox?

They're praising Romney for his ground game and determination with Trippi and Rove as the designated bobbleheads.

226 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:23:47pm

I think I might actually be beating Huntsman in Iowa right now

227 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:24:04pm

re: #226 SpaceJesus

I think I might actually be beating Huntsman in Iowa right now

with a stick or a whip?

228 jamesfirecat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:24:11pm

re: #165 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

Makes perfect sense, except for the part where that doesn't make sense.

What can I say?

229 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:24:43pm

The more than $4 million Perry dropped in Iowa has bought him less than 10% so far, and local gal isn't even drawing 6%. Couldn't happen to a nicer couple.

230 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:25:16pm

re: #229 aagcobb

The more than $4 million Perry dropped in Iowa has bought him less than 10% so far, and local gal isn't even drawing 6%. Couldn't happen to a nicer couple.

So, bets on who throws in the towel first?

231 Romantic Heretic  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:25:31pm

From the NYT page.

His business experience seems to have helped Mr. Romney attract voters concerned about the economy. Among voters who said the economy was the issue that mattered most in deciding whom to support, a plurality, about three in ten said they would support Mr. Romney. He also garnered over a third of caucus goers, a plurality, who said that working in business better prepares a candidate to serve effectively as president.

Um, are we talking about the same people that crashed the banks? Invented asset backed commercial papers? Derivatives? Who leant money to pretty much any one who wanted a house no matter how bad their credit history sucked?

I want some of what these people are smoking.

232 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:25:45pm

Fox News has a live stream at [Link: live.foxnews.com...]

I enjoy watching Fox News when it's a story that I don't care if they lie about. Savored watching them call the 2008 election for Obama like they were Cronkite in that famous clip of him announcing the death of JFK.

233 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:25:59pm

re: #230 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

So, bets on who throws in the towel first?

Bachmann. Perry will probably stay in at least through S.C.

234 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:26:11pm

re: #231 Romantic Heretic

From the NYT page.

Um, are we talking about the same people that crashed the banks? Invented asset backed commercial papers? Derivatives? Who leant money to pretty much any one who wanted a house no matter how bad their credit history sucked?

I want some of what these people are smoking.

If it's making them support Mitt, you might want to rethink that.

235 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:26:24pm

WaPo tweet:

Unchanged from 2008 #iacaucus: 99% white

Not exactly representative of the nation as a whole.

236 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:26:54pm

What I want to know is ,, who is "Other"

Other

0.1%

12
votes

I mean ,, thats more than Cain and Roemer have combined ,,, but who is that masked man/woman!?!?!

237 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:26:59pm

If Ron Paul wins tonight, Iowa evangelicals will have voted to make pot legal.

238 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:27:01pm

So I spilled coffee into my reasonably-new laptop about three years ago. Conked out the optical drive, which the computer wanted to see to boot, so I physically removed the drive. Who needs optical anymore, anyway? Soon forgot about it.

Three years later, about time to sell it off to the next guy. Who wants an optical drive (!?). I guess advertising-folks still pass stuff around on CD. Grab the drive off the shelf, stick it in, and what do you know. The damned thing actually works.

Never throw away ostensibly water-ruined electronics!

239 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:27:39pm

re: #237 Charles

If Ron Paul wins tonight, Iowa evangelicals will have voted to make pot legal.

They might be happy though because Ron Paul could very easily bring about the destruction of Israel.

240 Robert O.  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:27:52pm

I do recall predicting (about two weeks ago) L. Ron Paul may just squeak Iowa because of all the worshippers he has at the Church of Aynrandology. Well...I could be right. It looks like a tight race between Romney, Paul and Santorum. I did NOT see the last one coming (I had Gingrich's name instead of Santorum). Then again, the crazy wing has run out of candidates to turn to (the Gingrich collapse happened sooner than two-month-candidates Perry and Cain), so I guess Santorum is the "default" option for crazies who don't want Ron Paul.

241 Eclectic Infidel  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:27:54pm

The first video at [Link: caucuses.desmoinesregister.com...] is a real winner.

242 Off Colfax  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:28:40pm

re: #230 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

I am. I've got a roast to carve, NCIS to watch, and an Imperial to take to Solitude and the Bard's College.

243 Big Joe  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:28:45pm

3 way tie for first now, 24% each.

244 Romantic Heretic  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:28:46pm

From the NYT page

AMES, Iowa -- Aaron Hintz, 32, stood up and raised his fist in the air in triumph, as he heard the announcement that Ron Paul won the precinct here, beating Mitt Romney.

"Eventually other people will come around to Ron Paul," he said, smiling as people got up to leave. "He's not someone you can learn about in five minutes."

No, you can learn about him in three.

245 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:29:15pm

re: #238 erik_t

So I spilled coffee into my reasonably-new laptop about three years ago. Conked out the optical drive, which the computer wanted to see to boot, so I physically removed the drive. Who needs optical anymore, anyway? Soon forgot about it.

Three years later, about time to sell it off to the next guy. Who wants an optical drive (!?). I guess advertising-folks still pass stuff around on CD. Grab the drive off the shelf, stick it in, and what do you know. The damned thing actually works.

Never throw away ostensibly water-ruined electronics!

Laptop optical drives work in mysterious ways. Mine likes to pop open randomly.

246 Kronocide  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:29:37pm

re: #237 Charles

If Ron Paul wins tonight, Iowa evangelicals will have voted to make pot legal.

Stealing.

247 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:29:45pm

re: #242 Off Colfax

I am. I've got a roast to carve, NCIS to watch, and an Imperial to take to Solitude and the Bard's College.

Any arrows to the knee yet?

248 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:29:59pm

re: #239 Gus 802

Even if Paul gets the nom, he will not win the general. He will however, probably implode the GOP, which is the best thing that could ever possibly happen.

249 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:30:32pm

re: #244 Romantic Heretic

Ames is a college town (ISU).

And, the other big college town (UofI), Iowa City, likewise has a strong Paul contingent.

250 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:30:43pm

I'm impressed by the fact that by the time we got here, every big name candidate except for Huntsman had a period of being on top, even if it was only for a week. I admit to not having expected Santorum, but I suppose everyone needed a chance. I mean, that's how the GOP works, right? All rich white guys need a chance to succeed.

251 SanFranciscoZionist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:30:59pm

re: #239 Gus 802

They might be happy though because Ron Paul could very easily bring about the destruction of Israel.

Better men than Ron Paul have tried and failed.

252 Major Tom  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:31:06pm

re: #237 Charles

If Paul wins tonight, the evangelicals will formally split from the libertarians.

253 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:32:00pm

re: #250 Simply Sarah

All rich white guys need a chance to succeed.

I'm not sure Santorum is really "rich". The closest he's probably been to real money is when he represented Vince McMahon in the latter's steroid trial.

254 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:32:25pm

re: #248 SpaceJesus

Even if Paul gets the nom, he will not win the general. He will however, probably implode the GOP, which is the best thing that could ever possibly happen.

As Barney Frank said about Gingrich, I haven't lived a good enough life to be rewarded with luap nor as the GOP nominee.

255 recusancy  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:32:45pm

re: #192 SpaceJesus

What happens if there is a 3-way tie in this thing? Tractor pull?

Fried butter eating contest. Side of Santorum optional.

256 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:02pm

re: #248 SpaceJesus

Even if Paul gets the nom, he will not win the general. He will however, probably implode the GOP, which is the best thing that could ever possibly happen.

I disagree. We need two strong political parties for our system to work. Sadly, it seems just a matter of time before the GOP has to completely retool itself like the Democrats after back-to-back debacles (Mondale and Dukakis) or face going the way of the Whigs.

257 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:13pm

Romney, Santorum, and Paul are all tied at 23%.

258 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:28pm

At the DSM Register site (which has switched me to a blog type site of theirs from the map), all the adverts are from the Obama campaign.

Hehe.

259 Wozza Matter?  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:37pm

Luap Nor has 21% of Evangelical Support according to MSNBC entrance poll.

260 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:43pm

re: #253 freetoken

I'm not sure Santorum is really "rich". The closest he's probably been to real money is when he represented Vince McMahon in the latter's steroid trial.

Relatively speaking, I'm sure he's rather well off.

261 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:43pm

@captain_beef
It's redneck and redneck

262 SanFranciscoZionist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:45pm

26% reporting, and Mitt is back in the lead, with Lady's Fancy right behind him.

263 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:33:59pm

Wow. 24% reporting, and Santorum has a 7 vote lead over Paul.

264 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:34:29pm

Romney ahead.

265 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:34:39pm

re: #256 Atlas Fails

But we need the social conservatives isolated in order to make and preserve social progress.

266 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:35:03pm

That changed fast. Other is now ahead of Huntsman.

267 MittDoesNotCompute  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:35:10pm

re: #252 Major Tom

If Paul wins tonight, the evangelicals will formally split from the libertarians.

I seriously doubt it, because there's more overlap between those two groups right now than you might think.

268 albusteve  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:35:22pm

kinda like NASCAR...what lap is it?

269 Charleston Chew  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:35:25pm

re: #256 Atlas Fails

I disagree. We need two strong political parties for our system to work. Sadly, it seems just a matter of time before the GOP has to completely retool itself like the Democrats after back-to-back debacles (Mondale and Dukakis) or face going the way of the Whigs.

I'd add McGovern and Carter to that list. Carter didn't win '76; "Not Nixon" won that year.

270 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:35:45pm

re: #262 SanFranciscoZionist

26% reporting, and Mitt is back in the lead, with Lady's Fancy right behind him.

I like Lady Fancys Behind!

271 engineer cat  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:36:13pm

re: #243 mracb

3 way tie for first now, 24% each.

the romney particle and one anti-romney particle annihilate each other and we're left with an anti-romney particle spinning wildly out of control

272 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:36:41pm

re: #267 talon_262

I seriously doubt it, because there's more overlap between those two groups right now than you might think.

The Paleo-Libertarian wing Which has migrated to the Republican party, yes. but not the Non Republican Libertarians. They never joined up

273 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:36:59pm

Pat Buchanan got 23% in 1996.

274 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:37:00pm

re: #268 albusteve

kinda like NASCAR...what lap is it?

If this was a "500", we'd be just over 125 miles into it

275 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:37:53pm

re: #264 Gus 802

Romney ahead.

Dallas and Linn Counties are coming in... Both are Romney strongholds.

276 Robert O.  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:38:23pm

Strategically speaking, though, isn't this one of the best results Democrats can hope for? i.e., An inconclusive opening to the Republican primary season paving the way for a long campaign, in which candidates have pummeled each other to death before the General election, everyone has wasted their campaign money, and voters are tired of hearing about these deeply flawed candidates? Not that I think Obama needs any help to defeat the GOP in November, but anything helps, especially if Obama gets longer coattails and help keep the Senate Democratic, and potentially overturn the House as well.

277 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:38:36pm

Legal pot but illegal abortions? Tough choice but I've smoked more pot than I've had abortions.
Ron Paul!

278 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:38:40pm

re: #275 bloodstar

Dallas and Linn Counties are coming in... Both are Romney strongholds.

That should help Perry ,, no !?!?!

//

279 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:38:51pm

Political Porn 2012! Whoo-hoo! 23-23-23...I'll bet Herman Cain wishes he thought that up!

280 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:39:35pm

re: #264 Gus 802

Romney a head.

fixed

281 The Ghost of a Flea  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:39:37pm

re: #270 sattv4u2

I like Lady Fancys Behind!

If you're going to put a horse in high office, you might as well pick one with Senatorial experience.

Incatatus 2012

282 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:40:20pm

re: #280 darthstar

fixed

When will this be over because I really have to masturbate.

//

283 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:40:29pm

re: #276 Robert O.

Strategically speaking, though, isn't this one of the best results Democrats can hope for? i.e., An inconclusive opening to the Republican primary season paving the way for a long campaign, in which candidates have pummeled each other to death before the General election, everyone has wasted their campaign money, and voters are tired of hearing about these deeply flawed candidates? Not that I think Obama needs any help to defeat the GOP in November, but anything helps, especially if Obama gets longer coattails and help keep the Senate Democratic, and potentially overturn the House as well.

No, because the only candidate in the race who could go the distance with Romney was Perry, and he just curled up and died. Santorum shot his wad in Iowa, and Paul can't win the nomination.

284 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:40:41pm

re: #279 darthstar

23-23-23...I'll bet Herman Cain wishes he thought that up!

23... that's a lot of women, even for the self-declared stud.

285 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:40:59pm

re: #281 The Ghost of a Flea

If you're going to put a horse in high office, you might as well pick one with Senatorial experience.

Incatatus 2012

Pencil.

286 Eclectic Infidel  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:41:13pm

Is there another place to check other than the Des Moines Register? The site is freezing and still shows Paul in the lead.

287 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:41:40pm

re: #286 eclectic infidel

The Iowa GOP:

[Link: www.iowagop.org...]

288 SanFranciscoZionist  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:41:55pm

re: #282 Gus 802

When will this be over because I really have to masturbate.

//

And you can't do it while Iowa hangs in the balance?

289 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:41:57pm

re: #286 eclectic infidel

Is there another place to check other than the Des Moines Register? The site is freezing and still shows Paul in the lead.

[Link: www.cnn.com...]

290 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:42:10pm

No Preference has just pulled ahead of Other

Go,,,,, Ambivalence!

291 sagehen  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:42:13pm

re: #276 Robert O.

Strategically speaking, though, isn't this one of the best results Democrats can hope for? i.e., An inconclusive opening to the Republican primary season paving the way for a long campaign, in which candidates have pummeled each other to death before the General election, everyone has wasted their campaign money, and voters are tired of hearing about these deeply flawed candidates? Not that I think Obama needs any help to defeat the GOP in November, but anything helps, especially if Obama gets longer coattails and help keep the Senate Democratic, and potentially overturn the House as well.

With a nationally televised debate every week -- the oppo research writes itself.

292 BishopX  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:42:27pm

re: #276 Robert O.

I'm not so sure about this anymore. Look at 2008, the Obama/Clinton knock down drag out fight effectivly starved the McCain campaign of oxygen for more than a quarter. No one paid attention to the sure race. If Obama can keep his name in the news (positively) throught the primary season he's okay, if all anyone hears about is the primary there might be trouble.

293 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:42:49pm

Even the Iowa GOP site is starting to choke.

What ever happened to all that excess bandwidth?

294 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:42:50pm

Romney made a huge mistake by predicting he'd win Iowa. Top three, yes, that'd be confident without sounding arrogant. Iowa is never going to be his home turf, and there was no real evidence that he had a convincing lead, just a few polls that were taken that showed him a few percentage points ahead.

If he doesn't win, Paul, Santorum and Gingrich will all spin it as evidence that Romney is weak, Then all bets are off. Because it will be effectively a 4 way race.

295 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:43:28pm

re: #282 Gus 802

When will this be over because I really have to masturbate.

//

Procrastibator!

296 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:43:31pm

I'm using politico.com and cnn.com for my updates. They're both holding up fairly well so far.

297 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:05pm

re: #295 Slumbering Behemoth

Procrastibator!

See. I knew you'd swing by after I made that comment. It's like a Bat-Signal.

//

298 Interesting Times  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:22pm

re: #282 Gus 802

When will this be over because I really have to masturbate.

I didn't realize a Paul/Santorum/Romney three-way could be so...inspiring *_*

299 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:29pm

re: #294 bloodstar

I'm afraid that's wishful thinking.

300 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:39pm

re: #282 Gus 802

When will this be over because I really have to masturbate.

//

here's some inspiration!
Image: Rosie+Khalid.jpg

301 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:56pm

re: #297 Gus 802

"Dick Joke-dar". I has it.

302 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:58pm

re: #298 publicityStunted

I didn't realize a Paul/Santorum/Romney three-way could be so...inspiring *_*

I'm going to steal part of that! ;)

303 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:44:59pm

re: #288 SanFranciscoZionist

And you can't do it while Iowa hangs in the balance?

Have you seen Iowa?!

/

304 Atlas Fails  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:45:07pm

re: #294 bloodstar

Romney made a huge mistake by predicting he'd win Iowa. Top three, yes, that'd be confident without sounding arrogant. Iowa is never going to be his home turf, and there was no real evidence that he had a convincing lead, just a few polls that were taken that showed him a few percentage points ahead.

If he doesn't win, Paul, Santorum and Gingrich will all spin it as evidence that Romney is weak, Then all bets are off. Because it will be effectively a 4 way race.

Unfortunately, I don't think I've lived a good enough life to see any of those three as the GOP nominee.

305 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:46:17pm

re: #300 sattv4u2

here's some inspiration!
Image: Rosie+Khalid.jpg

Your Mandy cannot be loaded.

306 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:46:48pm

re: #301 Slumbering Behemoth

"Dick Joke-dar". I has it.

It's like Gaydar, except instead of detecting gays, I can detect distant set ups for dick jokes.

307 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:01pm

The Des Moines Register site clearly is choking under the pressure. Lots of attention being paid to this circus. I guess this is what modern people do when they are bored.

308 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:10pm

re: #305 darthstar

Your Mandy cannot be loaded.

LOL

yeah ,, but now everyone knows what it was!!

309 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:29pm

re: #277 Killgore Trout

Legal pot but illegal abortions? Tough choice but I've smoked more pot than I've had abortions.
Ron Paul!

Well sure until all of that pot smoking leads to somebody getting pregnant.

310 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:34pm

re: #306 Slumbering Behemoth

It's like Gaydar, except instead of detecting gays, I can detect distant set ups for dick jokes.

Seems a little short on utility. It must be hard to use.

311 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:45pm

At the NY Times, Nate Silver says this is a good result for Huntsman, because it gives bandwidth for speculation that he might get his turn to surge in NH. Huntsman is getting 0.6% of the vote in Iowa.

312 sattv4u2  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:51pm

re: #307 freetoken

The Des Moines Register site clearly is choking under the pressure. Lots of attention being paid to this circus. I guess this is what modern people do when they are bored.

It has a distribution of dozens. What did you expect?

313 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:47:57pm

re: #299 aagcobb

I'm afraid that's wishful thinking.

I'm curious why you think it's wishful thinking?

Look, about 2/3rds of the Republican party does not like Romney. They tolerate him, but if they even get a whiff that he's not the inevitable nominee, they're not going to unify behind him.

What part of my suppositions do you disagree with?

314 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:48:46pm

re: #311 aagcobb

At the NY Times, Nate Silver says this is a good result for Huntsman, because it gives bandwidth for speculation that he might get his turn to surge in NH. Huntsman is getting 0.6% of the vote in Iowa.

I think that's an unfair mischaracterization; Silver is saying that this result is essentially required for Huntsman's camel-through-eye-of-needle path to the nomination. In this I think he is correct.

315 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:49:16pm

re: #310 erik_t

Seems a little short on utility. It must be hard to use.

Some people get x-ray vision, some people get super speed, but that's what I got. I admit, it's a pretty lame super power, but ya work with what ya got.

316 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:50:12pm

re: #313 bloodstar

I'm curious why you think it's wishful thinking?

Look, about 2/3rds of the Republican party does not like Romney. They tolerate him, but if they even get a whiff that he's not the inevitable nominee, they're not going to unify behind him.

What part of my suppositions do you disagree with?

Perry was the only candidate with the money and organization to go toe to toe with Romney nationally, and he's been crushed. Gingrich can't spin finishing behind Paul and Santorum as good, and he's going to finish behind Paul again in NH. Romney has this thing locked down, thanks to Paul.

317 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:50:15pm

re: #315 Slumbering Behemoth

Some people get x-ray vision, some people get super speed, but that's what I got. I admit, it's a pretty lame super power, but ya work with what ya got.

You seem to have missed the thrust of my argument. Shall I try a different approach?

318 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:50:31pm

re: #312 sattv4u2

It has a distribution of dozens. What did you expect?

It's actually one of the better established newspapers in the region, award winner and all of that. But, they clearly weren't expecting the onslaught of online interest. The old media still struggles with the new technologies.

319 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:50:38pm

re: #311 aagcobb

At the NY Times, Nate Silver says this is a good result for Huntsman, because it gives bandwidth for speculation that he might get his turn to surge in NH. Huntsman is getting 0.6% of the vote in Iowa.

Huntsman is far too sane to have a surge in this election.

320 Dark_Falcon  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:50:48pm

re: #304 Atlas Fails

Unfortunately, I don't think I've lived a good enough life to see either of those three as the GOP nominee.

Right now Gingrich is more than 9% behind Romney, and Luap Nor is only 2% ahead. So Romney's right in this thing, and Newt isn't. Have faith.

321 MittDoesNotCompute  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:51:07pm

re: #317 erik_t

You seem to have missed the thrust of my argument. Shall I try a different approach?

Just be careful with it, lest you get, uh, blocked...

322 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:51:15pm

re: #317 erik_t

You seem to have missed the thrust of my argument. Shall I try a different approach?

By all means. The more dick jokes the merrier.

Ooh, another one just came to me... Ron Paul.

323 Robert O.  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:51:25pm

re: #292 BishopX

I'm not so sure about this anymore. Look at 2008, the Obama/Clinton knock down drag out fight effectivly starved the McCain campaign of oxygen for more than a quarter. No one paid attention to the sure race. If Obama can keep his name in the news (positively) throught the primary season he's okay, if all anyone hears about is the primary there might be trouble.

Good points. I think 2008 was unique though. In McCain, the GOP happened to stumble onto their most electable candidate who kept pace with Obama until voters found out about Palin's inadequacies, and the economic disaster sealed his fate. Also, the Democratic primary was not that bloody. Obama was never fatally flawed. All Clinton found was some Jeremiah Wright videos, but it was clear Obama had nothing to do with his sermons, unlike Ron Paul's newsletters under his name. The flaws with Republicans - like Romney's serial flip-flopping - are far more damaging than any flaw Obama had. So I still think the longer Republicans have to go ultra-negative, bludgeon each other, the better it is for Obama.

324 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:51:31pm

re: #292 BishopX

I'm not so sure about this anymore. Look at 2008, the Obama/Clinton knock down drag out fight effectivly starved the McCain campaign of oxygen for more than a quarter. No one paid attention to the sure race. If Obama can keep his name in the news (positively) throught the primary season he's okay, if all anyone hears about is the primary there might be trouble.

The Obama/Clinton fight wasn't a clown show like the GOP race has been. The protracted Democratic primary was beneficial because both candidates were serious, well liked and almost equally electable. Whoever won would have been stronger in the general because they stared off strong. All of the GOP candidates are ridiculous in some way. The more you see the more you don't like what you see.

325 Kragar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:51:57pm

Mitt Romney
23.4%
7,844 Votes

Rick Santorum
23.0%
7,726 Votes

Ron Paul
22.8%
7,655 Votes

326 Killgore Trout  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:52:06pm

Stop the Zionist brain rays!
Image: 610x.jpg

327 MittDoesNotCompute  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:52:11pm

re: #319 Charles

Huntsman is far too sane to have a surge in this election.

And, even then, Huntsman is as much of a cynical panderer as Mitt is.

328 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:52:34pm

re: #314 erik_t

I think that's an unfair mischaracterization; Silver is saying that this result is essentially required for Huntsman's camel-through-eye-of-needle path to the nomination. In this I think he is correct.

I was more noting the irony of it. Huntsman did write off Iowa, and the ambiguity of this result does give him his only, very slight, hope of getting in this race.

329 Decatur Deb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:52:38pm

re: #319 Charles

Huntsman is far too sane to have a surge in this election.

A few days ago, 6 of the Memorandum headlines simultaneously contained the words "Santorum" and "Surge".

330 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:53:14pm

re: #325 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)

Mitt Romney
23.4%
7,844 Votes

Rick Santorum
23.0%
7,726 Votes

Ron Paul
22.8%
7,655 Votes

Looks like it's gonna end up being a squeaker for whoever does win.

331 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:53:54pm

re: #328 aagcobb

Fair enough. I can be doubleplus ungood with the wordusing thinkorganing.

332 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:54:14pm

re: #316 aagcobb

Perry was the only candidate with the money and organization to go toe to toe with Romney nationally, and he's been crushed. Gingrich can't spin finishing behind Paul and Santorum as good, and he's going to finish behind Paul again in NH. Romney has this thing locked down, thanks to Paul.

Ron Paul is crazy enough not to quit until the last primary. If Romney has to keep debating him it will be hilarious.

333 Slumbering Behemoth Stinks  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:55:16pm

re: #326 Killgore Trout

Somebody reboot Paulbot. That smart ass little eight year old hit him with a logic bomb.

334 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:55:19pm

re: #332 moderatelyradicalliberal

Ron Paul is crazy enough not to quit until the last primary. If Romney has to keep debating him it will be hilarious.

I want to see Paul take it to the convention!

335 Our Precious Bodily Fluids  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:55:34pm

This show is a lot different than it was when I used to watch it with my grandmother way back when...

336 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:55:44pm

Let's hear it for anti-science and creationism!

337 I Am Kreniigh!  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:55:55pm

Finally, a
Winner!

338 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:56:09pm

re: #332 moderatelyradicalliberal

Ron Paul is crazy enough not to quit until the last primary. If Romney has to keep debating him it will be hilarious.

Paul is not quitting. His organization is going to win him delegates in caucus states, and I believe he is going to come in 2d in NH. He is the anti-Romney.

339 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:56:12pm

CNN loses the feed at Ron Paul headquarters immediately after the soldier being interviewed mentions Israel

340 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:57:34pm

MSNBC blog:

[Link: firstread.msnbc.msn.com...]

1) Young voters and independents: If Paul wins, he can thank younger voters. He is winning 52% of caucus-goers ages 17 to 29, who make up 15% of all GOP participants -- up from 11% four years ago. Second, he can thank independents -- almost half of whom are backing Paul. And third, he's getting nearly 40% support from first-time caucus-goers.

2) Electability and the economy: If Romney wins, according to the entrance polls, it will be due in large part to electability. A plurality of participants -- 30% -- say the quality that matters most to them is the ability to beat President Obama, and Romney gets 48% from that group. On the other hand, Romney gets just 1% from the 26% who are looking for a true conservative, and he gets just 10% from those looking for a nominee with a strong moral character.

The economy also is benefiting Romney -- with four in 10 saying it's the issue that matters the most to them, and he wins 31% from that group.

3) Evangelicals: If Santorum wins, it will be due to strength among evangelical caucus-goers who rallied around him. Nearly six in 10 say they are evangelical or born-again Christians, and Santorum is getting 30% of that vote -- compared with 21% for Paul, 14% for Newt Gingrich, and 13% for both Rick Perry and Romney.

And among the 47% who describe themselves as "very conservative," Santorum is getting 33% -- versus 18% for Paul, Gingrich at 14%, and Perry and Romney at 13%.

Paul brings 'em in the door, which any promoter will tell you is what matters.

341 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:57:44pm

The more the field gets whittled down, the more extreme the craziness is going to become. Especially with Paul sticking in til the end, gaining "relevance" as the rest of the field falls off. Look for a good-sized schism at or after the convention.

342 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:57:51pm

re: #339 SpaceJesus

CNN loses the feed at Ron Paul headquarters immediately after the soldier being interviewed mentions Israel

Really?

343 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:57:53pm

Just a theory,

If Frothy comes in a strong second after being a virtual non-entity wouldn't that result in evangelicals uniting behind him? Their split votes combined is a lot more than Romney's 25%. If he stays in and Paul keeps going couldn't this thing be roughly split three ways until Super Tuesday?

344 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:58:05pm

Like it or not, Ron Paul is the Republican party's number one salesman for new adherents.

345 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:58:36pm

re: #321 talon_262

Just be careful with it, lest you get, uh, blocked...

Almost fifteen minutes, and... nothing. These people can be impossible to please.

346 SpaceJesus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:58:44pm

re: #342 Gus 802

yup

347 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:59:15pm

re: #343 moderatelyradicalliberal

That's what I asked earlier. I assume every one will expect the religious right to champion Santorum as their adjutant Savior.

348 MittDoesNotCompute  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:59:18pm

re: #345 erik_t

Almost fifteen minutes, and... nothing. These people can be impossible to please.

Maybe they just need some posts ribbed for their pleasure.

349 Linden Arden  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:59:30pm

re: #339 SpaceJesus

CNN loses the feed at Ron Paul headquarters immediately after the soldier being interviewed mentions Israel

I saw that. The soldier had a Twin Towers tattoo on his neck.

Some cosmic force knocked out the feed.

350 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:59:40pm

re: #334 Simply Sarah

I want to see Paul take it to the convention!

The only reason Paul won't make an independent run after the convention is that it would hurt his son's standing in the party.

351 Dark_Falcon  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 6:59:43pm

re: #313 bloodstar

I'm curious why you think it's wishful thinking?

Look, about 2/3rds of the Republican party does not like Romney. They tolerate him, but if they even get a whiff that he's not the inevitable nominee, they're not going to unify behind him.

What part of my suppositions do you disagree with?

They don't need to rally around him in January, they need to rally around him in April when he locks things up. Better the party not unify right away. since a couple months of primary contests will let people have their say and allow Romney to be seen as the clear winner.

352 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:00:01pm

re: #316 aagcobb

Perry was the only candidate with the money and organization to go toe to toe with Romney nationally, and he's been crushed. Gingrich can't spin finishing behind Paul and Santorum as good, and he's going to finish behind Paul again in NH. Romney has this thing locked down, thanks to Paul.

I can't disagree with most of your logic, but remember, there's several months go get a ground game going. And while Romney has unlimited money (both personally and from super PACs), you can spend all the money in the world and if someone doesn't personally like you, they're still going to not like you and the more Romney seems to talk, the less he's liked.

Don't get me wrong, Romney is going to win New Hampshire, but I don't think he can win South Caroline if he doesn't win Iowa.

If Romney doesn't win here, I'm still sticking to my broke(red) convention.

353 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:00:51pm

re: #343 moderatelyradicalliberal

Just a theory,

If Frothy comes in a strong second after being a virtual non-entity wouldn't that result in evangelicals uniting behind him? Their split votes combined is a lot more than Romney's 25%. If he stays in and Paul keeps going couldn't this thing be roughly split three ways until Super Tuesday?

Santorum has no organization outside Iowa and no money. Romney's superpac will crush him.

354 WINDUPBIRD DISEASE [S.K.U.M.M.]  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:01:35pm

re: #344 freetoken

Like it or not, Ron Paul is the Republican party's number one salesman for new adherents.

Republicans just get better and better, at this rate they'll be playing in their own waste to get votes next cycle


Who will climb to the top of Iowa's shit mountain?!?! Will it be the sweatshop-defending fetus-wielding psycho? Will it be the soul-less oligarch? Or will it be the rumplestiltskin white supremacist?

355 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:01:50pm

Bah, they need to hurry up and report in results. I'm getting bored here.

356 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:01:51pm

Western and southern Iowa pausing for a little nap.

357 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:02:46pm

re: #352 bloodstar

I can't disagree with most of your logic, but remember, there's several months go get a ground game going. And while Romney has unlimited money (both personally and from super PACs), you can spend all the money in the world and if someone doesn't personally like you, they're still going to not like you and the more Romney seems to talk, the less he's liked.

Don't get me wrong, Romney is going to win New Hampshire, but I don't think he can win South Caroline if he doesn't win Iowa.

If Romney doesn't win here, I'm still sticking to my broke(red) convention.

But polling shows that most Republicans like Romney, and will accept his nomination. Its just the activists who loathe him.

358 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:03:09pm

re: #355 Simply Sarah

Bah, they need to hurry up and report in results. I'm getting bored here.

And there we go! And it's still a three-headed race.

359 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:03:39pm

re: #347 freetoken

That's what I asked earlier. I assume every one will expect the religious right to champion Santorum as their adjutant Savior.

Yeah, I'm not saying Romney won't get the nomination because the big money boys will make sure that he does, but if a real evangelical stays in the race along with Paul, that may make Romney's coronation a lot more difficult and keep the GOP crazy from disappearing in a timely manner before the general election.

360 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:04:24pm

re: #356 jaunte

Western and southern Iowa pausing for a little nap.

There's a line of Buicks on the highway.

//

361 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:05:38pm

re: #320 Dark_Falcon

Right now Gingrich is more than 9% behind Romney, and Luap Nor is only 2% ahead. So Romney's right in this thing, and Newt isn't. Have faith.

I have faith...some asshole will win, and 40% of America will support him without thinking no matter how crazy he is.

362 Dark_Falcon  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:05:53pm

re: #350 moderatelyradicalliberal

The only reason Paul won't make an independent run after the convention is that it would hurt his son's standing in the party.

That I agree with. Rand Paul is to Ron Paul as mitt Romney is to his own (since deceased) father. In both cases the son is not the original that the father is/was and is much more of a careerist within the party. Rand Paul could not survive as a Senator without a party and the GOP would force him to politically disown his father if Ron ran as a 3rd party candidate and would cast him out if he refused.

363 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:05:55pm

Oh well, this has gotten boring. Back to SG-1.

364 Stormageddon, Dark Lord of All  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:06:33pm

re: #357 aagcobb

But polling shows that most Republicans like Romney, and will accept his nomination. Its just the activists who loathe him.

citation? and as I said, the more Republicans get to see Romney, the less they like him. And that's a serious issue.

I'm looking at Iowa 2008, Romney had 25.12%. Currently, Romney is still south of 24%. So he's underperforming from 2008. That's not exactly liking him?

365 erik_t  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:06:34pm

re: #362 Dark_Falcon

That I agree with. Rand Paul is to Ron Paul as mitt Romney is to his own (since deceased) father. In both cases the son is not the original that the father is/was and is much more of a careerist within the party. Rand Paul could not survive as a Senator without a party and the GOP would force him to politically disown his father if Ron ran as a 3rd party candidate and would cast him out if he refused.

You're assuming that Rand wouldn't be quite willing to do just that.

366 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:07:04pm

Boom! Santorum is in the lead.

367 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:07:12pm

re: #350 moderatelyradicalliberal

The only reason Paul won't make an independent run after the convention is that it would hurt his son's standing in the party.

That's assuming Ron Paul gives a fuck about his son...Rand's a raving lunatic...Who knows...Ron Paul may not like him any more than we do.

368 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:07:27pm

Santorum rising. Gorge also.

369 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:07:45pm

re: #368 jaunte

Santorum rising. Gorge also.

Foaming ahead.

370 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:08:03pm

If Ron Paul is a true libertarian, he won't hesitate to destroy his own son if necessary.

371 HappyWarrior  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:08:07pm

I can't believe Santorum is winning.

372 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:08:20pm

Fox expert Palin says Bachmann should drop out.

373 Dark_Falcon  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:08:22pm

re: #361 darthstar

I have faith...some asshole will win, and 40% of America will support him without thinking no matter how crazy he is.

Romney isn't crazy, or at least if he is then I'm crazy too.

374 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:09:01pm

re: #372 jaunte

Fox expert Palin says Bachmann should drop out.

Something she knows a lot about.

375 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:09:34pm

re: #370 Charles

If Ron Paul is a true libertarian, he won't hesitate to destroy his own son if necessary.

Ron's a true narcissist, this is his last gasp in politics. If he thinks he can get a chance at the brass ring via a third party run, he'll take it. Rand will either sink or swim on his own.

376 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:10:31pm

re: #364 bloodstar

citation? and as I said, the more Republicans get to see Romney, the less they like him. And that's a serious issue.

I'm looking at Iowa 2008, Romney had 25.12%. Currently, Romney is still south of 24%. So he's underperforming from 2008. That's not exactly liking him?

Romney liked, but not intensely.

377 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:10:55pm

re: #353 aagcobb

Santorum has no organization outside Iowa and no money. Romney's superpac will crush him.

I see your point, but what could that superpac money say that will make evangelicals turn from Santorum to Romney? Romney's superpac took Newt out, but that really wasn't hard to do with all of his baggage. All of that money and Romney is still stuck at about 24% in Iowa and in national polls. Newt and Herman Cain's supporters didn't go the Romney, they went to Santorum and probably Paul. If Bachmann, Perry and Newt are knocked out of the game, where do their supporters go? Romney doesn't seem like their first choice for an alternative.

378 Charles Johnson  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:11:31pm

re: #375 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Ron's a true narcissist, this is his last gasp in politics. If he thinks he can get a chance at the brass ring via a third party run, he'll take it. Rand will either sink or swim on his own.

And being a libertarian, he wouldn't have it any other way.

379 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:12:29pm

re: #357 aagcobb

But polling shows that most Republicans like Romney, and will accept his nomination. Its just the activists who loathe him.

Dude he's been stuck at 24% in national polls, even though everyone keeps saying he's the best candidate. Most Republicans will vote for Romney, but they don't like him.

380 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:13:13pm

re: #379 moderatelyradicalliberal

Dude he's been stuck at 24% in national polls, even though everyone keeps saying he's the best candidate. Most Republicans will vote for Romney, but they don't like him.

Look at the poll I linked to.

381 Targetpractice  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:13:55pm

re: #378 Charles

And being a libertarian, he wouldn't have it any other way.

Ayep. Not to mention that, from all appearances, Rand's place in the GOP mirrors his old man's in being a marriage of convenience: Rand gets the party's support of his nuttery and the GOP gets a Senate seat. If they tell him to disown daddy and he refuses, then they'll jettison him without a second thought.

382 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:14:44pm

re: #370 Charles

If Ron Paul is a true libertarian, he won't hesitate to destroy his own son if necessary.

The preeminence of the individual and all.

383 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:14:56pm

re: #377 moderatelyradicalliberal

I see your point, but what could that superpac money say that will make evangelicals turn from Santorum to Romney? Romney's superpac took Newt out, but that really wasn't hard to do with all of his baggage. All of that money and Romney is still stuck at about 24% in Iowa and in national polls. Newt and Herman Cain's supporters didn't go the Romney, they went to Santorum and probably Paul. If Bachmann, Perry and Newt are knocked out of the game, where do their supporters go? Romney doesn't seem like their first choice for an alternative.

Paul will help. He has already labeled Santorum a big government liberal, and he will probably run effective attack ads against him as he did to Gingrich. Ironically, Paul is God's gift to the Romney campaign, as Paul tries to make himself the only alternative to Romney.

384 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:15:02pm

re: #371 HappyWarrior

I can't believe Santorum is winning.

WaPo tweet:

About eight in 10 of those voting for Perry and Santorum are evangelical in #iacaucus

385 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:15:15pm

Poor Buddy Roemer. Being beaten by a guy who isn't even in the race anymore.

386 darthstar  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:15:49pm

re: #372 jaunte

Fox expert Palin says Bachmann should drop out.

I'm sure she meant resign from the race so she can continue winning from the outside.

387 OhCrapIHaveACrushOnSarahPalin  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:15:52pm

John Huntsman is pretty!

388 freetoken  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:15:53pm

It's easy to imagine a Romney/Santorum ticket.

Sure, both white guys from the North East, but that won't stop it from happening.

389 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:16:14pm

re: #375 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Ron's a true narcissist, this is his last gasp in politics. If he thinks he can get a chance at the brass ring via a third party run, he'll take it. Rand will either sink or swim on his own.

Then he would be a true libertarian.

390 Gus  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:16:17pm

re: #385 Simply Sarah

Poor Buddy Roemer. Being beaten by a guy who isn't even in the race anymore.

"Other" is beating him as well.

391 jaunte  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:17:22pm

@saletan
That's an awfully Santorum-looking map of rural counties still to report.

392 Simply Sarah  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:17:25pm

re: #390 Gus 802

"Other" is beating him as well.

Oh, Other and No Preference are both kicking his ass, but I was trying to be gentle and not bring that fact up.

393 goddamnedfrank  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:18:30pm

re: #320 Dark_Falcon

Right now Gingrich is more than 9% behind Romney, and Luap Nor is only 2% ahead. So Romney's right in this thing, and Newt isn't. Have faith.

I'm wondering how you're reconciling your return to supporting Romney with these recent past statements you made:

His use of footage of Obama wasn't quite as bad as what Grayson did, but it was very bad in my eyes. It'll prevent me from voting for Romney in the primary, since I don't support that sort of dishonesty. Mitt seems to have his eyes too closely focused on the prize, to the exclusion of principles and honesty.

Seems like Romney's dishonesty only disqualified him in your eyes as long as you thought you might have a viable alternative. I mean, it's not like he's suddenly become trustworthy or demonstrated anything remotely resembling integrity.

It seemed like it was 'his turn' and he seemed electable. My problem with him has become that he stands for nothing but a desire to be president. In that regard, he's worse than Gingrich, and worse than Obama as well. Both Barack and Newt want to be president because they have things they want to do and they need the presidency to enact them. Romney seems to just want to be president.

Don't worry, now that you're out of options I won't hold out for any further examples of the above kind of candor. Still, it's very strange for you to specifically say one day that an overt act of dishonesty will prevent you from voting for a candidate, rip that candidate (accurately) for being nothing more than politically expedient wind sock ruled by nothing more than personal desire for office, and then later return to supporting that same candidate. It's almost like you were putting up some kind of facade, a pretense of actually having standards.

394 aagcobb  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:19:47pm

re: #375 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

Ron's a true narcissist, this is his last gasp in politics. If he thinks he can get a chance at the brass ring via a third party run, he'll take it. Rand will either sink or swim on his own.

I believe Ron Paul knows he will never be President, and that the Libertarian party will never amount to anything. What he can accomplish is to push the GOP as far toward libertarianism as he can. He plans to have a major role in the GOP convention, and will, I think, have the largest block of delegates next to Romney.

395 OhCrapIHaveACrushOnSarahPalin  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:20:27pm

re: #393 goddamnedfrank

/Schadenfreude

lol

396 moderatelyradicalliberal  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 7:22:10pm

re: #393 goddamnedfrank

I'm wondering how you're reconciling your return to supporting Romney with these recent past statements you made:

Seems like Romney's dishonesty only disqualified him in your eyes as long as you thought you might have a viable alternative. I mean, it's not like he's suddenly become trustworthy or demonstrated anything remotely resembling integrity.

Don't worry, now that you're out of options I won't hold out for any further examples of the above kind of candor. Still, it's very strange for you to specifically say one day that an overt act of dishonesty will prevent you from voting for a candidate, rip that candidate (accurately) for being nothing more than politically expedient wind sock ruled by nothing more than personal desire for office, and then later return to supporting that same candidate. It's almost like you were putting up some kind of facade, a pretense of actually having standards.

Well I guess even Republicans who claim to like Mitt Romney really do find him repulsive. Like I said and many others have said, nobody really likes Mitt Romney. He's unlikeable.

397 Wozza Matter?  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 11:20:07pm

re: #396 moderatelyradicalliberal

Well I guess even Republicans who claim to like Mitt Romney really do find him repulsive. Like I said and many others have said, nobody really likes Mitt Romney. He's unlikeable.

He has no personal qualitys but you now where you stand with him.

1 - he loves his family
2 - he loves money
3 - he wants to be president

398 Wozza Matter?  Tue, Jan 3, 2012 11:21:18pm

re: #385 Simply Sarah

Poor Buddy Roemer. Being beaten by a guy who isn't even in the race anymore.

*sigh*

He's in the wrong party.


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