The only people more pathetic than Chuck C. Johnson are his creepy, deranged fans.
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
@theonetruechuck Gab must be awesome, or you wouldn’t be sneaking back on to Twitter.
— HabitualLineStepper (@AdrianNichols) November 1, 2016
Speaker Louie Gohmert? Damn it Sam, need sleep tonight. All jokes aside, you could tell it was fun for both Bee and POTUS.
Christian group in Chicago crying Christian oppression because they couldn’t set up their Pulse nightclub shooting themed “hell house” in an elementary school.
All those RWNJ conspiracy theories dating back to at least 2012, where Obama is going to launch some diabolical scheme to prevent elections and make himself president for life? I used to just shake my head and laugh at this stuff, but lately I’m more like, Shit, that’s a long way from being the worst idea I’ve ever heard.
re: #4 Anymouse
Christian group in Chicago crying Christian oppression because they couldn’t set up their Pulse nightclub shooting themed “hell house” in an elementary school.
Sick assholes.
re: #4 Anymouse
Christian group in Chicago crying Christian oppression because they couldn’t set up their Pulse nightclub shooting themed “hell house” in an elementary school.
Not only that hot mess, but also this:
Can’t imagine why anyone would have a problem with that, considering that other parts of the “Hell House”-style attraction — an exercise in bringing a Chick Tract to life — would depict a botched abortion (presumably sending the woman and the doctor to Hell) and another re-creation of a mass shooting, the 2015 massacre at Emanuel AME Church in Charleston, where we presume all the victims went straight to heaven, so that would be the happiest massacre of all.
Dylann Roof would be so proud.
*retches*
UpChuck says that him and his hedge fund buddies are going to execute a hostile takeover of Twitter. Dude is fuckin’ hammered.
re: #8 teleskiguy
UpChuck says that him and his hedge fund buddies are going to execute a hostile takeover of Twitter. Dude is fuckin’ hammered.
Since Twitter is up for sale, how could anyone make a hostile takeover?
re: #8 teleskiguy
UpChuck says that him and his hedge fund buddies are going to execute a hostile takeover of Twitter. Dude is fuckin’ hammered.
The two guys he shared a bottle of Mad Dog with in the bushes at the park are his hedge fund buddies.
RBS
Now that we killed your buyers @jack we are probably going to do a hostile takeover of twitter with my hedge fund connects. @Cernovich
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
Chuck C. Johnson is getting into his cocaine stash now. @theonetruechuck pic.twitter.com/7MBX8TrdsS
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
re: #4 Anymouse
Christian group in Chicago crying Christian oppression because they couldn’t set up their Pulse nightclub shooting themed “hell house” in an elementary school.
You misspelled “hate-filled asshole nazi hypocrites.”
re: #4 Anymouse
It’s more like Asshole Oppression. I’m all for oppressing assholes.
How bored is Nate Silver? He’s positing a replay of 2000, where Hillary could win the popular vote but Trump take the electoral college.
I expect Chuck to be suspended again by the morning.
re: #16 Targetpractice
ESPN site to leverage the gambling addiction so common in sports.
re: #13 Charles Johnson
Ginger Snapped’s version of a hedge fund is when he mortgages Boardwalk and Park Place…
re: #18 freetoken
ESPN site to leverage the gambling addiction so common in sports.
And when the worst-case scenarios don’t play out, he shrugs his shoulders and says that he only went by what his model showed, he didn’t say it was a definite possibility.
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strong stuff from Guy Who Thinks This Is Funny pic.twitter.com/ry5PlJLa1A
— Jim Lohmar (@jimlohmar) November 1, 2016
I’m so glad I wasn’t in Charleston tonight fighting a dumbass old man https://t.co/z5e1cJxWah
— Anna Merlan (@annamerlan) November 1, 2016
re: #21 Eric The Fruit Bat
W/mI6+iGdCVeZUnFCTv8F59hrnMXVB1yEwTt0HRcbbl4F8oyHlfd7fVuGQj6Kl+qFPzyuAB00T4nGkeIChJVnhvrFDQZ1HHab5Zn438f0a7AtPTIcOYzszg/0EryxbXf8exh73iaqX12+tnpmsPeHLjgzQ1qrwAcA81Z0MrjDkB+Z2zNxjIid1SVzuQVE1Yd7k5Z+QIXw2ntP3ulAQgQoA==
Newsflash, babycakes: you never fooled anybody. @theonetruechuck “I was never an anti-racist. I hid my views”
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
re: #24 Charles Johnson
Mr. Johnson: At least you have a Twitter blue check. The other guy with your name doesn’t. Should he demand the President give him a checkmark? /s
@theonetruechuck The whole world is laughing at you!
— josephebacon (@josephebacon) November 1, 2016
Chuck C. Johnson is now arguing about his racist bona fides with an antisemitic white supremacist who’s calling him a “cuck.”
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
Good Dog I’m going to miss Obama. What a brilliant, regular guy.
Gab, the Alt-Right’s Very Own Twitter, Is The Ultimate Filter Bubble
THE INTERNET HAS a speech regulation problem. To a lot of people (including WIRED), harassment and hate speech are corruptions of the democratization promised by the Web, and websites like Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram take constant flack for not dealing with the problem adequately enough. To the group calling itself the alt-right, which is really another word for white supremacists, any moderation looks like censorship. Their anger at being supposedly sidelined and silenced has spawned hashtag campaigns, think pieces, and now, a brand-new social media platform, Gab. Its primary schtick is promising an end to censorship. But by sequestering itself, Gab has managed to sideline it members further into an echo chamber so far removed from the rest of the conversation that its message has no chance of reaching unfamiliar ears.
Gab is less than a month old, so it may well flame out like Peach or Ello. But for now, the platform looks like an artifact from a dystopian universe where the alt-right completely took over Twitter. Gab has over 42,000 people on its waitlist, more than 11,000 active members, and among them are nearly all the alt-right’s online kingpins, including the Internet’s self-styled super-villain, Breitbart writer Milo Yiannopoulos himself, who was recently banned for life from Twitter. And Gab’s appeal for that crowd is obvious. The only posting guidelines are no illegal porn, no threats of violence, no terrorism, and no doxing. Oh, and a fifth commandment that literally says “try to be nice.” Everything else is fair game. Notably absent? Any explicit stipulations against hate speech.
I’ve blocked about a dozen of UpChuck’s fans. Lovely people.
re: #30 teleskiguy
I’ve blocked about a dozen of UpChuck’s fans. Lovely people.
Yes, they are such lovely people showing their incredibly deep ¢hri$tian faith…
re: #30 teleskiguy
I’ve blocked about a dozen of UpChuck’s fans. Lovely people.
You’re sayin you zapped em all, then? Nice work.
re: #23 freetoken
gY6BGywaUGuQthDoISYQpBHvTusYVQ/2VK5W0TbHfU31OIqdPZr7o4NnH+q8j1z0SZe65yyLZEtNXH4VtfRqOMFE2BTt4Nt+L89iGnjxUE6b+OMH0xUkgzjnJHuJ0QjylH5x72LNPNNoS0bAHKCWxRvBJ/jZmxkk
@pattonoswalt The floor pooping wonder Chuck C. Johnson has sneaked back on Twitter tonight, and he’s as horrible as ever. pic.twitter.com/wuVK4JEI44
— Charlie Vogel (@teleskiguy) November 1, 2016
re: #35 teleskiguy
OMG. He is the absolute pit.
Gab sounds like a grift to me - I can’t see it being financed with significant advertising.
See also SarahTV, Mr. Trump’s scampaign, ReaganBook, Conservapedia, &c.
re: #33 Eric The Fruit Bat
q/2ZTJbBI6w0xQpbJ01cor25RHn+7U6hTMbHgf9dCgeFzO9bq4Uf8YAqES+ORAgSIIZdNxWKWBwHvc89WHVaNWQqvvnuwo3JA7h4+LZs+Cq0Fz44JmNh7S/FkZ6DkA3A7mqp+MziuCrEUsqeCBfG3d3hIH7DJ5lAZAB2ZM5Gxz1BsHcmyanpVzjG3iThQqankWBNVf89y4IXZfRX0o/I++0TFolIswdIQ2KorLl5VeW0d4R1hgy4weyjplLJMRqFMJJjdua5LA7zPguW//dM8CzxYXN1cFAr/qahmRjHpiwLCQMscDlju/PY7LfmxOCrR7in6wE05/O16NXXt534flScfnFgNrEZ5IaUmBWy0JrqwCGZeiYLA8R3VIqx5Eu39If1hZ5Y8Mmzp8E9hxdGPbtEJT4tqzCN1qfej5bdFPu6J1GQRYpg7pVSOFN2Wj6AQ1bIxneSkAc=
The hits keep on coming.
Roger Ailes did nothing wrong
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
re: #40 teleskiguy
Oh, I think it’s more like the misses keep coming…and hitting the floor…
Trump = Larry
Jones = Moe
Putin = Curly
Time travel. It’s a well worn sci-fi gimmick and this season there are several TV shows that use it. All of them fall into the usual plot traps.
I’ve been trying to follow Travelers and even though the acting is good there is a huge plot hole. Name…
By coming back in time and taking over the bodies of people about to die, they are ensuring that person appears to keep on living. Thus they’ve already changed history. Any one of the travelers could accidentally set off a chain of events that lead to the non-existence of the supposed future from which they came.
Now one can say that by their presence that possibility is ruled out, but in the episodes so far it shows that their plans can change, and receive messages from the future that certain travelers’ plans have changed. Their “director” in the future is changing plans for travelers. This means there must be a fluidity to the path of events. If there is this fluidity, then how does one avoid the paradox?
Also, like so much fiction, including science-fiction, there is a remnant of creationism in the story. The premise (and this doesn’t need a spoiler as it’s the advertised gimmick to draw in viewers) is that consciousness from the future can be forced into bodies in the past.
This means our self-dialogue, our thinking, exists outside the cells of our nervous system.
This is contra to what we know about reality. Instead, it is a retelling of the meme of the “soul”, a convenient way to imagine life after death.
Clinton is underperforming Obama 2012 in 10 of 12 traditional swing states, despite having a larger lead in the popular vote. pic.twitter.com/23iAiK49hB
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2016
Do you notice what Nate is doing here? He’s comparing Clinton’s 2016 polls to Obama’s 2012 actual election day performance in order to create the narrative that she’s doing worse in swing states at this point in the race. If he had compared her swing state polls to his swing state polls the horserace narrative he’s selling would’ve fallen completely apart.
I’m off for the rack.
So, today we learned, as far as I can determine, that Drumpf is up to his eyebrows in Russian debt through the Alfa Bank and that the Russian government has taken over his oppo, which explains his not paying his actual oppo organization in San Antonio $750,000. Oh, and he has a dedicated call and response server from Trump Tower to the bank.
Ruh-roh.
In addition, that Russian oppo is dumping the D’s hacked e-mails into the US through Wikileaks to queer (original use of the word) the election.
Unconfirmed reports indicate that Trump’s 2014 trip may have resulted in him being filmed with a Tatiana plant (Me love you long time! Sucky fucky electric tongue number one!).
So. A traditional Presidential election continues apace.
Fuck my life.
re: #44 goddamnedfrank
Gotta get those clicks for ESPN.
re: #19 Joe Bacon
Ginger Snapped’s version of a hedge fund is when he mortgages Boardwalk and Park Place…
That’s too upscale for CCJ. More like mortgaging Mediterranean Ave and Baltic Ave.
re: #39 freetoken
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re: #48 Eric The Fruit Bat
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@theonetruechuck Call the cavalry! It’s time to meme the shit out of the joint! pic.twitter.com/cK017A9oLF
— Charlie Vogel (@teleskiguy) November 1, 2016
@theonetruechuck Call the cavalry! It’s time to meme the shit out of the joint! pic.twitter.com/cK017A9oLF
— Charlie Vogel (@teleskiguy) November 1, 2016
re: #50 teleskiguy
CCJ is boasting about being a ‘leader’ in the 101st Chairborne.
Most impressive. ///
UpChuck is sending all his tweets via iPhone. Is that a way to get around an identifying IP address?
re: #54 teleskiguy
UpChuck is sending all his tweets via iPhone. Is that a way to get around an identifying IP address?
I am not a software engineer though my wife is so I’ll ask her:
Me: Honey, if someone used a cell phone, would it report a different IP address than a home computer?
Wife: If the cell phone went through a wireless tower or someone else’s router, yes.
re: #44 goddamnedfrank
[Embedded content]
Do you notice what Nate is doing here? He’s comparing Clinton’s 2016 polls to Obama’s 2012 actual election day performance in order to create the narrative that she’s doing worse in swing states at this point in the race. If he had compared her swing state polls to his swing state polls the horserace narrative he’s selling would’ve fallen completely apart.
The other problem with the narrative? Obama actually overperformed on election day compared to his poll numbers in the final days of the race.
re: #50 teleskiguy
When Ginger Snapped’s kid is born, we ought to put a bounty on Wesearchr demanding a paternity test to be done on the baby to prove if the kid is actually his-after all, with all the travelling he’s been doing, who knows if the child is really his? As a journalist, he should submit in an independent paternity test.
re: #54 teleskiguy
UpChuck is sending all his tweets via iPhone. Is that a way to get around an identifying IP address?
Bumming off of someone else’s wifi?
re: #58 retired cynic
Bumming off of someone else’s wifi?
Or just using the local 4G network. Anymouse’s better half kind of explained it.
re: #56 Targetpractice
The other problem with the narrative? Obama actually overperformed on election day compared to his poll numbers in the final days of the race.
That’s kind of my point, he’s avoiding making an apples to apples comparison because doing so would totally undermine his narrative that Clinton is underperforming. She’s not.
re: #54 teleskiguy
UpChuck is sending all his tweets via iPhone. Is that a way to get around an identifying IP address?
At one point he claimed Twitter had banned his home IP address, though most consider that unlikely. My guess is HAW is using the computer and Chuck’s out in the living room sulking and tweeting.
re: #59 teleskiguy
Or just using the local 4G network. Anymouse’s better half kind of explained it.
She has to keep her computer-related responses simple for me.
re: #1 Charles Johnson
[Embedded content]
I think Chuck C. Johnson is a Democrat Party plant. James O’Keefe’s amazing expose of how George Soros trucks in people to stir shit up at Teump rallies was very eye opening, and very relieving. I was actually worried that these alt right types were a teal threat. Now I realize that Chuck and his ilk are all doing Soros’s bidding. Very clever, I must say.
/////////////////////
My elbow surgery was over a month ago …
Aside from the pain in the joint because it is still recovering, the skin has been very sore too.
I just pulled out a stitch from one of the really sore spots. Could that be it?
re: #60 goddamnedfrank
That’s kind of my point, he’s avoiding making an apples to apples comparison because doing so would totally undermine his narrative that Clinton is underperforming. She’s not.
I recognized my mistake about a split second after I hit “Post.” Of course, it wasn’t just that Obama overperformed, it was also that Romney underperformed.
Hahahahaha! He is so predictable!
LOL! Alpha male Chuck Johnson has blocked me! Can’t take the heat. Loser! Low energy! @Green_Footballs pic.twitter.com/Wk5tWA85Bi
— wheat-dogg (@liguy743) November 1, 2016
re: #66 Eric The Fruit Bat
There’s that funny looking guy again. Haven’t seen him for years, and pop, here he comes.
re: #66 Eric The Fruit Bat
[Embedded content]
What is it with these people and the things they put on their heads?
re: #69 whitebeach
What is it with these people and the things they put on their heads?
Beats the shit otta me….
Night nite folks…
The reality of the polls right now? If Hillary were down 5%+ in the polls and looking to get her ass kicked in the EC to the tune of 50 votes or better, there would be no question about whether or not she could pull it out and win. The stories would be about how she’s worse than Nixon because Nixon actually won twice, while Trump would be hailed as carrying a mandate that would set off a new Republican renaissance.
This should be fun to watch.
I am doing an AMA tomorrow on Reddit with the donald
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
***BREAKING***
Who’s still awake, and who’s aware that the trending topic now in the past few hours on Google News is Trump using legally dubious (now completely illegal) methods to avoid paying tax?
We need to help spread this story! Start Googleing and posting to your social media. Here’s the NY Times article: nytimes.com
Remember that for this whole election cycle, the candidate who’s in the spotlight gets falling support. Let’s switch the topic from emails to Trump’s taxes.
Get a load of the “billboard” funded by Wesearchr marks.
PRAISE KEK: Take a look at what just appeared on Interstate 43 in @PRyan’s backyard in Wisconsin! https://t.co/agaV5bfZFZ pic.twitter.com/UcqxqLxpEc
— WeSearchr (@wesearchr) October 30, 2016
re: #64 Anymouse
My elbow surgery was over a month ago …
Aside from the pain in the joint because it is still recovering, the skin has been very sore too.
I just pulled out a stitch from one of the really sore spots. Could that be it?
After a month? Fuck yes. Is it red and inflamed?
Donald Trump with a classic I-know-you-are-but: “She is a terrible example for my son and the children of this country.”
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 31, 2016
re: #77 goddamnedfrank
After a month? Fuck yes. Is it red and inflamed?
Some. I have another spot on the opposite end of the healing incision like that … perhaps that also has a thread in it as well.
re: #79 Anymouse
Some. I have another spot on the opposite end of the healing incision like that … perhaps that also has a thread in it as well.
Sure could be. Is it warmer than the tissue around it?
re: #76 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
Get a load of the “billboard” funded by Wesearchr marks.
[Embedded content]
How much did Chuck supposedly raise for this, 8-10 grand?
Shit, that banner (which is all it is) couldn’t have cost more than a few hundred bucks, maybe a grand or so is being generous, and you know when he’s saying that “the billboard is on the interstate” in Ryan’s turf, he really means someone probably stuck it on the side of the interstate in the right-of-way and not on private property (if so, it’ll likely be down in a few days).
He’s definitely got his marks pegged, doesn’t he?
re: #73 Robert O.
***BREAKING***
Who’s still awake, and who’s aware that the trending topic now in the past few hours on Google News is Trump using legally dubious (now completely illegal) methods to avoid paying tax?
We need to help spread this story! Start Googleing and posting to your social media. Here’s the NY Times article: nytimes.com
Remember that for this whole election cycle, the candidate who’s in the spotlight gets falling support. Let’s switch the topic from emails to Trump’s taxes.
That’s a nothingburger. The fact that he used a tax dodge, legal at the time, means he could.
That means that it should be addressed by addressed by the reform of the tax code.
The bigger problem is that he appears to be a puppet of the Russian Government.
You have been registered here for twelve years and have posted 950 comments. That’s ***BREAKING***
Admiral #Kuznetsov, flag ship of the Russian Navy below the deck. pic.twitter.com/cwpYICv0BP
— Peter Riebeek (@PeterRiebeek1) October 23, 2016
@60th_Street Word is his wife is pregnant.
No idea if he has met the father yet though— Kragar (@Kragar_LGF) November 1, 2016
re: #79 Anymouse
Some. I have another spot on the opposite end of the healing incision like that … perhaps that also has a thread in it as well.
You gotta keep those clean and periodically apply triple antibiotic. If they’re infected now though they absolutely gotta go. I’ve never seen surface stitches stay in longer than two weeks max, usually less, and they should be completely visible from the outside. I mean, there’s a chance the inflammation could be caused by an absorbable suture deeper inside, sometimes that can happen. I’d call the VA and see if you can get an NP to advise you on what to do.
re: #80 retired cynic
Sure could be. Is it warmer than the tissue around it?
Hard to say … maybe a bit.
A comment over at Wonkette on James Comey explains a bit:
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
re: #81 TedStriker
How much did Chuck supposedly raise for this, 8-10 grand?
Shit, that banner (which is all it is) couldn’t have cost more than a few hundred bucks and you know when he’s saying that “the billboard is on the interstate” in Ryan’s turf, he really means someone probably stuck it on the side of the interstate in the right-of-way and not on private property (if so, it’ll likely be down in a few days).
He’s definitely got his marks pegged, doesn’t he?
Billboard advertisers need to get a permit in most localities. And a good stiff wind could blow that sad excuse for a billboard into traffic, so it’s a safety hazard as well.
re: #76 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
Get a load of the “billboard” funded by Wesearchr marks.
[Embedded content]
That looks like complete dogshit.
re: #85 goddamnedfrank
You gotta keep those clean and periodically apply triple antibiotic. If they’re infected now though they absolutely gotta go. I’ve never seen surface stitches stay in longer than two weeks max, usually less, and they should be completely visible from the outside. I mean, there’s a chance the inflammation could be caused by an absorbable suture deeper inside, sometimes that can happen. I’d call the VA and see if you can get an NP to advise you on what to do.
I have to call the VA nurse at the Sidney VA Clinic tomorrow anyway.
The stitches were removed some two weeks after the surgery; apparently a couple threads were left behind.
re: #86 Anymouse
Hard to say … maybe a bit.
Hot pack it some tonight, and see if that works something up and out. In the morning, I would call about it.
Edit for confusing formatting. May have made it worse!
re: #90 retired cynic
Hot pack it some tonight, and see if that works something up and out. In the morning, I would call about it.
Edit for confusing formatting. May have made it worse!
re: #90 retired cynic
Thanks, I’ll do that. (I have to call anyway, since I need to renew my epilepsy medications. I can ask the nurse about the stitches as well and her suggestions for treatment. If I can avoid a sixty mile drive to the clinic so much the better.)
re: #89 Anymouse
I have to call the VA nurse at the Sidney VA Clinic tomorrow anyway.
The stitches were removed some two weeks after the surgery; apparently a couple threads were left behind.
That can definitely happen.
Off topic, the Cabelas flagship store in Sidney is fucking amazeballs.
re: #94 TedStriker
That’s being charitable.
Chuck separating wingnuts from their money.
Anything going to Chuck is not going to Republican candidates so there is that.
I don’t see how such a sign hurts Rep. Ryan though; it neither attacks Mr. Ryan nor promotes someone else over him.
re: #96 Anymouse
It’s an inside joke. You have to know the password.
re: #95 goddamnedfrank
That can definitely happen.
Off topic, the Cabelas flagship store in Sidney is fucking amazeballs.
Been there a couple times. It really is. My understanding is that Bass Pro Shops bought Cabelas, so the corporate downtown offices in Sidney will be closed, but the Cabela’s store will remain open.
Cabela’s is adding another building next to the store (to be more store). The City of Sidney is doing a large number of infrastructure improvements between downtown and the state link highway between US-385 and I-80 (in the middle of which is Cabela’s).
re: #96 Anymouse
Chuck separating wingnuts from their money.
Anything going to Chuck is not going to Republican candidates so there is that.
I don’t see how such a sign hurts Rep. Ryan though; it neither attacks Mr. Ryan nor promotes someone else over him.
And the nearest border is with Canada.
This photo is, as far as I’m concerned, the single greatest photo of any president or premier of any country, ever. pic.twitter.com/A7esCGxXgg
— Natasha Lampard (@tashmahal) October 30, 2016
Well, perhaps an astringent for my elbow would be good …
Maybe rum taken internally? /s
Saudi student assaulted in Wisconsin college town, dies of his injuries a day later, https://t.co/N3lpWrqPnO via @JJGGarza pic.twitter.com/cbA6VpOzLV
— Linda Dono (@LindaDono) November 1, 2016
Here’s an interesting map of the United States.
The Largest Religious Group in Each County — https://t.co/vBGU63MCFd pic.twitter.com/B7bE7cVCH2
— Mental Floss (@mental_floss) November 1, 2016
re: #8 teleskiguy
UpChuck says that him and his hedge fund buddies are going to execute a hostile takeover of Twitter. Dude is fuckin’ hammered.
“Twitter is a dying, worthless service. Hey guys, let’s spend all our money purchasing it!”
re: #103 teleskiguy
I’ve seen the map before, which shows my county as predominantly Roman Catholic.
The former Roman Catholic Church in my village is now the gun shop (we call it the Church of the NRA).
As far as I am aware, there is only one Catholic Church in my county. There is also one Greek Orthodox Church in my county. A couple Lutheran Churches, a couple Mennonite Churches. A United Methodist Church.
Do they get the numbers based on numbers of churches, or reported members of those churches? (I have no idea for example if there are more people in the Catholic Church than the Greek Orthodox Church for example.)
Time for Senator Burr to hit the trail:
CNN obtains audio of Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC) privately joking about gun owners shooting Hillary Clinton https://t.co/fdkxJgFLoq
— Bradd Jaffy (@BraddJaffy) October 31, 2016
re: #106 Anymouse
its as if the Sarah Palin surveyor symbols had no fucking effect on anyone over on the right.
re: #103 teleskiguy
Here’s an interesting map of the United States.
The Largest Religious Group in Each County
Washington Post article where that map came from.
Additional images:
img.washingtonpost.com Second Largest Religious Tradition in Each State, 2010
img.washingtonpost.com Largest Non-Christian Tradition by County
re: #107 piratedan
its as if the Sarah Palin surveyor symbols had no fucking effect on anyone over on the right.
Oh, they had an effect. Hence Trump’s “Second Amendment people,” Sharron Angle’s “Second Amendment solutions,” &c.
World’s shortest flight celebrates its millionth passenger https://t.co/pyFqxUjafK
— The Guardian (@guardian) November 1, 2016
2.7km (1.7-mile) flight between Westray and Papa Westray in the Orkney islands, officially takes two minutes but with favourable winds it can be done in 47 seconds
This is why UpChuck is such a degenerate menace on Twitter. Veiled threats against mainstream journalists, and so far this is a-okay with Twitter.
I wish we could hunt journalists and eat them. Maybe not eat them. Maybe. Not sure.
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
Unhinged.
It’s important to make a list of the journalists you would execute were the purge to suddenly become legal.
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
re: #112 teleskiguy
Neads moar reports to Twitter.
If you have a Twitter account and are willing to report UpChuck, the best way to do it is to check “Abusive or Harmful” followed by “Targeted Harassment.”
He wants to repeal the 19th Amendment.
I wish I could interview all the men who allowed women to vote if they think it’s worth it now that Hillary may become president.
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
Libertarian VP candidate Bill Weld lights into James Comey:
Libertarian vice presidential nominee William Weld lit into James Comey, saying Monday that his decision to announce a review of new emails was “disgraceful” and that the FBI director and the agency were “off the reservation.”
“They’re totally off the reservation,” Weld told CNN’s Alisyn Camerota Monday on “New Day,” adding that the US Attorney General may need to get involved to rein in Comey.
More at CNN
So USA Today’s front-page, above-the-fold story is…that Comey is getting a bipartisan ass-chewing. And nowhere in the paragraphs on Page 1 do they waste time trying to defend him by saying that he was “just doing his job.”
We might, might just be seeing a break in the storm.
@theonetruechuck “It’s important to keep a list of journalists that we need to kill. We will kill them soon!”@Support @safety
— Charlie Vogel (@teleskiguy) November 1, 2016
Miami Herald takes Senator Marco Rubio to task in an op-ed:
Senator No-Show is campaigning hard to return to the Senate after telling Florida voters he wouldn’t run for re-election.
No one who has followed Marco Rubio’s political acrobatics was surprised by this 180-degree pirouette, which occurred soon after Donald Trump humiliated him in the state’s presidential primary. Nor is there any mystery to Rubio’s motive. Being in the Senate is the only way he can stay sufficiently visible to run for the White House again in four years.
When pressed, Rubio says he intends to serve the full term as a senator. Who believes that? There’s only one job he cares about, and he’s going to try again in 2020. Everybody’s aware of his awful attendance record, and that he dislikes the job. “I don’t know that ‘hate’ is the right word,” he told the Washington Post last year. “I’m frustrated.”
It gets better as it goes on… .
re: #115 teleskiguy
He wants to repeal the 19th Amendment.
[Embedded content]
I have a feeling he had a fight with the wife, and is sleeping on the sofa tonight.
New from GotNwes: After 17 months, Chuck C. Johnson returns to Twitter yet again https://t.co/7hQhVCYnVj
— GotNwes (@GotNwes) November 1, 2016
Complete with copies of his tweets. Take that blocking and stuff it, junior! https://t.co/ga6n4usgD1
— wheat-dogg (@liguy743) November 1, 2016
Jeez, he’s still going!
I believe in a future where the drones stop killing terrorists overseas and begin killing journalists at home. I may have watched terminator
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
I think the worst nightmare for the GOP right now is the revelation that Comey fought against making info about Trump’s Russian connections available to the public. That turns this story on its head, as now it takes the bite out of the original “HILLARY’S EMAILS ARGLEBARGLE!!!” and turns it into a public question over whether or not the FBI has a political interest in seeing Trump become president.
re: #123 Targetpractice
Yup, all this E-mail nonsense has done zero to regret me casting my mail ballot for Hillary Clinton (and mostly blank downballot lines because I had a choice of only Republicans fascists).
Well shit, once one is blocked you can’t report offensive tweets. Oh well … Hopefully his asinine charade on Twitter ends soon.
Get a load of this one
Oh no a bunch of people who will soon be unemployed or star bucks baristas aka journalists are upset that I am on the twitter. Losers.
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
And this one. He’s on a roll!
It’s sad that the lesser Charles Johnson wants to fuck me but what can I do? Help me @Cernovich! @bakedalaska ! I am worried about assault!
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
re: #117 Targetpractice
So USA Today’s front-page, above-the-fold story is…that Comey is getting a bipartisan ass-chewing. And nowhere in the paragraphs on Page 1 do they waste time trying to defend him by saying that he was “just doing his job.”
We might, might just be seeing a break in the storm.
We better be.
@theonetruechuck So, you’re going all in hoping for a despotic regime that ruthlessly kills its enemies? You’re a sick and disgusting human.
— Charlie Vogel (@teleskiguy) November 1, 2016
I’m convinced that Rage Furby’s latest tweetstorm is a result of the embarrassing story in Daily Beast about his tussle with Roger Stone. And maybe things are not cool at home, either, because he’s been misogynistic more than usual.
He’s unhinged. Just reading over his tweets is a peek into a troubled mind.
An author at The Atlantic, after the DDos attack that locked up much of the East and West coasts, set up a server to see how long hackers would take to find it and try to hack into it.
Less than one hour.
This graphic is a simulation—a bot’s-eye view, if you will—but it’s the actual sequence of commands the hacking script used. It tried a common default username and password (root/root) and executed the “sh” command, giving it the ability to run programs and install its own code. My fake toaster doesn’t allow that, of course—it just cuts the connection.
The next hacking attempt, from a different IP address and using different login credentials, came at 2:07 p.m. Another came at 2:10. And then 2:40. And 2:48. In all, more than 300 different IP addresses attempted to hack my honeypot by 11:59 p.m. Many of them used the password “xc3511,” which was the factory default for many of the old webcams hijacked in last week’s attack.
The last attempted hack came 5 minutes ago, using the username root and the password root. (Yes, those are live figures; they were updated when you loaded this page.)
re: #131 teleskiguy
This is my parting shot to UpChuck, seeing as how I can only see his tweets if I’m not logged in. Hopefully Twitter does the right thing in the next half day.
re: #132 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
I’m convinced that Rage Furby’s latest tweetstorm is a result of the embarrassing story in Daily Beast about his tussle with Roger Stone. And maybe things are not cool at home, either, because he’s been misogynistic more than usual.
He’s unhinged. Just reading over his tweets is a peek into a troubled mind.
I think you can also throw in financial issues. In-laws have probably made it clear that they were willing to put up with his shit when it was just him and HAW. But now that a kid’s on the way, they’re laying down the law and telling his lazy ass to get a job and start pulling his weight.
Y’all, seriously, Chuck thrives on attention. Just report him and block. When you try to engage him with clever retorts in his mind you’re just validating his existence and giving him a palpable feeling of accomplishment.
This, right here, is experimental proof of what I was talking about above. https://t.co/2mQSAvo1CQ pic.twitter.com/gkNbdPy2am
— Frank & Steinly (@goddamnedfrank) November 1, 2016
@DavidCornDC @MotherJones Do everyone a favor and step into traffic.
— CoachB (@coachbryer) November 1, 2016
re: #137 goddamnedfrank
Saw the headlines of stories that covered that Nature paper.
Anecdotally, it has been illustrated many times with salesmen - they do better when they believe what they sell. This gets manifested in religion too.
In regards to the wingnut stream of outrages on social media - I don’t know how much any single one believes, but I do suspect there are many people who once they close off their bubble and only listen to hate-talk radio and Fox News, are no longer open to doing research that will be able to convince them otherwise.
Putin’s Lapdog @DavidCornDC @JoeMyGod @MotherJones pic.twitter.com/1scPjsRh1J
— queertardo (@queertardo) November 1, 2016
October is over, and this year the Arctic sea ice extent is at a record low, and there isn’t much thick ice up against the Canadian archipelago.
None of which makes headlines anymore, especially this week.
They are though signs that the world surface is getting warmer.
This also was a story yesterday:
Study blames warm winter for low snowpack levels
The western United States set records for low winter snowpack levels in 2015, and a new report blames high temperatures rather than low precipitation levels, according to a new study.
Greenhouse gases appear to be a major contributor to the high temperatures, according to the study published Monday in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
Scientists looked at snow-measurement sites in California, Oregon, Washington, western Nevada and western Idaho. They found that in 2015, more than 80 percent of those sites experienced record low snowpack levels as a result of much warmer-than-average temperatures.
[…]
#TrumpSexTape pic.twitter.com/c7YmThBW4S
— aceoaces (@aceoaces) November 1, 2016
re: #143 Ace-o-aces
We’ll see what dominates the news cycle on Tuesday.
Probably the World Series game.
Besides that, looking at headlines now on aggregators, all the surprises dropped Monday about Drumpfskind appear to not have made a dent.
re: #139 freetoken
Saw the headlines of stories that covered that Nature paper.
Anecdotally, it has been illustrated many times with salesmen - they do better when they believe what they sell. This gets manifested in religion too.
In regards to the wingnut stream of outrages on social media - I don’t know how much any single one believes, but I do suspect there are many people who once they close off their bubble and only listen to hate-talk radio and Fox News, are no longer open to doing research that will be able to convince them otherwise.
I discovered the phenomenon as a young child trying to scam my parents about some bullshit thing during a long road trip. I can’t remember what I was trying to get away with but I clearly remember there was a moment when I realized my reactions to having my lie challenged evoked an initial genuine feeling that the lie was true and they were wrong. At that point without even being scolded I pulled back, realizing the danger at play in attempting to continue the ruse.
When I grew up I just kind of considered that a basic phase of development that everyone must go through.
Clearly not everyone goes through it.
Hey y’all, there was a silly horse race on today so I got the day off and went on a field trip with the family.
Cheviot Beach pic.twitter.com/bXixFwVkBo
— Alyosha (@mediocremensch) November 1, 2016
The beach where our PM, Harold Holt went missing in rough weather in 1967. *spooky voice* some say it was a Chinese sub what took ‘im.
Nepean Point pic.twitter.com/XAYEzRc4ps
— Alyosha (@mediocremensch) November 1, 2016
Nepean Heathland pic.twitter.com/58iLVsnl8a
— Alyosha (@mediocremensch) November 1, 2016
It was pretty cool. The point has a complex of fortifications and gun positions dating back to 1889. The coolest part was standing in the gun emplacement where a six inch cannon fired the first shot in WWI from any Commonwealth country. It was an attempt to get a German ship, which was trying to escape the port, to surrender.
Maybe that’s Vlad’s plan: Drop the sex tape the day before the election and watch America fall into anarchy from millions being hospitalized due to projectile vomiting.
re: #16 Targetpractice
How bored is Nate Silver? He’s positing a replay of 2000, where Hillary could win the popular vote but Trump take the electoral college.
re: #20 Targetpractice
And when the worst-case scenarios don’t play out, he shrugs his shoulders and says that he only went by what his model showed, he didn’t say it was a definite possibility.
Saying this has a chance of roughly 10% is not positing it as a probable scenario.
re: #76 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
@wesearchr @PRyan Moonman Moonman can’t you see?
— Nordic Fascist (@NordicFascist3) October 30, 2016
re: #151 Nyet
heh. I didn’t notice the moonman missing from the banner. What happened, i wonder?
re: #152 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
heh. I didn’t notice the moonman missing from the banner. What happened, i wonder?
It’s there.
re: #141 Targetpractice
GAH! Wish it into the cornfield, Anthony!
I should have put that painting behind a HIDE tag. /s
Mr. Jim Wright of Stonekettle Station hits another out of the park, on why he is supporting Hillary Clinton even though he personally dislikes her.
Of note, he says he is going to personally attend the polls November 8, both to vote and as a check on those who might try to intimidate voters - people he does not know because he only recently moved to Florida.
He is standing up for the Constitution he so long affirmed he would uphold and defend, even now. Bravo.
Pro-Trump neo-fascists put up a pseudo-billboard in WI with the Moonman, symbol of killing non-whites https://t.co/hBeLvlGy34 #Antifa
— Sergey Romanov (@S_ergeyR_omanov) November 1, 2016
Snowden could earn himself a pardon by stealing the Trump sex tape and sending it west. How he might get out of Russia to collect is up to him.
Germany has its own sovereign citizen movement problem, exposed after a police officer was shot.
Who are the Reichsbürger? They do not actually exist as an organization as such. They are instead a very fragmented and somewhat contradictory scene without a leader or hierarchy. The only things that unite the movement are the belief that the German Empire still exists and the refusal to acknowledge the Federal Republic of Germany as a state. In the opinion of the Reichsbürger, the German Reich still exists, as do the country’s 1937 borders. They consider the Federal Republic of Germany to instead be a limited liability company.
Some of the Reichsbürger have their own “substitute documents” like the Reichs-ID, which they carry with them as though it were an official identity card. They have even founded states like the “Exile Government of the German Reich” or the “Free State of Prussia”. The “imperial citizens” deny the legitimacy of state institutions such as courts or police and do not accept state decisions. They often do not pay taxes or fines and frequently annoy authorities with their formal complaints or long, written statements.
Fireball seen over Japan this morning. Video from a car dashcam and a security camera.
Scientists say it is likely a piece of an asteroid or perhaps a piece of space junk. (Video lasts about ten seconds)
re: #145 goddamnedfrank
Think of method actors. Good acting is based on real life, and that includes real emotions.
Even though the purpose is to present a fictional tale.
TBS is offering up an offbeat comedy, the pilot of which is on Youtube:
I found it whimsically humorous.
But some appear to be offended:
Spending all day and most of the evening at Starbucks consuming sugar laden coffee beverages is an exceptionally bad choice when it comes to trying to sleep.
RBS
re: #158 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
Now I see it.
It’s actually the McDonald’s Mac Tonight moon from the 80’s.
It may be especially painful to James Comey that some are comparing him to J. Edgar Hoover https://t.co/biClRaAleh
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 1, 2016
Oh boo fucking hoo for poor Comey. If he cared about his legacy he should’ve obeyed the goddamned law and not shit all over the election. https://t.co/8iNi6VEPPj
— Frank & Steinly (@goddamnedfrank) November 1, 2016
re: #163 goddamnedfrank
It’s actually the McDonald’s Mac Tonight moon from the 80’s.
[Embedded content]
The symbol has been co-opted by the alt right.
knowyourmeme.com
.@liguy743 Yep. Here is more about the Moonman: https://t.co/pB1MH1VRco
— Sergey Romanov (@S_ergeyR_omanov) November 1, 2016
Pro-Trump neo-fascists put up a pseudo-billboard in WI with the Moonman, symbol of killing non-whites https://t.co/hBeLvlGy34 #Antifa
— Sergey Romanov (@S_ergeyR_omanov) November 1, 2016
The Moonman song goes: “Moonman, Moonman, can’t you see, S***s and N*****s need to hang from trees”. https://t.co/N9AShiLzU4
— Sergey Romanov (@S_ergeyR_omanov) November 1, 2016
re: #164 Nyet
Not anymore.
I like how most of the grommets aren’t doing shit, because they couldn’t even find a decent frame with a top bar to mount the vinyl banner to and didn’t bother to rig a guide wire. The few grommets that are being used are obviously way overloaded and are going to quickly tear out. Even if they had hung it correctly that kind of application also calls for semicircular cut flaps / vent holes to mitigate wind shear. Amateur hour.
/Spent a year working at a sign shop.
re: #168 goddamnedfrank
I like how most of the grommets aren’t doing shit, because they couldn’t even find a decent frame with a top bar to mount the vinyl banner to and didn’t bother to rig a guide wire. The few grommets that are being used are obviously way overloaded and are going to quickly tear out. Even if they had hung it correctly that kind of application also calls for vent holes to mitigate wind shear. Amateur hour.
/Spent a year working at a sign shop.
It’s a safety hazard, if it blows across the highway into traffic.
Blast from the past:
@realDonaldTrump just shut up and go away. jesus christ, haven’t you hurt our country enough?
— Game of Thornes (@GeoffThorne) May 3, 2016
re: #169 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
It’s a safety hazard, if it blows across the highway into traffic.
It also, as previously established, looks worse than hammered shit. It’s like someone put on a design clinic and this was the example of everything you should never do. It’s a clusterfuck of epic proportions. Whoever modified the original graphic file for production was a fucking moron, it’s no joke the worst thing I’ve ever seen actually get produced. Take the stupid frogman with the rifle, notice how the top of his hair and body below the sign is missing? The original design had him on top of the wall with the top of his head cut off by the top edge of the image but the dimensions were all wrong for a billboard / banner application so they quickly just had someone move the rifleman frog and drag him down from where he originally was above the wall to his current position popping above the “US Border” sign. Same thing with the top of the moonman, all of which happened because the idiots didn’t save their last work in progress with layers.
And all of that ignores the horrid color palate, the basic layout and cancer at the heart of its conception.
Democrats use 1870 Anti Ku Klux Klan Act to sue Donald Trump and Roger Stone:
Democrats claim that Trump, Stone and the state Republican parties are in violation of the 1870s-era Ku Klux Klan Act, which outlaws private conspiracies from threatening voters.
re: #171 goddamnedfrank
cancer at the heart of its conception.
Chuck as cancer is a good metaphor. /
I did not need to wake up to this news:
Exclusive Racial/Ethnic Breakdown of 2016 Early Votes Cast (EIP & VBM) in Florida, with… https://t.co/gccynTByEn pic.twitter.com/ZmINSMEDDs
— daniel a. smith (@electionsmith) November 1, 2016
This documents quite a drop in the share of African-Americans among Florida’s early voters: https://t.co/1KMNVPyZnS
— Taniel (@Taniel) November 1, 2016
Also strong evidence this is taking place in NC/OH/VA https://t.co/NChNiheqvM
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 1, 2016
It looks like African Americans are not turning out to vote.
re: #174 Ziggy_TARDIS
I did not need to wake up to this news:
[Embedded content]
It looks like African Americans are not turning out to vote. We may actually lose this.
Calm down.
re: #176 goddamnedfrank
Is there something I am missing?
re: #177 Ziggy_TARDIS
Is there something I am missing?
Yes. For example, saying “We may actually lose this” does not add anything useful or informational to the discussion.
re: #179 Nyet
Ok, the last part is me panicking. It seems AA participation is WAY down though compared to 2012, and 2008, which could really hurt us.
re: #174 Ziggy_TARDIS
Electionsmith’s research, according to their “About Us” page, are all based on the alleged expertise of one guy:
electionsmith.files.wordpress.com (dot) pdf
(CV of Daniel Smith, professor at the University of Florida)
His CV according to the University of Florida is considerably less fleshed out:
africa.ufl.edu
What is claimed at Electionsmith (Professor in Political Science Department since 2010) is different than his page at UF (associate professor, expertise in Ghana)
In other words, who the heck is this guy? Never heard of him. His personal Webpage (linked at the UF page) only goes to another UF page with no more information.
re: #180 Ziggy_TARDIS
Ok, the last part is me panicking. It seems AA participation is WAY down though compared to 2012, and 2008, which could really hurt us.
It is not Nov. 8 yet. Calm down. Seriously.
re: #180 Ziggy_TARDIS
Ok, the last part is me panicking. It seems AA participation is WAY down though compared to 2012, and 2008, which could really hurt us.
Concern troll. Does this blog have a block feature?
re: #177 Ziggy_TARDIS
Is there something I am missing?
Lots. Southern African Americans traditionally turn out for early voting en masse after Church on Sunday. It’s a tradition. In 2012 there were only two early voting days at this point, both on a weekend. He’s comparing that to a much longer period this year, with most EV days so far falling during the week. Lastly, you’re looking at percentages of the total, not total numbers of voters in each category.
re: #183 John Carter
I’m not a concern troll. I have, among other things, an Anxiety Disorder that causes me to get panicky in a huge hurry.
Especially now, since I am under stress other than the election.
re: #184 goddamnedfrank
Ok. That makes me feel a little better.
re: #183 John Carter
Concern troll. Does this blog have a block feature?
Don’t really want to bash on Ziggy here, but the information about the site and its expertise literally took me less than ten seconds to find. It took me longer to type my response than finding the information on this Professor Smith.
All information on the Internet is not equal, Ziggy. This guy literally has no track record, and neither does ElectionSmith (considering Professor Smith is their only source, a name like ElectionSmith sounds like it is his own site).
And what do you know, it is his own Website.
Really, before going off the handle, you really need to use the tools in front of you (a computer) to find information rather than simply accept any ridiculous notion that comes across your desk.
Contact Information
Registrant Contact
Name: Daniel A. Smith
Organization: Daniel Smith
Mailing Address: 234 Anderson Hall, Office 003, Gainesville FL 32611 US
Phone: +1.3522836482
Ext:
Fax:
Fax Ext:
Email:electionsmith@gmail.com
Admin Contact
Name: Daniel A. Smith
Organization: Daniel Smith
Mailing Address: 234 Anderson Hall, Office 003, Gainesville FL 32611 US
Phone: +1.3522836482
Ext:
Fax:
Fax Ext:
Email:electionsmith@gmail.com
Tech Contact
Name: MyDiscountDomains Email us before you call.
Organization: mydiscountdomains.com
Mailing Address: 316 Cozumel CT NA NA, Laguna Beach FL 92651 US
Phone: +1.9494978372
Ext:
Fax: +1.9496138447
Fax Ext:
Email:sales@myDiscountDomains.com
re: #16 Targetpractice
How bored is Nate Silver? He’s positing a replay of 2000, where Hillary could win the popular vote but Trump take the electoral college.
Its slightly possible, since Trump’s rebound has put him back in the lead in Az, Ia, Oh and Maine’s 2nd congressional district, and made Nv, Fl and NC into tossups. If he can flip NH as well, which is small and elastic, Trump can get to 270. While it sounds like low probability to win a bunch of states that are tossups, since support across states is correlated and not completely independent of each other a Trump surge this last week could flip them all.
Looks like that NYTimes story hasn’t stopped the spread of the Trump as Manchurian Candidate story.
Report: Spy told FBI that Russia has been “cultivating, supporting and assisting” Trump https://t.co/GrN20onp7l pic.twitter.com/b9If1hSQEG
— The Hill (@thehill) November 1, 2016
re: #157 Anymouse
Germany has its own sovereign citizen movement problem, exposed after a police officer was shot.
They consider the Federal Republic of Germany to instead be a limited liability company.
In that respect, I have to agree with them.
They also consider Germany an “occupied nation” and refuse to accept the authority of the “occupying powers”.
But yes, they are are a bunch of whacked-our f*cks, but I suspect that if they try to occupy federal property, they will not be allowed to get off without so much a slap on the wrist…
re: #181 Anymouse
Smith seems to be legit. At least I don’t see a reason to seriously distrust his data.
re: #190 Wendell Zurkowitz ((slave to the waffle light))
They consider the Federal Republic of Germany to instead be a limited liability company.
In that respect, I have to agree with them.
wut?
re: #191 Nyet
Smith seems to be legit. At least I don’t see a reason to seriously distrust his data.
Where’d he get it?
ABC: this race changed 13 points in a week
NBC: this race changed zero points in a week
IBD: we’ll just keep it at one point until later— Morning No (@jesseltaylor) November 1, 2016
re: #192 Nyet
wut?
Owned and run by the banks and insurance companies…but in that sense, no different to any other nation-state, which simply serves to collect taxes from its residents (but not its corporations)
re: #193 Anymouse
Where’d he get it?
Your question can be answered by simply following the original link.
re: #195 Wendell Zurkowitz ((slave to the waffle light))
Owned and run by the banks and insurance companies…but in that sense, no different to any other nation-state, which simply serves to collect taxes from its residents (but not its corporations)
Um. You understand that they’re not being figurative and actually think BRD is a GmbH?
This article by Smith seems interesting.
Lastly remember that Trump still hasn’t got jack shit in the way of ground game infrastructure or experience.
Clinton can lose Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, and Nevada and still win. To me that seems like the worst case scenario that’s even possible.
re: #198 Nyet
Abstract
In mid-2011, the Florida legislature reduced the state’s early voting period from fourteen days to eight and eliminated
the final Sunday of early voting. We compare observed voting patterns in 2012 with those in the 2008 General
Election and find that racial/ethnic minorities, registered Democrats, and those without party affiliation had significant
early voting participation drops and that voters who cast ballots on the final Sunday in 2008 were disproportionately
unlikely to cast a valid ballot in 2012. Florida’s decision to truncate early voting may have diminished participation rates
of those already least likely to vote.
re: #196 Nyet
Your question can be answered by simply following the original link.
Okay I went back and read the entire blog post again.
So my question stands: Where’d he get his information. It does not say other than this:
Here are the latest figures I’ve calculated by linking the statewide September 30, 2016 voter file with daily Early In-Person and Vote-by-Mail returns, and comparing these figures with data from 2012 at the same point in time (that is, through Sunday, October 30, 2016, and Sunday, October 28, 2012).
Let’s break that down.
a) Statewide September 30 (over a month old) voter file, compared to votes in 2012 and 2016. No links to these voter files, no information about where he got his Early In-Person and Vote-by-Mail returns, or how he would determine those votes are African-American votes (I don’t recall a “race” block on my ballot but maybe Florida is different).
re: #200 Nyet
Our analysis provides considerable evidence that
Sawyer and other critics of Florida’s plan to reduce its
early voting period were substantially correct.
Notwithstanding the fact that the aggregate number of
early voting hours remained at ninety-six in many of
Florida’s sixty-seven counties including its five Section
5 counties (Bousquet 2012a), the voting rights of racial
and ethnic minorities appear to have been disproportionately
hampered by the reduction in the number of early
voting days and particularly the elimination of the final
Sunday of early voting. Our comparison of early voting
patterns in 2008 with 2012 reveals that racial and ethnic
minorities as well as Democrats and unaffiliated voters
were far disproportionately less likely to vote early in
2012 than in 2008. The cause of this drop is likely a combination
of campaign effects and the reduction by
approximately one-third in the number of early voting
days in Florida in conjunction with the elimination of the
final Sunday of voting. These changes by the Florida
legislature clearly made early voting less convenient and
less accessible for Florida voters with inflexible schedules,
and this is consistent with our analysis that reveals
that early voters who cast their ballots on the final
Sunday of early voting in 2008 were considerably less
likely to turn out to vote in 2012.
re: #201 Anymouse
He doesn’t have to provide you with links.
re: #198 Nyet
This article by Smith seems interesting.
Requires a sign-in or a payment. Got a summary?
re: #203 Nyet
He doesn’t have to provide you with links.
That’s true he doesn’t. He can simply tell me to accept what he writes without evidence.
That is not how assertions work. You make an assertion, you provide the evidence.
How many times have we seen people here “drill down into the crosstabs” on polls to find information, or the source of it?
I put no stock in anyone’s analysis who won’t provide where they got the data for their assertions (compare Sam Wang and Nate Silver, who provide links to everything they analyse.)
re: #174 Ziggy_TARDIS
I did not need to wake up to this news:
[Embedded content]
It looks like African Americans are not turning out to vote. We may actually lose this.
I don’t see what the total number of voters was each year. Is it possible that the same net number of African-Americans are voting but a larger net of Hispanics and Whites are taking advantage of early voting?
re: #194 Ziggy_TARDIS
ABC: this race changed 13 points in a week
This, by the way, is where Silver’s model freaks out via the trendline adjustment. The more a poll produces insane wild swings like this completely out of touch with the rest of the average the more his model treats it like mana from heaven. Makes no sense.
re: #205 Anymouse
That’s true he doesn’t. He can simply tell me to accept what he writes without evidence.
That is not how assertions work. You make an assertion, you provide the evidence.
How many times have we seen people here “drill down into the crosstabs” on polls to find information, or the source of it?
I put no stock in anyone’s analysis who won’t provide where they got the data for their assertions (compare Sam Wang and Nate Silver, who provide links to everything they analyse.)
There’s a random internet person’s opinion, and a research of a professor of political science with a PhD who’s published a shitload of peer-reviewed papers on exactly this topic. Wow, I can’t decide which to trust more.
@kylegriffin1 nobody is gonna talk about this one. Everyone is going to focus on ABC.
— Bad Bad Hombre (@TwiTati) November 1, 2016
re: #197 Nyet
Um. You understand that they’re not being figurative and actually think BRD is a GmbH?
Yes, I understand that these idiots have no sense of irony.
But there is one thing that stuck in my craw about German reunification: According to the West German Constitution, the country was supposed to reunify by dissolving both the German Federal Republic (West) and the German Democratic Republic (East) and creating an entirely new Republic.
Instead, the West just “annexed” the East. And Allianz, Germany’s largest insurance company, acquired a 51% share of the East German state insurance company in one fell swoop.
The government offered an exchange rate for East German Marks that was beneficial for small private savings up to around $25,000, but basically guaranteed that nearly every company in the East went bankrupt, whereupon they were taken over by Western investors.
So there is some degree of substance to their claim that Germany is a corporate state.
re: #210 Wendell Zurkowitz ((slave to the waffle light))
They are not claiming that it’s a corporate state.
They’re claiming that it’s a literal LLC.
re: #208 Nyet
There’s a random internet person’s opinion, and a research of a professor of political science with a PhD who’s published a shitload of peer-reviewed papers on exactly this topic. Wow, I can’t decide which to trust more.
Random person (me): yes.
(Research) Professor of political science specialising in Ghana studies, who has a different CV on the Electionsmith Website from his CV at the University of Florida, still doesn’t mean jack.
He still provided no evidence of his assertions. That is an argument from authority (a logical fallacy).
Dr. Mercola and Dr. Wakefield make all sorts of assertions too, based on the Dr. part of their assertions. That doesn’t make their assertions true, just because they have PhD’s.
I only have a high school diploma, but I understand that providing the evidence of your assertions is what makes real evidence, not simply bleating “I have a doctorate.”
re: #211 Nyet
They are not claiming that it’s a corporate state.
They’re claiming that it’s a literal LLC.
I understand that fine distinction.
If West Germany were a corporation, I would have invested in shares long ago…
There needs to be a push to get Millenials and African Americans to vote in Florida.
re: #214 Ziggy_TARDIS
There needs to be a push to get Millenials and African Americans to vote in Florida.
Dude, what do you think the campaign is doing? Sitting on its hands?
re: #214 Ziggy_TARDIS
There needs to be a push to get Millenials and African Americans to vote in Florida.
How about we push to get middle age and older white people to stop being assholes instead of hoping young folks and minorities save us from ourselves?
As ABC notes in poll story… https://t.co/lg7YqCOvw8 pic.twitter.com/2Otoxqy161
— Carrie Dann (@CarrieNBCNews) November 1, 2016
re: #215 Timothy Watson
Because it definitely looks like they are under-voting compared to 2012.
re: #216 goddamnedfrank
How about we push to get middle age and older white people to stop being assholes instead of hoping young folks and minorities save us from ourselves?
Not much you can do about them with 7 days left until election day. :)
But you can try to knock on every likely Dem out there for GOTV.
Seriously instead of freaking out you should go find a phone bank in your area and do some GOTV work. It’s not only more productive but it feels better than sitting around kvetching.
re: #212 Anymouse
re: #212 Anymouse
Random person (me): yes.
(Research) Professor of political science specialising in Ghana studies, who has a different CV on the Electionsmith Website from his CV at the University of Florida, still doesn’t mean jack.
Yes, a random person on the internet who can’t even google properly.
“What is claimed at Electionsmith (Professor in Political Science Department since 2010) is different than his page at UF (associate professor, expertise in Ghana)”
Background
Daniel A. Smith, Ph.D.
Professor & UF Research Foundation Professor
Graduate Coordinator
Political Science Internship CoordinatorAreas of Interest/Research
State Politics, Direct Democracy, Voting Rights & Elections
Daniel A. Smith - Professor
PEER REVIEWED ARTICLES & BOOK CHAPTERS
Joseph T. Eagleton and Daniel A. Smith, “Drawing the Line: Public Support for Amendments 5 and 6,” in Seth C. Mckee, Jigsaw Puzzle Politics in the Sunshine State (Gainesville: University Press of Florida), pp. 109-125.
Michael C. Herron and Daniel A. Smith, “Precinct Closing Times in Florida during the 2012 General Election,” Election Law Journal (forthcoming, 2015).
Michael C. Herron and Daniel A. Smith, “Race, Shelby County, and the Voter Information Verification Act in North Carolina,” Florida State University Law Review (forthcoming, 2015).
William D. Hicks, Seth C. McKee, Mitchell Sellers, and Daniel A. Smith. 2015. “A Principle or a Strategy? Voter Identification Laws and Partisan Competition in the American States,” Political Research Quarterly 68: 18-33.
Michael C. Herron and Daniel A. Smith. 2014. “Race, Party, and the Consequences of Restricting Early Voting in Florida in the 2012 General Election,” Political Research Quarterly 67: 646-665.
Diana Forster and Daniel Smith. 2014. “Environmental Policies on the Ballot,” in Yael Wolinsky-Nahmias, ed., Changing Climate Politics: US Policies and Civic Action. Washington, DC: CQ Press.
Michael C. Herron and Daniel A. Smith. 2013. “The Effects of House Bill 1355 on Voter Registration in Florida,” State Politics & Policy Quarterly 13: 279-305.
Josh Brodbeck, Matthew T. Harrigan, and Daniel A. Smith, “Citizen and lobbyist access to Members of Congress: Who gets and who gives?” Interest Groups and Advocacy 2: 323-42.
Michael C. Herron and Daniel A. Smith. 2012. “Souls to the Polls: Early Voting in Florida in the Shadow of House Bill 1355,” Election Law Journal 11: 331-47.
From the CV pdf at UoF site:
Ph.D., Political Science, 1994
Major Fields: American Politics, Political Theory, and Public Policy[…]
ACADEMIC EMPLOYMENT
University of Florida, Gainesville
Professor, Department of Political Science, 2010-
University of Florida Research Foundation Professor, 2010-2012
Graduate Coordinator, 2014-
Associate Chair, 2013-2014
Director, Graduate Program in Political Campaigning, 2007-2011
Affiliate Professor, Center for African Studies, 2010-
Internship Coordinator, Department of Political Science, 2005-
Associate Professor (with tenure), Department of Political Science, 2003-2010
Affiliate Associate Professor, Center for African Studies, 2008-09
University of Denver
Associate Professor (with tenure), Department of Political Science, 2000-2003
Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, 1994-2000
Director, University of Denver/University of Ghana Study Abroad Program, 1995-2002
University of Ghana
Senior Fulbright Scholar, Department of Political Science, 2000-01
West Virginia University
Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, 1993-1994
Beloit College
Visiting Lecturer, Warner Mills Teaching Fellow, Department of Government, 1992-1993
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Teaching Assistant, Department of Political Science, 1988; 1990-1991
Research Assistant, Center on Wisconsin Strategy, 1989-1991
Project Assistant, Department of Political Science, 1989-1990
—————————————————
He still provided no evidence of his assertions. That is an argument from authority (a logical fallacy).
Nice try. But we’re not writing a paper for a peer-reviewed journal here, we’re discussing things on a blog, and an expert’s calculations are more probably true than not (how to interpret them is another matter). The data is authoritative enough for the purposes of present discussion, and that’s all that matters.
Well, I am off to bed.
As always, the discussion here is worthwhile and informative. Thanks, y’all.
@Green_Footballs @theonetruechuck Tell him to suck your blue check mark and ignore him. (theonetruecuck - what kind of handle is that?)
— Sean McCabe (@darthstar99) November 1, 2016
re: #119 Anymouse
Miami Herald takes Senator Marco Rubio to task in an op-ed:
It gets better as it goes on… .
Written by Carl Hiaasen, no less. Wow.
Also, FYI, Clinton is doing better with white voters this year than Obama did against Romney. So chill out and get shit done.
re: #225 goddamnedfrank
Also, FYI, Clinton is doing better with white voters this year than Obama did against Romney. So chill out and get shit done.
Good point.
re: #217 Ziggy_TARDIS
I just realized, holy shit is the ABC poll historically inaccurate.
Trump is, appropriately, presumed innocent of various charges unless they can be proven. His opponent is not granted this presumption.
— EMAILS! (@mattyglesias) November 1, 2016
re: #227 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
@TheOneTrueChuck has been suspended.
BAM!
I liked it better when Pamela Geller was Charles’ nemesis. She was all kinds of crazy…but entertaining. This guy’s just a few twitter bans away from getting caught masturbating by an elementary school. There’s nothing endearing about him.
re: #228 Ziggy_TARDIS
I just realized, holy shit is the ABC poll historically inaccurate.
Think about how beautifully boring and uneventful this election would be if W’s idiot brother Jeb! hadn’t been such a non-starter.
— Sean McCabe (@darthstar99) November 1, 2016
re: #119 Anymouse
Miami Herald takes Senator Marco Rubio to task in an op-ed:
It gets better as it goes on… .
Blistering article on Rubio.
Hiaasen is amazing. He is one of my “buy it in hardcover” authors.
re: #228 Ziggy_TARDIS
I just realized, holy shit is the ABC poll historically inaccurate.
Better yet.
Hillary’s emails would literally have to say this for it to be a close call. pic.twitter.com/i46k3XeArh
— Chris Kelly (@imchriskelly) October 31, 2016
re: #230 darthstar
I liked it better when Pamela Geller was Charles’ nemesis. She was all kinds of crazy…but entertaining. This guy’s just a few twitter bans away from getting caught masturbating by an elementary school. There’s nothing endearing about him.
His most recent account was truly vile. I preserved most of them at gotnwes.com. He posted a few more I didn’t include before he apparently called it a night. Or he passed out.
That’s Twitter 24 Chuck 0 After 17 months, Chuck C. Johnson returns to Twitter yet again, suspended yet again https://t.co/7hQhVCYnVj
— GotNwes (@GotNwes) November 1, 2016
@TheOneTrueChuck is now TheZeroTrueChuck. Or maybe just TheZero. @Green_Footballs https://t.co/XzK9ZHZabJ
— wheat-dogg (@liguy743) November 1, 2016
Nice to wake up, check LGF and see Ginger Snapped shut down by Twitter yet again. Now how long is is going to take for Twitter to shut down WeSerchr?
@BumpItMcCarthy Fine with me if it lights a fire under certain people’s asses.
— Frank & Steinly (@goddamnedfrank) November 1, 2016
re: #17 Charles Johnson
I expect Chuck to be suspended again by the morning.
Bingo!
@Green_Footballs @theonetruechuck Another rage furby bites the dust. pic.twitter.com/KRwVwWm6H1
— Dr. Matt (@DrMatthew) November 1, 2016
Oh I wonder how Ginger Snapped is gonna make an even bigger fool of himself on his Reddit AMA…
Is “selective sealioning” a thing?
1. If you don’t like the results provided by an expert, try to find some reason to dismiss the expert. It doesn’t matter if the expert doesn’t seem biased against you on the first look. There’s always something.
For example, google for his university page, find an old, out-of-date one, which lists his old title.
Do not bother to search further, run with the very first result you’ve gotten.
Voila, an expert becomes a fraud who lies about his affiliation!
2. Ask for each step of the calculation leading to the result you don’t like. Question each step. A word of an expert doesn’t mean anything if you don’t like the result, it’s worth as much as that of a random person. So get down to brass tacks. It doesn’t matter that the expert appears to know what they’re doing (like having many peer-reviewed papers on the topic) and they’re not making an extraordinary claim but performing a mundane calculation. You might not be able to evaluate the raw data, but demand it anyway. If it’s not provided, declare victory.
3. Do not repeat the procedure if you like the results.
re: #72 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
I am doing an AMA tomorrow on Reddit with the donald
— Chuck Johnson (@theonetruechuck) November 1, 2016
I’m guessing this is bullshit.
New from GotNwes: The last tweets from the now suspended Chuck C. Johnson Twitter account #24 https://t.co/lH6kS7gCvF
— GotNwes (@GotNwes) November 1, 2016
re: #232 MsJ
Blistering article on Rubio.
Hiaasen is amazing. He is one of my “buy it in hardcover” authors.
It’s a good one for sure.
re: #244 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
Sadly, no. He says he’ll be there at 7 pm.
Shit plastered I have to think.
re: #244 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
Sadly, no. He says he’ll be there at 7 pm.
When he says “…AMA tomorrow on Reddit with the donald”, does that mean with Donald Trump?
note: I have no idea how Reddit works, so my questions may be ignorant.
#Breaking: Police say 6 are dead after bus crash in #Baltimore. No kids on board school bus https://t.co/uS2FO3sJzs pic.twitter.com/en9eNyqZE1
— WPRI 12 (@wpri12) November 1, 2016
re: #244 wheat-dogghazi-mailgate
He can’t help but lie even in the smallest details:
I’m also responsible for giving you the Malik Obama show. I brought both Malik Obama and Bill Clinton rape victim, Kathy Shelton, to the Presidential debates.
re: #246 Dr. Matt
Not with The Donald J. Trump, but on a forum on reedit called The_Donald. Reedit is like a forum run by two different Charles Johnsons. You find some REALLY COOL stuff there…
…and you also find turds on the floor.
re: #246 Dr. Matt
When he says “…AMA tomorrow on Reddit with the donald”, does that mean with Donald Trump?
No, there is a group (or ‘sub-reddit’ as the kids call it) called The_Donald that will be hosting the AMA. The_Donald is all right wing red meat all the time, my advice, don’t go in there, they have cooties.
re: #251 jeffreyw
Oh, man, that looks good!
he is awake:
Look at the way Crooked Hillary is handling the e-mail case and the total mess she is in. She is unfit to be president. Bad judgement!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 1, 2016
Wow, now leading in @ABC /@washingtonpost Poll 46 to 45. Gone up 12 points in two weeks, mostly before the Crooked Hillary blow-up!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 1, 2016
Crooked Hillary should not be allowed to run for president. She deleted 33,000 e-mails AFTER getting a subpoena from U.S. Congress. RIGGED!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 1, 2016
I am feeling incredibly queasy. Not sure how I am going to eat today.
So, everyone remembers that nearly $1 billion loss Trump took on his tax return, which could have wiped out his need to pay federal income tax for nearly 20 years?
Well, folks have been digging around Trump’s bankruptcy filings and other court papers, and they have found a few more curious things that may help inform Trump’s tax mess. Tax Notes reports a bunch of curiosities with Trump’s tax loss and its relationship to various bankruptcy filings and debt offerings. Tax Notes refers to the Tax Policy Center’s analysis.
In fact, it suggests that Trump was stretching the tax law beyond all reasonable measures (and could explain why he’s constantly under audit). For one thing, Trump didn’t just engage in a partnership equity for debt swap. He inserted a funding corporation into that structure, which means that the debt that was exchanged wasn’t even the debt of the partnership. This could have helped Trump avoid nearly half a billion dollars right there, but it also raises questions as to why the losses weren’t zeroed out when the debt connected to them was discharged.
We’re talking about creative financing and tax practice that was intended to shield Trump from all kinds of tax liability, and in the process appears to have stretched the bounds of what is considered acceptable tax practice (go figure).
OMG, my heart is exploding right now. Dad of the year just passed out candy to everyone on the flight so his 3 year old could trick or treat pic.twitter.com/vfsAcYNrhr
— Stephanie Kahan (@stephaniekahan) November 1, 2016
re: #257 Ziggy_TARDIS
This too shall pass.
This election conclusively demonstrates why early voting should be limited dramatically.
— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) November 1, 2016
Or just voting https://t.co/2mb77xeNuH
— Seth Mandel (@SethAMandel) November 1, 2016
Ah, conservatives afraid of voters and voting - and October surprises that might not have their intended effect.
re: #261 lawhawk
Ah, conservatives afraid of voters and voting - and October surprises that might not have their intended effect.
What this election is demonstrating is that white men are allowed to get away with a lot.
re: #261 lawhawk
[Embedded content]
Ah, conservatives afraid of voters and voting - and October surprises that might not have their intended effect.
He really is a whiny little asshole isn’t he? He would not care about early voting if the numbers looked bad for Clinton.
re: #257 Ziggy_TARDIS
I am feeling incredibly queasy. Not sure how I am going to eat today.
Don’t get angry. Don’t get mad. Don’t boo. Don’t get too stressed. Vote. Do what you can to help others get to the polls. Make sure people know the issues, especially on down ballot races.
There’s way too much poll volatility to draw any meaningful conclusion other than pollsters are up to their usual end-of-election season efforts to try and get to where they think the outcome will be.
The odds of Clinton winning are still quite high, and that means making sure getting out to vote, and voting GOPers out of office, especially in the Senate, where they’re already pushing for 4 more years of obstructionism, particularly on judicial nominees. This cannot be tolerated or allowed, when the GOP has spent years obstructing everything the sitting president has done, and obstructed the confirmation of a presidential supreme court nominee simply because he’s the president’s choice- not because he’s unqualified or anything of the sort.
@benshapiro It’s almost like you’re rooting for the antisemites’ candidate to win…
— Sergey Romanov (@S_ergeyR_omanov) November 1, 2016
re: #265 Nyet
Ben just knows - knows - that when all of “those” people are lined up against the wall, he’ll get to stand with the true patriots (tm).
Good @MarcACaputo look at weak African American turnout in FL early vote https://t.co/q0Tt306ZU7
— Molly Ball (@mollyesque) November 1, 2016
Not sure how much to read into this, but if the Clinton ground game is dropping the ball on AA voters that would be reason for Dem concern https://t.co/hyvkcr9T8n
— Michael Cohen (@speechboy71) November 1, 2016
Far more concerned about this than ABC poll. https://t.co/AEHwLaMJJ5
— Ben Yelin (@byelin) November 1, 2016
I will be going down to the Clinton office in Dallas shortly.
I will see what I can do.
Trump is losing a gargantuan 64% to 28% in the Philly suburbs, new F&M poll finds. That’s the ballgame if it holds.
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 1, 2016
re: #267 Ziggy_TARDIS
One of the reasons for turnout among African Americans being down, particularly in NC, is that the NC GOP has managed to reduce the number of polling places, making it more difficult to go vote. That has consequences.
The GOP is sustained by lousy voting turnout. They need to suppress voter turnout to ensure continued control in Congress, and even at the state level.
What does D+10 mean?
The issue is not that Trump Leads Clinton by 1 nor the 12 point swift in just one week.
The issue is that is a D+10 sample biased ABC poll. pic.twitter.com/9VLK8gmmCv— Jordan Smith (@IamJSmith001) November 1, 2016
Saw a $10,400 political donation from a Lexington “coal miner.” Wow! Checking further, he’s senior vice president of a coal corp. Ah. ^JC
— Bluegrass Politics (@BGPolitics) November 1, 2016
@_DeeBell5_ Nope. We were simply curious about a coal miner who could afford to give away $10,400. A corporate executive is not a miner. ^JC
— Bluegrass Politics (@BGPolitics) November 1, 2016
heh…
re: #257 Ziggy_TARDIS
One thing I’ve found that helps in cases of knowing you have to get food, but not wanting to eat……don’t eat, drink. Not alcohol though.
Something that’s easy to make (or pre-made), nutritious, at least somewhat filling and tastes relatively good. Try something like supplement drink like Ensure or Boost, I used a few of those when I had my front teeth removed for my partial. Another thing I use now is Muscle Milk or a similar high-protein drink.
Besides, they have the electrolytes plants crave!
re: #270 MsJ
What does D+10 mean?
Without being able to look, it sounds like someone complaining about there being more Democrats sampled than Republicans.
But @realDonaldTrump you told us the polls were rigged and ABC and Washington Post were corrupt #HypocriticalAsshole pic.twitter.com/BRP1yTarbP
— Keith Olbermann (@KeithOlbermann) November 1, 2016
re: #268 Backwoods_Sleuth
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Bad for Toomey too. Not worried about PA. She’s had a healthy lead there through out.
#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 10TH day. Dems lead by > 33,000 EV, 43% to 37% - Democratic Underground https://t.co/YF3W5pwXhY
— (((LiberalLoner))) (@LiberalLoner) November 1, 2016
one more oh-too-cute Halloween costume pic:
Ok…. this one cut me deep. Lucy and Ethel. Oh… it hurts! 😂😍 pic.twitter.com/14oUR0ix0u
— Tracie Thoms (@traciethoms) November 1, 2016
2. It says the FBI thinks Russia is interested in “disrupting the presidential election rather than electing Trump” https://t.co/J9Ua7iddlp
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) November 1, 2016
3. How does that work exactly? These elections are zero. If you are trying to disrupt an election by hurting Clinton, you help Trump
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) November 1, 2016
4. If Russia was interested in disruption and not Trump, wouldn’t you see some of it’s activities targeting Trump?
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) November 1, 2016
5. To me, this seems like a transparent attempt from the FBI to justify not disclosing the Russia investigation after Comey sent his letter
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) November 1, 2016
6. This paragraph is incoherent. Russia is trying to disrupt the election by hacking Hillary & Dems but it’s not trying to help Trump. Huh? pic.twitter.com/zBDmjMv119
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) November 1, 2016
re: #261 lawhawk
This election conclusively demonstrates why early voting should be limited dramatically
— Ben Shapiro
Conclusively! Dramatically!
Wingnuts just hate voting.
Washington Post-ABC poll is an absurdity. Trump has not moved up 13 points in the last 8 days.he was NEVER 12 points behind. Ignore polls
— Newt Gingrich (@newtgingrich) November 1, 2016
Wow RINO https://t.co/Z5gF6BVyY1
— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) November 1, 2016
We’re still pretending this latest email thing ISN’T being pushed by the same people who claimed Huma Abedin was in the Muslim Brotherhood.
— I, Hoebot. (@eclecticbrotha) November 1, 2016
re: #281 Sir John Barron
Conclusively! Dramatically!
Wingnuts just hate voting.
He just knows that everyone would have changed their minds if they knew about Clinton’s emails.
re: #281 Sir John Barron
Conclusively! Dramatically!
Wingnuts just hate voting.
Wish they wouldn’t vote themselves if they hate it so much.
re: #21 Eric The Fruit Bat
nd0CBDEEaeREqE9fK0Lx8FKImkQYZHDCq5BLGLzRBKbrisSMa9CS7/NuKaMdjv804XijZ5A84K0rphYZwCJwtzAu8NMQ0v3wgegzPoZhyKOvxLeVaqQB8PI27em1yocQZPhS2gSvfjUu5fL1QAR/uuBApAIU3IyI9JDR/UQ/JPaKUh9JFz5VkqdqEKhLjDLcuay+80GR6nnJkYWLKfVKHd3AcGLy4g7leZh1tFj289iDvGhfWo73zEo9qNzvUuIXrCoNrYZ+pcvdSPSpz4los78GcKDKD70NMrOjy3q2bsTnaEyBAPPEjPCt5k1ZjM0zAb7NDligDuovOs9yVtcAHAQm8cxBknYNKEPvyZxfv3X11iE4VxVIrT4Mg2JgNyWmqnDV3WHX2bpHX/dh470qWG3/j17qoVpq
re: #285 Belafon
He just knows that everyone would have changed their minds if they knew about Clinton’s emails.
Because the emails have not been talked about at all in this election.
///
re: #266 Belafon
Ben just knows - knows - that when all of “those” people are lined up against the wall, he’ll get to stand with the true patriots (tm).
Baby Whiplash claims that young Black men get shot by police because they are “thugs” but guess what he dressed up as for Halloween?
The Thug Life chose Ben. pic.twitter.com/UQ453hoo2Y
— The Daily Wire (@realDailyWire) October 31, 2016
file this one under “no shit, Dick Tracy”:
Not fun to talk about, but researchers find resentment towards women is a strong predictor of Trump support: https://t.co/u10Uk1VA2J
— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) November 1, 2016
Right-wing media has a vice grip on the Republican Party — and it is only going to get tighter. https://t.co/IX4XkrzaYB
— Media Matters (@mmfa) November 1, 2016
re: #291 Backwoods_Sleuth
file this one under “no shit, Dick Tracy”:
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Yeah no kidding.
re: #257 Ziggy_TARDIS
I am feeling incredibly queasy. Not sure how I am going to eat today.
How long has it been since your last period?
re: #199 goddamnedfrank
Lastly remember that Trump still hasn’t got jack shit in the way of ground game infrastructure or experience.
Clinton can lose Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, and Nevada and still win. To me that seems like the worst case scenario that’s even possible.
Yeah, needs to hold NH and PA, especially. But I think she’ll win NC and she’s been looking good in Nevada.
re: #290 The Vicious Babushka
Baby Whiplash claims that young Black men get shot by police because they are “thugs” but guess what he dressed up as for Halloween?
[Embedded content]
Looks like Justin Bieber…
Two little girls… very excited to trick or treat with Mommy and Daddy. #HappyHalloween! pic.twitter.com/YyXxSCov95
— Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) November 1, 2016
The Zodiac Killer in a Phantom of the Opera mask is the scariest thing you’ll see tonight. https://t.co/bJpM535RjK
— Very Scary Mary (@MaryHartmanx2) November 1, 2016
the signs at the U.S. bases outside Mosul always have a bit of a Mad Max feel. from Qayyarah: pic.twitter.com/x1Ly9YSfXP
— Mike Giglio (@mike_giglio) November 1, 2016
Jarring to see US troops with American flag and rated-PG Midwest witticisms back in Eye-raq https://t.co/ZPlyhFwKxG
— Borzou Daragahi (@borzou) November 1, 2016
re: #295 Sir John Barron
Yeah, needs to hold NH and PA, especially. But I think she’ll win NC and she’s been looking good in Nevada.
I feel good about VA too. As I’ve been saying, she has a lot going right for her. He needs everything to go right for him and wrong for her. It’s not impossible but very unlikely.
But let’s obsess over Weiner’s emails.
GOP senator jokes about shooting Hillary Clinton. pic.twitter.com/NBiqQeVIkq
— Right Wing Talk (@RWTQuotes) November 1, 2016
If you like the past 8 years, vote @HillaryClinton. pic.twitter.com/cQEtIgPsEz
— Scott Walker (@ScottWalker) November 1, 2016
BREAKING: Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker endorses Hillary Clinton. https://t.co/0wsdMWjxBn
— Sean McCabe (@darthstar99) November 1, 2016
New Clinton TV ad using Trump’s own words about women https://t.co/vdMVckBvFV
— Bradd Jaffy (@BraddJaffy) November 1, 2016
NEW IMAGES: 1 dead in Colonial Pipeline explosion https://t.co/SnDGMDFNp5 pic.twitter.com/fMqFrDvSd0
— WBRC FOX6 News (@WBRCnews) November 1, 2016
.@GovBillWeld reads from ‘1984’ on the set of #morningjoe: ‘Welcome to Donald Trump’s America, everybody’ https://t.co/cXnoUZmNyj
— Morning Joe (@Morning_Joe) November 1, 2016
re: #303 darthstar
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Scott does know that the majority of voters approve of Obama. Oh wait, this is the dolt that couldn’t outlast Ben Carson in the GOP primary.
re: #287 The Vicious Babushka
T45+dLj0DgnjsDLIYchex09n3e9Skzh6UH91bJ4ZyxhDYtereZxtuEKiKwUN7ayamZfEwwR8O9tGSYZswCYZHmAGB4tG2a3JzrIlMF/ALl30FK7+k2Q+Jw==
Ohio Democratic Party leaders arrive in Hamilton to push for early voting @Local12 pic.twitter.com/S7TwrBeF46
— Larry Davis (@LarryDavisWKRC) November 1, 2016
re: #308 Eric The Fruit Bat
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Ey86CCkWTo4K8slHPDd/BCNf6xcIw7MsLiv0JRa10Om2EIqoTqwG65R0e31koh7VyYvG9U3SPJzAlV5ja+slLA==
re: #301 HappyWarrior
I feel good about VA too. As I’ve been saying, she has a lot going right for her. He needs everything to go right for him and wrong for her. It’s not impossible but very unlikely.
Oh yeah, I’m assuming VA is a lock.
Clinton leads by 11 points in Pennsylvania poll https://t.co/i3LBBHiEqi pic.twitter.com/bIO1sli2TM
— Talking Points Memo (@TPM) November 1, 2016
re: #311 Sir John Barron
Oh yeah, I’m assuming VA is a lock.
Yeah I don’t think Trump has led here once since Labor Day.
re: #311 Sir John Barron
Oh yeah, I’m assuming VA is a lock.
At the end of the day she’ll carry OH, PA, FL, VA, CO, NV and maybe even AZ and fucking UT.
everybody, panic pic.twitter.com/kSa3hgsRfX
— Oliver Willis (@owillis) November 1, 2016
heh
In the 5 hours I was asleep, Chuck Johnson got back on Twitter just long enough to call me “barren” before he was banned again. I’m touched!
— Anna Merlan (@annamerlan) November 1, 2016
Even if Donnie got all the debate questions in advance he wouldn’t be able to answer them coherently.
So terrible that Crooked didn’t report she got the debate questions from Donna Brazile, if that were me it would have been front page news!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 1, 2016
re: #318 The Vicious Babushka
Even if Donnie got all the debate questions in advance he wouldn’t be able to answer them coherently.
I haven’t figured out which debate questions Brazile would have given Clinton in advance. She wasn’t one of the moderators.
re: #318 The Vicious Babushka
You can’t even get through a ~prepared~ statement without sounding incoherent. Bigly! @realDonaldTrump
— lawhawk (@lawhawk) November 1, 2016
Folks, there are some pretty ridiculous fakes out there pretending to be me. Remember, I have a blue check verified. They don’t.
— Bill Mitchell (@mitchellvii) November 1, 2016
LOL!
re: #320 Belafon
I haven’t figured out which debate questions Brazile would have given Clinton in advance. She wasn’t one of the moderators.
It was supposedly one of the debates with Bernie, IIRC.
These coal companies went bankrupt, but they had hundreds of thousands of dollars to give to politicians. https://t.co/7lyUbr3ijB ^JC
— Bluegrass Politics (@BGPolitics) November 1, 2016
re: #322 Backwoods_Sleuth
It’s impossible to fake @mitchellvii. No one can out-derp the original.
— lawhawk (@lawhawk) November 1, 2016
@owillis if my memory is correct, romney v obama didn’t really move that much even tho media made themselves dizzy. same story here.
its the same every 4 years. elections dont shift that much. 90% of it is media noise not actual movement. https://t.co/hkKDrpAnOa
— Oliver Willis (@owillis) November 1, 2016
re: #325 lawhawk
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I’ll be appearing on The Alex Jones Show this afternoon around 3:30 pm.
— Bill Mitchell (@mitchellvii) November 1, 2016
hahahahaaaaa
Pima Co. #election workers getting ready to test counting machines. Early ballot counting starts this AM #Tucson pic.twitter.com/7TumKDfL37
— Angelica Carrillo (@acarrillonews) November 1, 2016
re: #326 lawhawk
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I checked 538 circa 2012. The rate Obama was favored to win is very close to what Hillary is now. That’s why I’m not panicking as well as that I know that Clinton leads in enough states. It’s just not going to be the landslide it should be which disappoints me but fah.
Donna Brazile can get CNN debate questions and forward them to Clinton but Donald’s CNN paid inside man, Corey Lewandowski, can’t get squat for him?
Another bad business failure?
A message to VOTE, in spoiler because it may not be SFW (but the people really aren’t naked)
beautiful & brilliant #VOTE pic @pilobolus #pilobolusvotechallenge Photo: Robert Whitman #Voterturnout #HillYes #Uniteblue #StrongerTogether pic.twitter.com/YVkUnk3lNO
— Bernadette Quigley (@quigdette) October 31, 2016
So I did a thing and lined up all of Hillary’s “safe” states and I have her at 264 EV.* For the moment I’m not giving her Nevada, NC or FL. She will need to win one of those states.
*I’m assuming she carries PA, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Colorado, NH, VA, gets 2 of Maine’s “at-large” EVs (Maine awards 2 others by CD). I’m not giving her the one Nebraska EV which is by CD but neither that or Maine’s 2 CD votes will matter much. She will need to win Nevada, or NC or FL anyway.
So I think that’s where we are.
re: #333 Sir John Barron
So I did a thing and lined up all of Hillary’s “safe” states and I have her at 264 EV.* For the moment I’m not giving her Nevada, NC or FL. She will need to win one of those states.
*I’m assuming she carries PA, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Colorado, NH, VA, gets 2 of Maine’s “at-large” EVs (Maine awards 2 others by CD). I’m not giving her the one Nebraska EV which is by CD but neither that or Maine’s 2 CD votes will matter much. She will need to win Nevada, or NC or FL anyway.
So I think that’s where we are.
Sounds right to me and I honestly feel good about those three states you have up in the air. I understand why people feel anxious. A lot is at sake here but I feel pretty good.
A cat dressed as Daryl from The Walking Deadhttps://t.co/jb0cky5o0k pic.twitter.com/HDj1nu6fr5
— The Poke (@ThePoke) November 1, 2016
Hiya, everybody! Just doing a drive-by to say hello, to thank all of you for your raging against the machine and keeping the faith. I read and observe — LGF and Stonekettle are my islands of sanity on the net.
Oh, and a belated Happy Halloween. Here’s a photo of the 2016 Slappyfamily tableau for ya….
Clinton will be introduced by fmr Miss Universe Alicia Machado at her Dade City, FL rally today— @kasie reports on MSNBC.
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 1, 2016
re: #323 Backwoods_Sleuth
It was supposedly one of the debates with Bernie, IIRC.
That would have been my guess. She had to prepare against Bernie because the debates were about policy. Trump was just a Jerry Springer Show stage prop.
UPDATE: Emergency court hearing scheduled for tmw in lawsuit over North Carolina’s last-minute voter purge https://t.co/Vs7Bf4d2YV
— Alice Ollstein (@AliceOllstein) November 1, 2016
Even the wildlife are getting into costumes. #HappyHalloween! pic.twitter.com/aEObdHRmsU
— Santa Monica Mtns (@SantaMonicaMtns) November 1, 2016
re: #334 HappyWarrior
Sounds right to me and I honestly feel good about those three states you have up in the air. I understand why people feel anxious. A lot is at sake here but I feel pretty good.
For the moment, I feel best about Nevada, of those three.
It’s a shame it’s come to this, counting EV’s, hoping for 270, but that’s where we are. If D’s take the Senate, they can nuke the filibuster and appoint Scalia’s replacement, and I won’t bat an eye—the GOP is disqualifying itself from any claim to political norms. Anything less than 300 EV’s for HRC and Trump will stomp his feet and claim it’s all rigged and not concede but he will be irrelevant.
re: #327 Backwoods_Sleuth
I’ll be appearing on The Alex Jones Show this afternoon around 3:30 pm.
— Bill Mitchell
Well, that’s where all the top, credible election analysts and political observers go, sure.
////
re: #341 Sir John Barron
I feel a bit better about Florida, as someone pointed out that most Hispanics in the state are not registered with either party, and they are breaking by at least +20 for Clinton.
re: #341 Sir John Barron
For the moment, I feel best about Nevada, of those three.
It’s a shame it’s come to this, counting EV’s, hoping for 270, but that’s where we are. If D’s take the Senate, they can nuke the filibuster and appoint Scalia’s replacement, and I won’t bat an eye—the GOP is disqualifying itself from any claim to political norms. Anything less than 300 EV’s for HRC and Trump will stomp his feet and claim it’s all rigged and not concede but he will be irrelevant.
I’d rank them: Nevada, Florida, and North Carolina if I had to think about it. I’m definitely down with that though too. The GOP has vowed to block anyone Clinton picks for the court. They play hardball, we’ll play it back.
re: #344 HappyWarrior
I’d do Nevada, NC, Florida.
re: #343 Ziggy_TARDIS
I feel a bit better about Florida, as someone pointed out that most Hispanics in the state are not registered with either party, and they are breaking by at least +20 for Clinton.
I feel good about Florida as well. It’s worth pointing this out regarding Florida but Obama won it by less than a point against Romney and just under 3 against McCain. You have to ask me. I think she wins it maybe by four. I really think the Hispanic vote is going to play a big role in a Clinton win.
re: #345 Ziggy_TARDIS
I’d do Nevada, NC, Florida.
I actually feel good about NC as well honestly but it’s the least reliably Democratic of the three. However, Burr may have really stepped in shit with his gun owner comment and McCrory isn’t too popular either. The two I honestly once felt confident about that I no longer do are Iowa and Ohio and they may surprise me yet.
Forbes, of all publications, tosses fact-check shade at Trump’s Michigan rhetoric. https://t.co/3URRnVpC2i pic.twitter.com/BISvz4UspZ
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 1, 2016
And I guess this means nothing but I feel pretty good too since my Dad put a bet on the election with a wingnut friend of his. Never known my Dad to be a betting man. I’m honestly just not seeing how Trump can win. I don’t feel he has enough of a ceiling electorally to beat Clinton. His floor is higher than it should be of course but his ceiling isn’t going to propel him to victory IMO.
re: #348 The Vicious Babushka
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We’re talking about a guy whose idea of African-American outreach is to tell them they live in hellholes. Not surprised that he doesn’t know shit about the reality of Detroit and Michigan.
I also wouldn’t fret much about the “She might win the popular vote and lose the electoral vote” talk. That’s just pretty rare, even though it happened just 16 short years ago. The larger her popular vote lead the more likely the EV will follow. The polling average still has her in the +4-5 point range, meaning the race could still narrow some without changing the main trend.
re: #290 The Vicious Babushka
Baby Whiplash claims that young Black men get shot by police because they are “thugs” but guess what he dressed up as for Halloween?
[Embedded content]
Nothing worse than a tight-ass white boy like Benny doing all the cliches that he thinks makes him look like a thug.
This “look” is about as real as James O’Keefe trying to look like a pimp.
re: #351 Sir John Barron
I also wouldn’t fret much about the “She might win the popular vote and lose the electoral vote” talk. That’s just pretty rare, even though it happened just 16 short years ago. The larger her popular vote lead the more likely the EV will follow. The polling average still has her in the +4-5 point range, meaning the race could still narrow some without changing the main trend.
I took that as Nate just noting it as a possibility. It’s a very rare event. Honestly, I think Nate understandably wants to cover all the possibilities that he feels can happen a week from now. I don’t hold it against him but not all possibilities are created equal IMO.
re: #347 HappyWarrior
I actually feel good about NC as well honestly but it’s the least reliably Democratic of the three. However, Burr may have really stepped in shit with his gun owner comment and McCrory isn’t too popular either. The two I honestly once felt confident about that I no longer do are Iowa and Ohio and they may surprise me yet.
I was hopeful about Ohio until recently. The Comey letter probably put the nail in the coffin for those two states, if there was any chance at all there. About Iowa, Mike freaking Dukakis won Iowa in 1988. So, the demographic changes that are helping Dems in some places (mostly the upper South and Hispanic West) are being balanced out by shifts elsewhere (White Mid-West).
re: #185 Ziggy_TARDIS
I’m not a concern troll. I have, among other things, an Anxiety Disorder that causes me to get panicky in a huge hurry.
Especially now, since I am under stress other than the election.
Then let me offer some friendly advice, walk away for a week. You are too close and it is not your health.
Decide you live in a universe that HRC wins and move on. That is what will happen anyway.
re: #340 lawhawk
A deer with natty dreads. So Southern California.
re: #355 John Carter
Decide you live in a universe that HRC wins and move on. That is what will happen anyway.
Great…now I’m depressed.
//
re: #357 darthstar
Great…now I’m depressed.
//
You can just decide to live in a universe where Bernie wants Clinton to win the election.
re: #354 Sir John Barron
I was hopeful about Ohio until recently. The Comey letter probably put the nail in the coffin for those two states, if there was any chance at all there. About Iowa, Mike freaking Dukakis won Iowa in 1988. So, the demographic changes that are helping Dems in some places (mostly the upper South and Hispanic West) are being balanced out by shifts elsewhere (White Mid-West).
Hell Dukakis won West Virginia and while HW Bush won PA, Dukakis won in Western Pa whereas Obama and likely Clinton will likely only win in Allegheny County and struggle in the Pittsburgh burbs and beyond. It’s unfortunate since this is actually my family’s ancestral hometurf but the white midwest has become fertile Republican ground as Republicans take advantage of resentments about trade and immigration. Now the good news is the Dems are making big gains in areas like the upper South and West that are gaining population while these areas are losing population. I also don’t see any Republican candidate in the near future having Trump’s appeal to the white working class like he has either.
RNC shenanigans in Nevada
#ELB: Democrats in DNC v. RNC Allege RNC Lied About Engaging in Poll Watching Activities in Nevada https://t.co/wbok1RSS9X
— Rick Hasen (@rickhasen) November 1, 2016
Guys having the same condition that Ziggy does. Be easy on him. I know it can be frustrating but anxiety is a big part of it. I do think you (Zig) need to be more optimistic though for the reasons why I’ve been arguing. Don’t despair.
re: #360 Backwoods_Sleuth
RNC shenanigans in Nevada
[Embedded content]
The Republican Party really needs to get over their nasty habit of harassing voters.
re: #348 The Vicious Babushka
Forbes, of all publications, tosses fact-check shade at Trump’s Michigan rhetoric. forbes.com pic.twitter.com
— Daniel Dale
I wonder why HRC is doing better in Wisconsin and Michigan than in Ohio?
re: #359 HappyWarrior
Yeah, it’s pretty weird. Dems have become more environmental in past decades, which has probably hurt them in places like WV.
re: #363 Sir John Barron
I wonder why HRC is doing better in Wisconsin and Michigan than in Ohio?
Less Evangelicals and more college educated people there would be my guess. Nate’s made the point that PA really isn’t as close to OH as people want to think since PA’s got more college educated voters, less evangelicals, etc. The two big things I’d look for in a state would be its education level among white voters and the prevalence of Evangelicals.
re: #361 HappyWarrior
There is more personal drama on top the election that is also causing stress, which is making me gloomier.
It’s not just the election.
re: #333 Sir John Barron
So I did a thing and lined up all of Hillary’s “safe” states and I have her at 264 EV.* For the moment I’m not giving her Nevada, NC or FL. She will need to win one of those states.
*I’m assuming she carries PA, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Colorado, NH, VA, gets 2 of Maine’s “at-large” EVs (Maine awards 2 others by CD). I’m not giving her the one Nebraska EV which is by CD but neither that or Maine’s 2 CD votes will matter much. She will need to win Nevada, or NC or FL anyway.
So I think that’s where we are.
My take is—no Democrat is going to lose the Kerry map, especially against Trump. Adding VA and NM, which have become pretty solid Democratic, at least on the Presidential level, that’s 264. NV, CO, IA, OH, NC, or FL would put Clinton over the top. She only has to win one of them, Trump has to win all of them.
re: #322 Backwoods_Sleuth
[Embedded content]
LOL!
Shoot. I thought Billy Mitchell was faking it because no one can be that freaking dense.
re: #361 HappyWarrior
Guys having the same condition that Ziggy does. Be easy on him. I know it can be frustrating but anxiety is a big part of it. I do think you (Zig) need to be more optimistic though for the reasons why I’ve been arguing. Don’t despair.
I wonder if I was this anxious in 2012? I was here then and could go back over my posts, but I’d prefer not to.
I’m also trying to take the long-view. The Democrats are going to lose some day, again. It might be next week. More likely, four or eight years from now. And many of the same issues that cause concern now will be there then, too. I just hope the GOP gives us a better candidate after this.
re: #364 Sir John Barron
Yeah, it’s pretty weird. Dems have become more environmental in past decades, which has probably hurt them in places like WV.
That and I think the rise in cultural issues being a big decider in votes. I believe Gore’s loss in WV which looks tiny compared to Kerry and Obama’s was attributed to guns. Abortion I believe pushed one of my own great aunts to vote for W over Kerry which stumped my grandmother since her sister had voted for pro-choice Dems before and she’s actually voting for HRC this year.
re: #366 Ziggy_TARDIS
There is more personal drama on top the election that is also causing stress, which is making me gloomier.
It’s not just the election.
Sorry to hear that. Treat yourself to a nice meal or a fun night on the town soon. That may do you some good.
re: #367 The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge
My take is—no Democrat is going to lose the Kerry map, especially against Trump. Adding VA and NM, which have become pretty solid Democratic, at least on the Presidential level, that’s 264. NV, CO, IA, OH, NC, or FL would put Clinton over the top. She only has to win one of them, Trump has to win all of them.
That’s been my thought as well.
re: #267 Ziggy_TARDIS
Not sure how much to read into this, but if the Clinton ground game is dropping the ball on AA voters that would be reason for Dem concern
CabgJDk5YXjGscfrGVshBUdfXjQtmCQOaukt5G2cJto6ylVhKNoa3kv+w1zESwTGgLGGeUia6CKxMndDHJdENSiv2Ri8U8ak8CT7SSoZUe373+qA8xqE4fYp5qwpq6gFMSKxsC1qhTomLHYhueFKMe4hyRqXVvy8BC27UmcI0eeUe0hkg/pHyfSCRZL+WBtOWcLFMuT3EPGySqmJixnX5zh2G8OvrP2NZfwR41qLG6fGhnJQfrKJgDH8IaNRM3lozx7SygA63hmmeNK7Y6RxvBWPSLrtWnc+cs/cx8JazlS4pST5PCjHFJiNApRz21eV8dZiTceV+gbCO5B3ryEpcEJ94C0X9nKpPRaCee5J8zcm7dWkpnZsPAWWOJuJPE8HRwavW/nrOGM=
“If Dems will rig a debate for Clinton, what won’t they do to win?” https://t.co/BcukzRIF88 pic.twitter.com/ljRY3SAVZj
— The Hill (@thehill) November 1, 2016
It’s so utterly precious when Republicans act all outraged on Bernie Sander’s behalf. https://t.co/vjCF4UGBFn
— Stonekettle (@Stonekettle) November 1, 2016
re: #369 Sir John Barron
I wonder if I was this anxious in 2012? I was here then and could go back over my posts, but I’d prefer not to.
I’m also trying to take the long-view. The Democrats are going to lose some day, again. It might be next week. More likely, four or eight years from now. And many of the same issues that cause concern now will be there then, too. I just hope the GOP gives us a better candidate after this.
I think I was anxious in 2012 but I think I understand elections better than I did then. Certainly more so than in 2004 when I thought there was no way Kerry would lose to Bush.
re: #366 Ziggy_TARDIS
There is more personal drama on top the election that is also causing stress, which is making me gloomier.
It’s not just the election.
Then you’d do well to tune out the election and take care of your IRL business.
If you can remove one thing to worry about, do that.
re: #358 Belafon
You can just decide to live in a universe where Bernie wants Clinton to win the election.
I live in a universe where he wants her to not dismiss the Democratic platform from the convention as a gimmick after she’s elected.
re: #374 Backwoods_Sleuth
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Yeah, I know, the crocodile tears for Bernie from the fucking assholes who liken him to Hugo Chavez is fucking rich.
One takeaway from @L2political @HaystaqDNA models: Early voting is dominated by women. pic.twitter.com/E6kyyEWuyj
— Peter Hamby (@PeterHamby) November 1, 2016
re: #377 darthstar
I live in a universe where he wants her to not dismiss the Democratic platform from the convention as a gimmick after she’s elected.
I don’t see why she would. There were plenty of people with equally progressive records as Bernie like John Lewis and others that strongly supported her. What I’ve been trying to get across to my brother who like yourself supported Bernie is if Hillary is elected, that means very likely a majority for the Dems in the Senate and Bernie chairing a very important committee, Paul Ryan fretted about this very fact.
re: #370 HappyWarrior
That and I think the rise in cultural issues being a big decider in votes. I believe Gore’s loss in WV which looks tiny compared to Kerry and Obama’s was attributed to guns. Abortion I believe pushed one of my own great aunts to vote for W over Kerry which stumped my grandmother since her sister had voted for pro-choice Dems before and she’s actually voting for HRC this year.
I think cultural issues have been important for a while, that is, things like abortion, patriotism, etc.
But the election of a Black president, the rapid and dramatic shift towards gay rights and gay marriage, coupled with the continuing economic decline in some pockets of the heartland, has magnified the racial and cultural resentment on the part of some. Put it another way, while cultural issues have always mattered, the stakes have gotten higher.
re: #374 Backwoods_Sleuth
Republican bleeding hearts. They are so precious.
re: #379 Backwoods_Sleuth
[Embedded content]
Women voters are going to save the country from the stupid voting patterns of males especially white males yet again. God it’s embarassing that my demographic is Republican. Feel even worse for guys like my Dad, 65+, Southern, and HS diploma who don’t fall into the Republican bowl but because he fits that demo, a lot of his peers think he wants to hear their whiny right wing bullshit.
re: #381 Sir John Barron
I think cultural issues have been important for a while, that is, things like abortion, patriotism, etc.
But the election of a Black president, the rapid and dramatic shift towards gay rights and gay marriage, coupled with the continuing economic decline in some pockets of the heartland, has magnified the racial and cultural resentment on the part of some. Put it another way, while cultural issues have always mattered, the stakes have gotten higher.
Yes, I think you’re right about that. It’s sad. honestly. Honestly, as much as the bigotry and there certainly is some bigotry in the rust belt and heartland towards gays, racial and religious minorities bothers me, I do feel bad for the people there because I think while they were becoming Reagan Democrats, the Reagan Administration screwed them royally and they blame the wrong people for their communities’ economic declines.
I just wish voters upset about things like NAFTA and trade deals that are Trump curious would look at what he’s actually done. I won’t claim that Clinton’s record matches what they may want on trade but Clinton supported trade deals she thought would be good for everyone, Trump used those same trade deals to personally enrich himself and now that he sees some of the country has been hurt by those deals, he uses it as a cynical political tool to cultivate resentment and votes. Where was Donald when Ross Perot railed against NAFTA?
re: #363 Sir John Barron
I wonder why HRC is doing better in Wisconsin and Michigan than in Ohio?
As an Ohioan I wish I could give you a reason. My thinking is the polling does not reflect the overall dissatisfaction with the mess this election has been. The people I know don’t even want to talk about it. Many can’t believe Trump is even a candidate.
So, with that I am guessing people are holding their noses and are going to go vote and be done with it. That also means they probably are not taking part in polling or any kind of activity that would give a real indication of their true feelings.
Now Trump supporters are a bit different. They seem to be loud and proud of it all.
Summation: I’m thinking the state is going to go for Hillary in a stealth type of vote that will be close.
re: #386 ObserverArt
As an Ohioan I wish I could give you a reason. My thinking is the polling does not reflect the overall dissatisfaction with the mess this election has been. The people I know don’t even want to talk about it. Many can’t believe Trump is even a candidate.
So, with that I am guessing people are holding their noses and are going to go vote and be done with it. That also means they probably are not taking part in polling or any kind of activity that would give a real indication of their true feelings.
Now Trump supporters are a bit different. They seem to be loud and proud of it all.
Summation: I’m thinking the state is going to go for Hillary in a stealth type of vote that will be close.
Hope you’re right. Ohio going Clinton’s way would be a nice boost.
re: #386 ObserverArt
I would think Wisconsin’s demographics are nearly identical to Ohio’s but WI seems comfortably HRC and Ohio is not. I’ll check out some of the population numbers to confirm.
re: #381 Sir John Barron
I think cultural issues have been important for a while, that is, things like abortion, patriotism, etc.
But the election of a Black president, the rapid and dramatic shift towards gay rights and gay marriage, coupled with the continuing economic decline in some pockets of the heartland, has magnified the racial and cultural resentment on the part of some. Put it another way, while cultural issues have always mattered, the stakes have gotten higher.
Cultural issues have been important since Reagan, but declining. The only time they tilted the election was when GOP ratfuckers put all those anti-SSM initiatives on state ballots in 2004. My personal “average of the polls +2 points D” metric broke. I thought I had to discard it, but in 2012 “average of the polls +3.2 D” is how it turned out.
2004 was a one-time thing. That fresh cohort of troglodytes is baked-in now. Plus, Right-wing disinformation pollsters like Rasmussen are screwing up the average worse every election. Hillary’s ahead 5 or 6 in the polls—I suspect that means 9 or 10 in reality.
Of course I could be fooled again…but by Trump?
re: #377 darthstar
I live in a universe where he wants her to not dismiss the Democratic platform from the convention as a gimmick after she’s elected.
Remember when the worry was that she was going to pivot to the center for the general election?
Consider where we are now:
FBI says it may give a *real-time update* on what’s in the emails- a fast timeline that appears Election-related— Ari Melber (@AriMelber) November 1, 2016
This strikes me as worst of all possible worlds. There’s a reason you don’t update investigations in “real time” https://t.co/Bl2xMUoRCC
— Christopher Hayes (@chrislhayes) November 1, 2016
re: #389 The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge
Cultural issues have been important since Reagan, but declining. The only time they tilted the election was when GOP ratfuckers put all those anti-SSM initiatives on state ballots in 2004. My personal “average of the polls +2 points D” metric broke. I thought I had to discard it, but in 2012 “average of the polls +3.2 D” is how it turned out.
2004 was i one-time thing. That fresh cohort of troglodytes is baked-in now. Plus, Right-wing disinformation pollsters like Rasmussen are screwing up the average worse every election. Hillary’s ahead 5 or 6 in the polls—I suspect that means 9 or 10 in reality.
Of course I could be fooled again…but by Trump?
We’re thinking the same thing. I’m actually of the belief that the polls may be understating what Clinton may end up finishing.
re: #388 Sir John Barron
I would think Wisconsin’s demographics are nearly identical to Ohio’s but WI seems comfortably HRC and Ohio is not. I’ll check out some of the population numbers to confirm.
Interestingly, a quick check of Wikipedia has the following:
Ohio: 82% White, 12% Black
Wisconsin: 86% White, 6% Black
From those numbers alone, I expect Ohio to be a better HRC state than Wisconsin. But obviously those demographics don’t tell the whole story.
re: #388 Sir John Barron
I would think Wisconsin’s demographics are nearly identical to Ohio’s but WI seems comfortably HRC and Ohio is not. I’ll check out some of the population numbers to confirm.
I wonder if some of the differences between the two states could be about their two Republican governors?
Ohio sadly is somewhat happy with Kasich. Wisconsin may be dumping on Republicans due to Walker.
re: #394 Sir John Barron
Interestingly, a quick check of Wikipedia has the following:
Ohio: 82% White, 12% Black
Wisconsin: 86% White, 6% BlackFrom those numbers alone, I expect Ohio to be a better HRC state than Wisconsin. But obviously those demographics don’t tell the whole story.
Well, you would need to see what the voters self identify as too. Wisconsin always has had a more progressive tradition than Ohio has. As I said too, I think Ohio has more white Evangelicals than Wisconsin does.
re: #396 HappyWarrior
Well, you would need to see what the voters self identify as too. Wisconsin always has had a more progressive tradition than Ohio has. As I said too, I think Ohio has more white Evangelicals than Wisconsin does.
That’s a good point. Education levels would be something to look at as well, i.e. percentage of college-educated whites.
re: #395 ObserverArt
I wonder if some of the differences between the two states could be about their two Republican governors?
Ohio sadly is somewhat happy with Kasich. Wisconsin may be dumping on Republicans due to Walker.
That could be it too. The Senate races as well. Portman is going to win re-election (Sorry man) while Feingold is very likely to beat Johnson.
re: #396 HappyWarrior
Well, you would need to see what the voters self identify as too. Wisconsin always has had a more progressive tradition than Ohio has. As I said too, I think Ohio has more white Evangelicals than Wisconsin does.
Ohio is home to a pretty progressive tradition as well, particularly with abolitionists. But obviously that’s a much older progressive tradition than the Progressive La Follete represented.
re: #397 Interesting Times
That’s a good point. Education levels would be something to look at as well, i.e. percentage of college-educated whites.
Yes, I’d look at that as well. Now honestly what’s interesting about here in Virginia is the percentage of people that are white and black that vote Democratic and Republican really hasn’t changed that much as the state has become more competitive but the state has grown more diverse. This is a considerably more diverse state in 2016 than it was in my parents childhood or even my own. North Carolina is experiencing a similar thing IMO but on a smaller scale.
re: #396 HappyWarrior
Well, you would need to see what the voters self identify as too. Wisconsin always has had a more progressive tradition than Ohio has. As I said too, I think Ohio has more white Evangelicals than Wisconsin does.
Wisconsin’s across the river from Minnesota. Ohio’s across the river from Kentucky.
re: #399 Sir John Barron
Ohio is home to a pretty progressive tradition as well, particularly with abolitionists. But obviously that’s a much older progressive tradition than the Progressive La Follete represented.
Oh true. And they also have the currently very popular Sherrod Brown who would have made an interesting running mate for HRC. Anyhow, thinking about that, it just speaks to everything has its strengths and weaknesses. I think Brown would have helped Clinton among blue collar white voters whereas I don’t see how he’d make the same impact that Kaine has with Latinos especially. Not that I think Brown is hostile to Latinos nor Kaine to blue collar workers but each man has his strengths.
re: #395 ObserverArt
I wonder if some of the differences between the two states could be about their two Republican governors?
Ohio sadly is somewhat happy with Kasich. Wisconsin may be dumping on Republicans due to Walker.
What about any backlash from the Deplorables to Kasich not backing “his party’s nominee”?
re: #401 The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge
Wisconsin’s across the river from Minnesota. Ohio’s across the river from Kentucky.
Yep that’s true as well.
re: #401 The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge
Wisconsin’s across the river from Minnesota. Ohio’s across the river from Kentucky.
Ah, yes, good point. Southern Ohio more like Kentucky and West Virginia.
What’s crazy to think about though is how in some of what are now some of the most ultra-conservative parts of the country are also some of the areas that Eugene Debs did some of his best in. So, just think some guy now in 2016 rails against socialist Obummer while his great great grandaddy may have pulled the lever for Debs.
Another “barometer” for election results:
Hillsborough County likely to predict winner of presidential election
Hillsborough County’s majority vote has predicted the winner of the presidential election 19 out of the last 20 elections, according to political analysts.
[…]
More than 232,000 votes have been cast in mail-in ballots and early voting in Hillsborough.
So far, democrats lead republicans in voter turnout by 17 percent. Just over 86,000 republicans have voted, compared to about 100,000 democrats.
Perhaps this is why HIllary, Bill, Joe, and Michelle have been spending so much time in the area over the last 2 weeks.
Goddammit, Hillary critics are grasping for straws here. These asshats, which includes douchebro Gary Johnson supporters, whine about Trump signs being taken out of their yard and making it out to be the worst crime of all.
These people believe that Trump supporters are a peaceful lot and never resort to violence. They keep crying over the freedom of speech argument, but forget this one important part: freedom of speech doesn’t mean freedom from consequences. Plus, free speech only applies to the government, as the government can not infringe upon your speech or expression.
re: #407 Dr. Matt
Another “barometer” for election results:
Perhaps this is why HIllary, Bill, Joe, and Michelle have been spending so much time in the area over the last 2 weeks.
That’s Tampa isn’t it?
re: #401 The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge
Wisconsin’s across the river from Minnesota. Ohio’s across the river from Kentucky.
And West Virginia. Also next to Indiana and Western Pennsylvania.
You bring up a good point. I don’t know the current populations of the two states, but how many people from surrounding states move into Wisconsin looking for jobs, better life, etc.
Ohio has always gotten a lot of people from Kentucky and West Virginia. Lots of ex-western Pennsylvanians too. Columbus has a large amount of ex PA folks.
re: #407 Dr. Matt
Another “barometer” for election results:
Perhaps this is why HIllary, Bill, Joe, and Michelle have been spending so much time in the area over the last 2 weeks.
I live in Hillsborough County. I voted on Saturday. I already told you all what universe I live in.
re: #411 Dr. Matt
Yup.
I just checked. Obama beat Romney by just over 6% there which no doubt factored big in his overall win in the state since Obama won Florida against Mitt by .87%. I honestly feel pretty good about HRC’s chances in Florida. In fact, I think she could do better than Obama did in margin of victory.
Speaking as an Indianapolis resident in very-low middle-class burbs, most of the Republican signs I see, and I see LOTS and LOTS and LOTS of them are for Sandlin, Ping, Speedy, like hundreds of them for those three in the 2 block area I spend the most time…I’ve seen less than a dozen for Hair Furor in that same area.
Only seen one or two Hillary signs though.
re: #403 Sir John Barron
What about any backlash from the Deplorables to Kasich not backing “his party’s nominee”?
I have no feel for that being a city dweller from Columbus. I don’t run into many deplorables.
What really has me perplexed is the northeast sections of the state, the former rust belt of smaller cities that were part of the original industrial revolution. That would be Youngstown, Warren, Mansfield, Akron, Stubenville and the like.
Trump works that area a whole lot and that tells me there are some deeply seated disappointment in the men in that area regarding jobs. They may think a woman is going to do nothing for them as far as jobs, They seem to buy into the “trade” issues and back Trump hoping his promises work out.
no thanks, don’t think I want to know a single thing about “baby eating”:
What you need to know about baby eating @Local12 today 5:30pm pic.twitter.com/2qZKMBbvS6
— Liz Bonis (@lbonis1) November 1, 2016
re: #415 ObserverArt
I have no feel for that being a city dweller from Columbus. I don’t run into many deplorables.
What really has me perplexed is the northeast sections of the state, the former rust belt of smaller cities that were part of the original industrial revolution. That would be Youngstown, Warren, Mansfield, Akron, Stubenville and the like.
Trump works that area a whole lot and that tells me there are some deeply seated disappointment in the men in that area regarding jobs. They may think a woman is going to do nothing for them as far as jobs, They seem to buy into the “trade” issues and back Trump hoping his promises work out.
Honestly, I can’t help but to feel very bad for them. Wish there was more investments in education to help those that were laid off from industries that are no longer viable in that part of the country.
re: #412 John Carter
8esAYptw4icPjw+K3oRmARC13unSsWK7mcRUvmtClcyYNRybUUIB2HfqRZOqmgP4b+oDK/qV079zUcD7Op73iKIO8ODlArT0KB09XgkrSE0SvdSIxRQtU5EwywIh4hmrqzzaj2YrKL+278u1LVauq8cgCAwIM37CzY1khVoqCxVa6k36SamusA==
re: #414 Jayleia
Speaking as an Indianapolis resident in very-low middle-class burbs, most of the Republican signs I see, and I see LOTS and LOTS and LOTS of them are for Sandlin, Ping, Speedy, like hundreds of them for those three in the 2 block area I spend the most time…I’ve seen less than a dozen for Hair Furor in that same area.
Only seen one or two Hillary signs though.
I have seen 1 Trump sign in my development when there were dozens of Romney signs last cycle. /anecdotal
Again, I live in Hillsborough County FL. She’s got this.
This photo is, as far as I’m concerned, the single greatest photo of any president or premier of any country, ever. pic.twitter.com/A7esCGxXgg
— Natasha Lampard (@tashmahal) October 30, 2016
Sam interviews @POTUS in the Wicked Wing of the West. #SamanthaBee pic.twitter.com/1nCnJj0iVg
— Full Frontal (@FullFrontalSamB) November 1, 2016
re: #418 Dr. Matt
My experience was similar up in New Tampa.
re: #423 John Carter
My experience was similar up in New Tampa.
Hold on now, there’s a Neeeeeew Tampa?
re: #403 Sir John Barron
What about any backlash from the Deplorables to Kasich not backing “his party’s nominee”?
Kasich isn’t running this year (elected 2014): is seems unlikely that any negative attitudes towards him are going to much affect the GE vote. Dedicated Trump voters are going to vote for him in any case, fence-sitters may hold their noses and vote, or ignore the top line, or stay home: but it’s more likely they’ll simply do what they would do anyway.
Some of the scientific concepts in @StarTrek are being researched and utilized aboard humanity’s lab in the sky - The Int’l Space Station. pic.twitter.com/uYUFJNoXXX
— Intl. Space Station (@Space_Station) November 1, 2016
Bombshell piece from @MotherJones reports that Russia has been cultivating and assisting Trump for at least 5 years https://t.co/FhRia9oETx pic.twitter.com/j3hVJN6IGy
— Ahmed Baba (@AhmedBaba_) November 1, 2016
re: #424 KGxvi
Hold on now, there’s a Neeeeeew Tampa?
It’s the area north of the University of South Florida. There’s also a West Tampa, but not a New West Tampa. There’s a South Tampa, but not a New South Tampa.
RRD: All service is operating with delays up to 30 minutes due to heavy travel.
— SEPTA (@SEPTA) November 1, 2016
Additional Regional Rail trains are running on some lines. See the full list of extra trains here: https://t.co/4niBN9ZjbN https://t.co/Gxxi7BRY0L
It’s morning in transportation hell: Septa strike in Philly https://t.co/Le0OeMRELS, gas tax hike in Jersey https://t.co/pKBr5D6B2B
— Kevin Riordan (@Inqkriordan) November 1, 2016
LIVE: Follow along as reporters dispatch observations from across the city on Day 1 of #SeptaStrike. https://t.co/Qw3URFrl4w pic.twitter.com/DtcgGaPHmB
re: #428 Mike Lamb
That doesn’t pass the smell test.
No, it doesn’t. What is that comment supposed to mean? That the ABC poll over-sampled Democrats*, so Hillary is toast because so many more of those Dems are now going going to vote for Trump?? Makes little sense.
*assuming that’s what “D+10 biased sample” means (?)
re: #425 Jay C
Kasich isn’t running this year (elected 2014): is seems unlikely that any negative attitudes towards him are going to much affect the GE vote. Dedicated Trump voters are going to vote for him in any case, fence-sitters may hold their noses and vote, or ignore the top line, or stay home: but it’s more likely they’ll simply do what they would do anyway.
The thing I’m going to be watching for next Tuesday is how many of the Deplorables undervote down ballot races (or vote for third party nominees) because the Republican nominee had the audacity to not fully support Trump. There are six or seven very close Senate races and if a significant number of Deplorables go that route (and let’s face it, they seem to be driven by spite as much as anything), that could result in the Dems sweeping those close races.
re: #433 KGxvi
The thing I’m going to be watching for next Tuesday is how many of the Deplorables undervote down ballot races (or vote for third party nominees) because the Republican nominee had the audacity to not fully support Trump. There are six or seven very close Senate races and if a significant number of Deplorables go that route (and let’s face it, they seem to be driven by spite as much as anything), that could result in the Dems sweeping those close races.
You do see a lot of interviews with them when they say they’re pissed at the establishment R’s. And hey if that weakens the R’s prospects for future midterms, sign me up.
re: #433 KGxvi
There are six or seven very close Senate races and if a significant number of Deplorables go that route (and let’s face it, they seem to be driven by spite as much as anything), that could result in the Dems sweeping those close races.
Hey, a win’s a win! We can only hope….
re: #430 Dr. Matt
It’s the area north of the University of South
TampaFlorida. There’s also a West Tampa, but not a New West Tampa. There’s a South Tampa, but not a New South Tampa.
re: #430 Dr. Matt
It’s the area north of the University of South Florida. There’s also a West Tampa, but not a New West Tampa. There’s a South Tampa, but not a New South Tampa.
Reference point:
Iraqi forces enter Mosul city limits, main urban fight ahead: https://t.co/2HKmAoxFKj pic.twitter.com/dtsomkgdBG
— Local 12/WKRC-TV (@Local12) November 1, 2016
re: #436 John Carter
Thanks. I corrected my typo.
re: #440 Weaselone
[Embedded content]
Agreed. When you look at it that way, it’s just very hard for her to lose. As said, there’s so much that has go right for him and wrong for her. And I just don’t see it.
re: #441 HappyWarrior
Agreed. When you look at it that way, it’s just very hard for her to lose. As said, there’s so much that has go right for him and wrong for her. And I just don’t see it.
Lotsa folks are happy. The new media have a horse race. And if Hillary wins by anything less than 5 points, it will be painted by the GOP as the result of “meddling” and “voter fraud”.
re: #440 Weaselone
I’ve stopped checking 538 and stopped watching cable news since last week. My blood pressure and state of mind are in much better condition.
re: #441 HappyWarrior
Agreed. When you look at it that way, it’s just very hard for her to lose. As said, there’s so much that has go right for him and wrong for her. And I just don’t see it.
Do I have to come here and do this again?😀
Trump has never led the electoral vote. Not even for one day.
To win He would have to pull off something *no one* has ever done.
Back to our regular programming ( as it were)
re: #444 dangerman
Do I have to come here and do this again?😀
Trump has never led the electoral vote. Not even for one day.
To win He would have to pull off something *no one* has ever done.
Back to our regular programming ( as it were)
Preaching to the choir.
re: #445 HappyWarrior
Preaching to the choir.
It’s either that or stand on a street corner and rave to myself
re: #446 dangerman
It’s either that or stand on a street corner and rave to myself
Your signs have the best words!
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
re: #440 Weaselone
Colorado and New Hampshire have had polls within the margin of error lately. As has Wisconsin. Of course, even if he wins one of those three states, he’d still have to sweep the toss up states.
Also, something that’s not getting a lot of attention but they’ve mentioned a few times on Keepin’ It 1600, is that during the primaries, Trump never out performed his polling numbers. That suggests a less than good ground game/GOTV effort for his campaign. Something tells me that’s going to probably bite him in the ass next Tuesday (not that I’m crying about that)
re: #448 Backwoods_Sleuth
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
Flamethrower option seems completely rational to me.
re: #449 KGxvi
Colorado and New Hampshire have had polls within the margin of error lately. As has Wisconsin. Of course, even if he wins one of those three states, he’d still have to sweep the toss up states.
Also, something that’s not getting a lot of attention but they’ve mentioned a few times on Keepin’ It 1600, is that during the primaries, Trump never out performed his polling numbers. That suggests a less than good ground game/GOTV effort for his campaign. Something tells me that’s going to probably bite him in the ass next Tuesday (not that I’m crying about that)
That’s a good point. He never outperformed his polling numbers. As I said earlier, he definitely has a floor and one that is higher than it ought to be but his ceiling is hampered by his weaknesses both as a candidate and how he campaigns, the poor ground game/GOTV is one of those.
re: #448 Backwoods_Sleuth
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
Nuke it from orbit, only way to be sure
Trump & Pence in Philly today:
Trump says he hopes Ben Carson will be involved in his administration. Says people don’t know how well he did in the primaries. pic.twitter.com/bxTj28gdAu
— Emily Stephenson (@ewstephe) November 1, 2016
Trump also said with GOP House and Senate, “we will be able to immediately repeal and replace Obamacare.” Said he’d ask for special session.
— Emily Stephenson (@ewstephe) November 1, 2016
@JFKucinich I wondered that myself.
— Emily Stephenson (@ewstephe) November 1, 2016
re: #448 Backwoods_Sleuth
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
Where are the cats? Or, are those the missing equipment?
Yet again Trump is talking about coal miners in suburban Philadelphia
— Ben Jacobs (@Bencjacobs) November 1, 2016
re: #453 Backwoods_Sleuth
Why would he need a special session?
BECAUSE HE DOESN’T KNOW HOW GOVERNMENT WORKS!
re: #448 Backwoods_Sleuth
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
Is that haiku?
You’re damn right it’s a home office day. #HMB pic.twitter.com/wp06nWKlnu
— Sean McCabe (@darthstar99) November 1, 2016
Just listened to that last Keith olberman re worse than Watergate
Whether he writes everything himself or has help he/they are on fire. Scathing
DAYTONA BEACH, FL — Civil Rights Legend Rep. John Lewis & actress Aja Naomi King lead people in a march to a polling place pic.twitter.com/rxiNrVqmP2
— SouthFlorida4Hillary (@SFL4Hillary) November 1, 2016
re: #458 dangerman
Is that haiku?
Little too wordy for haiku.
Wolf spider crouched
Deep within, untrappable
Resist the flamethrower?
re: #432 Jay C
No, it doesn’t. What is that comment supposed to mean? That the ABC poll over-sampled Democrats*, so Hillary is toast because so many more of those Dems are now going going to vote for Trump?? Makes little sense.
*assuming that’s what “D+10 biased sample” means (?)
There is no universe where an oversampling of Dems would result in a 13 point swing for Trump. Either the HRC +12 was bunk or Drumpf +1 is.
SQUEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!
Baby nugget enjoying his tummy scratches pic.twitter.com/4sZSbDGYbC
— PuppyBF (@puppyboyfriend) November 1, 2016
re: #461 darthstar
My wanderlust is kicking in something fierce, and Central Coast sounds as good a place to go as any. That’s one part of CA I haven’t spent any significant time in. Driving the PCH would be sweet.
Then again, if I wait til Spring, I could head north to Redwoods and Crater Lake..
Some fun with numbers…Cleveland in the world series of baseball style.
Today is 11-1-2016.
1+11+20+16=48.
The last time the Cleveland Indians won the World Series was 1948.
Heard this on local ESPN radio while making lunch.
re: #467 lawhawk
My wanderlust is kicking in something fierce, and Central Coast sounds as good a place to go as any. That’s one part of CA I haven’t spent any significant time in. Driving the PCH would be sweet.
Then again, if I wait til Spring, I could head north to Redwoods and Crater Lake..
Pacific Coast Highway is ALWAYS a good stretch to drive.
re: #470 gwangung
Pacific Coast Highway is ALWAYS a good stretch to drive.
I did that drive from San Francisco to Santa Cruz. Quite honestly, the most beautiful drive I’ve ever done.
J. Edgar Comey…has a certain ring.
Info security? Is Jim #Comey investigating leaks by his FBI? More unauthorized info coming from his subordinates than from HRC’s computer.
— Jeffrey Toobin (@JeffreyToobin) October 31, 2016
Trump: “She wants to put the government totally in charge of healthcare in America.” pic.twitter.com/wxKMEk53rH
— Sopan Deb (@SopanDeb) November 1, 2016
re: #462 dangerman
Just listened to that last Keith olberman re worse than Watergate
Whether he writes everything himself or has help he/they are on fire. Scathing
The latest is up, and his streak of righteousness is intact.
Trump’s Health Care Plan Promises To Reinstate Pre-Existing Conditions #tcot #UniteBlue https://t.co/7QeN8SH23b pic.twitter.com/3DpAjBIlnD
— Nasty Babushka (@viciousbabushka) November 1, 2016
reminder@mlcalderone pic.twitter.com/outBAiMC7A
— darth™ 😹 7 days (@darth) November 1, 2016
Seriously tho, the FBI is so filled with Hillary Derangement they’ll protect Putin. Enemy of my enemy stuff.
— Armando (@armandodkos) November 1, 2016
Jesus fucking christ, people, I was kidding yesterday when I asked if anyone would link Comey to Putin. This is intelligent discourse? https://t.co/pm8C7D99HF
— Sean McCabe (@darthstar99) November 1, 2016
re: #480 Mike Lamb
Except that’s not what he did.
So was he being sarcastic? He’s been ranting about the unfairness of it all for days.
LOLOLOLOL!!!
Trump’s speech today in PA was one of his most on message (and best) that I have seen him give in months
— Chris Cillizza (@TheFix) November 1, 2016
RIGGED!!!
A model that has predicted the winner of every US election since 1980 forecasts a big victory for Hillary Clinton https://t.co/JM5Y2H3vrT pic.twitter.com/E8YI9JKYPq
— CNN (@CNN) November 1, 2016
re: #481 darthstar
So was he being sarcastic? He’s been ranting about the unfairness of it all for days.
Think the point is that Comey isn’t explicitly helping Putin or being on his payroll, but rather being a useful idiot that’s inadvertently doing Putin’s work in dogging on the Hillary email hunt to the point his FBI is giving ‘real time updates’ on the case.
I’m told the crowd of a few hundred here for Trump’s healthcare speech is guests invited by RNC, local GOP, campaign - including volunteers.
— Sarah McCammon NPR (@sarahmccammon) November 1, 2016
Paul Ryan: I Voted For Stupid https://t.co/MhP1V8lKFp
— Crooks and Liars (@crooksandliars) November 1, 2016
Profiles in courage. Ryan votes for Trump, refuses to say his name. The GOP needs to be beaten badly enough to lose control in Congress.
re: #486 lawhawk
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Profiles in courage. Ryan votes for Trump, refuses to say his name. The GOP needs to be beaten badly enough to lose control in Congress.
Ryan’s such a coward.
re: #477 blueraven
You’re from Austin, TX, right? I’ve got a TX anecdote of my own, FWIW:
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
re: #473 MsJ
J. Edgar Comey…has a certain ring.
[Embedded content]
This is exactly what I was thinking. Shouldn’t he have said to anyone threatening to leak “we don’t interfere in elections, and if anything is leaked you will face federal charges and lengthy prison sentences*”
*I don’t actually know the law and can’t be bothered to find out.
Microsoft hits again. One of their so called upgrades hit one of my computers so now the computer goes to the shop for repair.
Fun new video from @Joss’ @SaveTheDayVote with Chris Pine as an obstructing senator https://t.co/sWmX8wqx3w https://t.co/JSujw9KYdV
— Patrick Caldwell (@patcaldwell) November 1, 2016
Trump warning people Clinton might stand trial when he has a fraud and rape trial already happening is peak 2016.
— Kragar (@Kragar_LGF) November 1, 2016
re: #449 KGxvi
Colorado and New Hampshire have had polls within the margin of error lately. As has Wisconsin. Of course, even if he wins one of those three states, he’d still have to sweep the toss up states.
So:
1. I have to assume the polls that show the most favorable numbers for Trump are the most accurate of all the polls taken for those states.
2. Then I have to look at the 95% confidence interval of those polls, and assume that those polls themselves greatly overstate Clinton’s actual lead.
Gov Bevin’s grand idea to replace Kynect is working out soooo much better.
*spit*
Unbelievable. Signed in to https://t.co/FO5XXCbSji as today’s the day, and there’s a line. A line on a website.
— Nigel Cameron (@nigelcameron) November 1, 2016
Same report from Louisville. Health insurance broker reports line for even inputting information. #healthcare #affordablecareact #Obamacare https://t.co/qBZV12b3yN
— Lisa V. Gillespie (@LVGillespie) November 1, 2016
re: #490 Bear
Microsoft hits again. One of their so called upgrades hit one of my computers so now the computer goes to the shop for repair.
Thankfully mine didn’t blow up. Microsoft made it so you cannot disable them doing updates. I find that so dangerous that my computer is under Microsoft’s power. One fucktard at MS who decides to screw the world…that’s all it takes to shut down life…business, personal, everything.
I cannot believe this shit.
re: #488 Interesting Times
You’re from Austin, TX, right? I’ve got a TX anecdote of my own, FWIW:
[Embedded content]
Yep, proud to be from blue Travis county!
0dmVhdDupKySCEwcPpUmczYVRT1bRE03K3wuuByfiq2LLV4kMd4QfG0sb8wl7JMuZDSb/M2wPLmpIqbjSU6rnBM5aEYf/6zVt9Id9ZVK3DYNRlPaQHcYTJ6jWiV6taFoCo8U3mwr6nPC0v20TDxkm2CtAfY4YsOvOXkxaqaeMyVWagDn24FXJ7kzigfpx3cBmW1Lm+46ufBNqQGoGzF7rI/S4gzSb2pmUziWOJz9/LZWpFvFdL3SNLAm+uJdncKK8cs1CPtZpDAOrlZbceLVO8P7jXoYiLuJ
re: #492 Kragar
[Embedded content]
If Trump accused anyone of being a werewolf, I’d immediately toss him a Milk-Bone. That’s how far into the projection he is.
I know Trump since the 80’s thru activism, charity, bizz, social scene, mutual friends etc… in a way voters don’t.
Trust me… he’s a pig.— Billy Baldwin (@BillyBaldwin) November 1, 2016
SMFH
Kellyanne Conway scoffs at Trump child rape case: ‘Next you’re going to ask about his taxes’ https://t.co/3xtppO0Zke pic.twitter.com/k5pIVXUzi5
— Raw Story (@RawStory) October 31, 2016
This is REAL - not parody, not SNL! #TrumpTaxReturns #TrumpChildRape #TrumpProChoice#TrumpU #NeverTrump
Proud 2 vote for #EvanMcmullin https://t.co/VVj3ubfSVe— Jo Anne Smoot (@joannesmoot) October 31, 2016
Um hey ABC News, that is not what the graph shows.
The prospect of a split decision between the Electoral College and popular vote appears to be growing. https://t.co/Dw66CFK9p4 pic.twitter.com/wprHz7POCO
— ABC News (@ABC) November 1, 2016
Donald Trump is due in court after Election Day on child rape. WHERE IS THE MEDIA COVERAGE? rawstory.com
re: #440 Weaselone
[Embedded content]
Those are the same states I’m giving her but I didn’t get 272. Maybe I missed a state or undercounted somewhere.
Fun clip for media nerds. I asked right wing blogger Chuck Johnson if he took a shit on the floor in college. #RNC pic.twitter.com/ZyLVySX83G
— Bucky Turco (@buckyturco) July 20, 2016
re: #502 The Vicious Babushka
Um hey ABC News, that is not what the graph shows.
[Embedded content]
math is hard…
re: #481 darthstar
So was he being sarcastic? He’s been ranting about the unfairness of it all for days.
Saying that Clinton Derangement Syndrome is leading certain factions in the FBI to attack HRC rather than thoroughly investigating Putin/Trump is not linking/connecting anyone to Putin.
re: #504 Sir John Barron
Those are the same states I’m giving her but I didn’t get 272. Maybe I missed a state or undercounted somewhere.
Ah. I missed DC and Hawaii.
Yeah, so I don’t see which of those Hillary states Drumpf wins.
re: #507 Backwoods_Sleuth
They’re doing Trump Math™. It’s the same math that enables him to pay nothing on his taxes, bankrupt casinos, and claim that he can cut taxes for the rich and balance the budget without slashing govt services to the bone AND expand the military and grow the Navy.
IOW, it’s the typical GOP math.
re: #448 Backwoods_Sleuth
There is a huge wolf spider in my kitchen sink.
My usual spider trapping/relocating equipment is inadequate.
Trying to resist the flamethrower option…
I understand spiders are living creatures, too, and when they are small, I try live and let live. But last night I found a huge wolf spider in my shower. Used a shoe. Shudder.
re: #505 Charles Johnson
Rage Furby now “rescued someone’s life”? Is this a new story or something I missed?
I’m confident Hillary is going to win both the EC and PV. But the fact it appears to be this close is very disappointing.
re: #512 Dr. Matt
Someone looked at Chuck and said “I don’t want to end up like that asshole” and turned their whole life around
re: #512 Dr. Matt
Can’t make me click on it to find out.
re: #514 Kragar
Someone looked at Chuck and said “I don’t want to end up like that asshole” and turned their whole life around
You win the internet for the day.
re: #511 retired cynic
I understand spiders are living creatures, too, and when they are small, I try live and let live. But last night I found a huge wolf spider in my shower. Used a shoe. Shudder.
The only thing worse than finding a wolf spider, is finding a wolf spider while you’re naked.
re: #511 retired cynic
I understand spiders are living creatures, too, and when they are small, I try live and let live. But last night I found a huge wolf spider in my shower. Used a shoe. Shudder.
It’s still in my sink.
I keep thinking maybe it will just go back to wherever it came from…
re: #518 Backwoods_Sleuth
It’s still in my sink.
I keep thinking maybe it will just go back to wherever it came from…
Can’t you like, turn on the hot water full blast or something?
re: #509 Sir John Barron
Ah. I missed DC and Hawaii.
Yeah, so I don’t see which of those Hillary states Drumpf wins.
I could see, perhaps, Trumpf sneaking away with CO or NH. But that’s not giving her either NC or NV. And I don’t think he’s winning NH. Nate Silver has HRC at 70%+ in CO and NH, fwiw—basically the same % as national.
@realDonaldTrump @mike_pence NO WAY OLD MAN ,WHAT I WANT IS NOT SEE YOU ANYMORE AFTER NOVEMBER 8TH..#MAGA #UNITEBLUE #IAMWITHHER @TKDMIKE pic.twitter.com/ff7L10H9RK
— Jose Enriquez (@972_834) November 1, 2016
re: #514 Kragar
Someone looked at Chuck and said “I don’t want to end up like that asshole” and turned their whole life around
re: #511 retired cynic
I understand spiders are living creatures, too, and when they are small, I try live and let live. But last night I found a huge wolf spider in my shower. Used a shoe. Shudder.
Black widows get a death sentence automatically, anything else I try to put outside, but if it surprises me or is freakin huge, screw it, it’s dead. I will pick up harvestmen by a leg and put them outside.
re: #519 The Vicious Babushka
Can’t you like, turn on the hot water full blast or something?
another option…
Public service announcement. For those fellow lizards on mobile devices that have issues with the site crashing when a topic is 500+ comments, Brave browser is your answer. No need to thank me. Cookies will suffice.
@mitchellvii You’re also more than a few fries short of a Happy Meal!
— josephebacon (@josephebacon) November 1, 2016
Like this?
“The emails are a big nothing burger, and Trump is a child rapist.”
Done and done. @matthewjdowd— Kragar (@Kragar_LGF) November 1, 2016
Has science gone too far? pic.twitter.com/7FPUEcsln8
— Frank Swain (@SciencePunk) November 1, 2016
@SciencePunk @mattdpearce There are some things mankind was never meant to know.
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
I no longer want to live in a world where I know how to spell “Reince Priebus” without Googling it.
— Imani Gandied Yams (@AngryBlackLady) November 1, 2016
re: #512 Dr. Matt
Rage Furby now “rescued someone’s life”? Is this a new story or something I missed?
That’s his story about the floor-pooping incident. He wasn’t the one who pooped, it was someone else, and Chuck somehow saved his life by being there when it happened.
It’s freaking hilarious that he thinks anyone is buying it.
Real account! https://t.co/TwupiGpk96
— WeSearchr (@wesearchr) November 1, 2016
I think you mean “suspended account.” LOL @wesearchr https://t.co/OVgAJNJPua
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
Reporter and video disprove man’s claim that he wasn’t chanting “Jew-S-A” during Trump rally https://t.co/6K5xIg2z3w pic.twitter.com/n6raPIhtiE
— NBC News (@NBCNews) November 1, 2016
Is this for real? TODAY this comes out? My added bold. Edit-Da Fuq???
Powered by Mail Image Get FBI Updates
Vault Home • William J. Clinton Foundation
William J. Clinton Foundation
This initial release consists of material from the FBI’s files related to the William J. Clinton Foundation, a non-profit 501(c)(3) organization. The bulk of these records come from a 2001 FBI investigation into the pardon of Marc Rich (1934-2013), aka Marcell David Reich, by President Clinton in 2001; it was closed in 2005. The material is heavily redacted due to personal privacy protections and grand jury secrecy rules.
One reaction
@FBIRecordsVault why are you releasing these records from an investigation closed in 2005 a week before the election?
— Shosha-na(sty woman) (@shoshpd) November 1, 2016
re: #527 Kragar
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Pretty rich considering Dowd worked for the Bush administration that lost a bunch of emails too but please tell us more about how the emails are just awful, Matthew.
Either you care both about Trump being sexual predator & Clinton emails, or u care about neither. But don’t talk about one without the other
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) November 1, 2016
We have a winner in our “Absurdly Hyperbolic False Comparison of the Day” competition. https://t.co/8sN1SWWAts
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
re: #533 Rightwingconspirator
William J. Clinton Foundation: This initial release consists of material from the FBI’s files related to the Will… https://t.co/Y4nz3aRSmG
— FBI Records Vault (@FBIRecordsVault) November 1, 2016
Not sure what’s going on at the FBI right now… (these files are related to the Marc Rich pardon, which Comey had a role in investigating.) https://t.co/9GffP5L1FG
— Joy Reid (@JoyAnnReid) November 1, 2016
Trump aide deletes tweet telling PA voters to change early votes by phone https://t.co/lGkE8Uuslo pic.twitter.com/gMdrnAWCRK
— Talking Points Memo (@TPM) November 1, 2016
re: #537 Backwoods_Sleuth
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Looks to me like the FBI is trying to influence the outcome of the election.
FBI is drowning in a torrent of leaks and data designed to try and influence outcome of election.
William J. Clinton Foundation: This initial release consists of material from the FBI’s files related to the Will… https://t.co/Y4nz3aRSmG
— FBI Records Vault (@FBIRecordsVault) November 1, 2016
Curiously FBI releases Marc Rich pardon investigation just days before the 2016 national election, despite the FBI not finding wrongdoing https://t.co/GWETlHfwwG
— lawhawk (@lawhawk) November 1, 2016
Oct. 26th Comey pens a widely panned letter to House Oversight Committee. Oct. 30th @FBIRecordsVault tweets for the first time in 12 months.
— Jen Schiller (@JenASchiller) November 1, 2016
re: #539 Dr Lizardo
Looks to me like the FBI is trying to influence the outcome of the election.
Someone sems to think the 60 day rule is 60 seconds before the election. Geez now I gotta re do a Page I have an hour into all about the FBI
re: #540 lawhawk
FBI is drowning in a torrent of leaks and data designed to try and influence outcome of election.
[Embedded content]
Which begs the question, why are they so scared of Hillary Clinton?
Just read all 129 pages. Basically the only unredacted information is the original complaint, repeated. The FBI is attempting a coup.
— NastyWoman (@Karoli) November 1, 2016
re: #546 Dr. Matt
The FBI is now a political entity. Great.
President Clinton is gonna have some serious housecleaning to do over at the FBI come next January.
re: #546 Dr. Matt
The FBI is now a political entity. Great.
At first, I read that as “enemy.” Considering what trump represents, same thing.
re: #547 Dr Lizardo
President Clinton is gonna have some serious housecleaning to do over at the FBI come next January.
Maybe Lynch at DOJ can shutdown the FBI social media accounts. Until we figure what’s going on, of course.
re: #547 Dr Lizardo
President Clinton is gonna have some serious housecleaning to do over at the FBI come next January.
It would be easier, and perhaps better, to reorganize its critical tasks to other agencies and reprogram its funds.
STUPIDEST TWEET OF THE DAY
Looks like Sharia law has arrived in Canada. Disgusting. #tcot pic.twitter.com/kNBFZVn0vH
— The Web’s Sam Grady (@TheSamGrady) November 1, 2016
THEY ARE CHARACTERS FROM A KID’S BOOK https://t.co/4pu6SsOjdy https://t.co/kGUXiIJPGt
— Vicious Babushka (@viciousbabushka) November 1, 2016
re: #551 Decatur Deb
It would be easier, and perhaps better, to reorganize its critical tasks to other agencies and reprogram its funds.
Yep.
re: #547 Dr Lizardo
President Clinton is gonna have some serious housecleaning to do over at the FBI come next January.
The ratf0ckery is coming from inside the house.
re: #546 Dr. Matt
The FBI is now a political entity. Great.
There’s a local, governmental bureaucracy with ‘Entity’ in their name.
Says to me, ‘We have no idea what we’re doing. Everything is fine.’
An FBI Account Just Tweeted Out a Link to Old Clinton Investigation File
Already on Mediaite. Just a matter of time before every network is faux raging.
re: #547 Dr Lizardo
President Clinton is gonna have some serious housecleaning to do over at the FBI come next January.
Does Comey still head the FBI? Maybe he can check out what his agency is doing on social media?
I just can’t even
5 separate FBI cases probing virtually every one of Clinton inner circle… https://t.co/s4zaMWGOTZ
— DRUDGE REPORT (@DRUDGE_REPORT) November 1, 2016
Seems like the first thing that should happen after the election is the @FBI getting the Augean Stables treatment
— Kragar (@Kragar_LGF) November 1, 2016
re: #552 The Vicious Babushka
STUPIDEST TWEET OF THE DAY
THEY ARE CHARACTERS FROM A KID’S BOOK
You did not do a proper Complimentary Close, e.g.
THEY ARE CHARACTERS FROM A KID’S BOOK , ASSHOLE.
re: #552 The Vicious Babushka
STUPIDEST TWEET OF THE DAY
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But we knew that was coming as soon as we saw the head wrap… LOL. I think Trudeau is trollin’. ;)
Hey wingnuts, DO YOU EVEN READ BRO?
(no, no they don’t)
I mean, Saint Ex is just some faggy French guy who was probably Mewzlim anyway, or whatever… Gods help us all
@FBIRecordsVault account has 131 tweets since joining twitter in November 2011.
In addition to today’s tweet, 20 of those 131 tweets were made on Sunday.
Last tweet before that was October 8, 2015.
re: #561 Pawn of the Oppressor
But we knew that was coming as soon as we saw the head wrap… LOL. I think Trudeau is trollin’. ;)
Hey wingnuts, DO YOU EVEN READ BRO?
(no, no they don’t)
I mean, Saint Ex is just some faggy French guy who was probably Mewzlim anyway, or whatever… Gods help us all
It’s been many, many years since I read Le Petit Prince but does it take place in North Africa?
And it’s probably a sure bet that the public won’t know who is tweeting from @FBIRecordsVault until after the election. Where the hell is Loretta Lynch?
re: #558 The Vicious Babushka
I just can’t even
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@DRUDGE_REPORT Fun fact-Looking is not the same as FINDING.
— Daniel Ballard (@RW_Conspirator) November 1, 2016
Weirdly eclectic tweet dump on Sunday.
All sorts of policy guidelines (including ethics and integrity policy guide) and then files about 2015 protests in Baltimore, Petraeus investigation, Hillary R. Clinton as SoS, Nikola Tesla (!), and Fred C. Trump.
re: #564 Dr. Matt
And it’s probably a sure bet that the public won’t know who is tweeting from @FBIRecordsVault until after the election. Where the hell is Loretta Lynch?
Still in hiding after talking to Bill at the airport.
re: #563 The Vicious Babushka
I think so. I found an online summary that says the pilot crashes in the Sahara. Saint-Ex did a lot of flying over North Africa, if I remember right, so he was writing about what he knew.
Since it’s a French-language book, of course it has double relevance to Canadians. And it’s a literary reference, so good job Trudeau & son. :) I always have trouble coming up with costume ideas, so I doubly admire good costumes.
Is Comey working out some fucked-up take on score-settling here?
He seems to hold a grudge just like Trump.
Yes, the “Green” Party has Endorsed Trump Over Clinton
…A Clinton presidency is D A N G E R O U S … If a Trump presidency would mean that we have to fight ignorants in the streets—I’m ready for that. “
Assholes.
re: #552 The Vicious Babushka
STUPIDEST TWEET OF THE DAY
THEY ARE CHARACTERS FROM A KID’S BOOK
If you’re an aviator, you have to remove your hat when you mention his name. I think it’s a condition of the licence or something.